🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮
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@Martin are we including commission?
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
2/2 today for £19.60 profit (to £10 stakes)
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@Richard-Latimer said in
Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! :I'll get the ball rolling:
All selections are going to be from my lay under 1.5 system. I'll post up here along with any stipulations on odds. As I place bet 5 mins prior or sometimes the night before if it's an early early kick off I will update whether it's a trade or not.
Net Eerste must be no higher than 7 to lay
Aus A-league must be no higher than 6.6 to laySo the very first trade I forgot to post again just before kickoff. Odds on Den Bosch were around 6.0 but I can't check exact again at the moment as there is a problem with betfair for me.
Oddsportal will confirm this however.
Betfair playing ball again. It was 5.9.
Final score 3-0
Odds on early morning trade no good.
Thats +£10.00 or £9.80 depending on whether we are adding commission or not.
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@Martin-Webb said in
Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! :Over 2.5
Germany Bundesliga 2 Elversberg v Karlsruher 1.53.Won Points Balance +0.53
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BET 1: Wil v Xamax - BACK Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 odds 2-0
(-£10)
BET 2: Bremen v Mainz - BACK Over 3.5 goals @ 3.25 odds 1-0 (-£10)-£20 overall
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@Martin got you.
I'll go with my BACK THE DRAW strat that has been going well.
31/01/2025 Belgium Challenger Pro League FC Liege Seraing Utd odds - 3.75
31/01/2025 Switzerland Challenge League Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Etoile Carouge odds - 3.75
31/01/2025 Italy Serie A Parma Lecce odds - 3.5
31/01/2025 Mexico Liga de Expansión MX CD Tepatitlan De Morelos Club Atletico Morelia odds - 3.5
02/02/2025 Australia A-League Men Central Coast Mariners Newcastle Jets odds- 3.7 -
Backing over 1.5 goals. None are currently matched but I hope they will be shortly after KO (is that within the rules)?
Elversberg v Karlsruher. 1.26
Den Haag v Eindhoven FC. 1.26
SV Werder Bremen v FSV Mainz 1.30
Montpellier v Lens 1.30
Parma v Lecce 1.30Result: 1 loss and 4 wins = -0.98 pts
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Four selections for over 1.5 goals.
Been testing this value system for Over 1.5 since the beginning of January. Fairly promising start so let's see how it goes moving forward.
Selections are from an initial filter based on O1.5 percentages in last 10 games. Final selections are whittled down depending on av. goal rates and value (based on the O1.5 percentages.)
EDIT Scratch the Mexican game. Just realised that counts as tomorrow.
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Over 2.5
Germany Bundesliga 2 Elversberg v Karlsruher 1.53. -
@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS Good advice and might work if the strike rates and odds improve at that stage. S&F is more suited to me for these.
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS totally understand
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@Richard-Latimer sorry…..
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS this is a set and forget Challenge thread only though.
The other discussion is for football thread or it'll get real messy here real quick.
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@Stephen-Hancox
avatar
.If you start with a £100 stake per trade and aim for a total return of £687, deducting your £500 investment yields a profit of £187. This equates to a profit margin of about 37.4%, which is indeed a positive return.Regarding needing four out of five successful trades to recover your money and make a slight profit, that is accurate if you consider the cumulative risk involved.
my idea about waiting for the first 10-15 minutes to assess how the matches are progressing is also a good strategy. This approach allows you to gauge the momentum of the games and possibly place further bets on teams that are performing well or have scored early, which can enhance your chances of getting better odds.
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Here's mine for today, I'll be doing over 0.5 first half goals
3/5 for me -£9.12
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@Alex-Rule said in
Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! :So we are sharing selections from one strategy? With market and odds and tracking how they perform for the next few months? Is that right @Martin ?
spot on
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I’ll join too. Also from my Lay U1.5 strategy, though mine is in the early stages of testing so this challenge gives me extra focus on it. Albeit more likely to struggle against more tried and tested options from others.
Anyway first two are:
12pm - Persebaya v Persita @ 3.55
5:30pm - Elversberg v Karlsruhe @ 5.4 -
Am brand new and my strategy is in testing but nearly at 200 trades so here goes ...... gulp
Over 1.5
Saudi Arabia Saudi Professional League 31/01/2025 17:00:00 Al-Ettifaq Al-Shabab 1.23
France National 31/01/2025 18:30:00 Aubagne Concarneau 1.36
Poland Ekstraklasa 31/01/2025 19:30:00 Lech Poznan Widzew Lodz 1.22Normally I would wait 10-20 Mins to let the odds improve as I don't currently trade odds under 1.35 but lets do set and forget to keep it simple.
DEFINITIVELY NOT TIPS
