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Simplest Set & Forget strategy in the history of BTC

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
48 Posts 10 Posters 1.1k Views
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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Jonathan McDaid
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #41

    @nick I haven't started Portugal yet I will start it after the break. I will look at tweaking it in a couple of months and maybe take City and Liverpool out then.

    1 Reply Last reply
    šŸ‘
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Jonathan McDaid on last edited by
    #42

    @Jonathan-McDaid This looks very interesting, I know its early days in the season yet but might I suggest leaving Liverpool and Man City out at least when they are playing at home would boost profits a bit and negate the strange weeks. Not saying that most Liverpool and Man city games even away wont be draws as this weeks results show.Are you doing Portugal also?

    J 1 Reply Last reply
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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Jonathan McDaid
    replied to Alex Rendell on last edited by
    #43

    @Alex-Rendell hey Alex I initially started it betting with bet365 and taking their early odds started small 5$ and scaled up when I got profitable enough to stake $50/game they banned me.
    Also had Portugal without porto it might have been bet365 odds makers being off the mark early in betting ? But I’m willing to try

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Jonathan McDaid
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #44

    @Ryan haha I’m forward testing it now started with $250 betting 5$ (2%) and at $310 after week 1.
    I remember Portugal being just as good if you leave porto out šŸ‘

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  • A Offline
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    Alex Rendell
    replied to Jonathan McDaid on last edited by Alex Rendell
    #45

    @Jonathan-McDaid can I ask what made you start doing this in the first place? And do you literally bet every single Premier League match 100% of the time? How long have you been doing this for?

    Only reason I ask is that I have data from the whole of the last two seasons, which shows that level-stake backing of the draw in every single EPL game, based on Betfair Exchange prices at kick off, would have resulted in a loss of 54.55 points (including 2% commission).

    Keen to hear more background around the approach you've taken!

    Cheers.

    J 1 Reply Last reply
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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Jonathan McDaid on last edited by
    #46

    @Jonathan-McDaid This is the first thing I am backtesting when the footie is done

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Jonathan McDaid
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #47

    @Ryan Yes flat staking 2 to break even roughly or slight loss

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Jonathan McDaid on last edited by
    #48

    @Jonathan-McDaid Interesting....

    22% of the games last season ended in a draw, are you just backing them all?

    I think I saw you need what 3 a week to have a profit was it? Take it this is flat staking?

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    J 1 Reply Last reply
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