Jon's FHG Strategy/Testing/Data collection
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Just 1 for today,
Pacos Ferreira v AVS Futebol SAD 10-2 under is 3.35 overs is 3.05
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Universidad Cesar Vallejo v Sporting Cristal 8-1 under 3.40 overs 3.00
This game had 3 fhg's
+2.94 points for this one+7.06 is the new total
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Just 1 for early tomorrow..
Universidad Cesar Vallejo v Sporting Cristal 8-1 under 3.40 overs 3.00
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OK,lets hope for a better day with these.
MTK Budapest v Ferencvaros 11-2 unders 4.00 overs 2.50...1-2 at HT +2.45 points
PAOK v AEK Athens 13-2 unders 3.30 overs 3.00...2 early fhg's +2.94 points
Progreso v Liverpool Montevideo 4-0 unders 3.00 overs 3.35... 1 fhg for scratch
Porto v Sporting Lisbon 9-3 unders 3.50 overs 2.84...2-0 at HT +2.79 POINTS3 winners and a scratch for +8.18points profit
New total +4.12 points
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Here are the best picks from the shortlist today 1 or 2 may not make the cut, as odds may not form/or be to low to be considered value.
Holstein Kiel v Kaiserslautern 14-3 unders is 4.10 overs is 2.48...1-2 at HT Win +2.42 pts
Barnsley v Northampton 10-3 under 4.2 overs is 2.40...1-0 at HT for scratch
Cottbus v Lokomotiv Leipzig 13-3 under 3.90 overs is 2.60... 1-0 HT for scratch
Kuressaare v Tallinna FC Flora 5-1 under 3.85 overs 2.60 updated**...1-0 at HT for scratch
Diosgyori v Kecskemeti 9-3 under 3.25 overs is 3.10...no goals in the 1st half - 3.25 points
VFB Oldenburg v SSV Jeddeloh 10-2 under 4.70 overs is 2.22...no goals in the 1st half -4.70 points
FC Tallinn v Levadia Tallinn II 5-1 odds too low updated**
Panaitolikos v Atromitos 6-2 under is 3.25 overs is 3.10...no goals in 1st half -3.25 points
Zeleznicar Pancevo v Radnicki Nis 10-3 under is 3.40 overs is 2.96...no goals in 1st half -3.40 points
Club Mercedes v CSD Muniz 5-1 under is 2.92 overs is 3.55...no goals in 1st half -2.92
LDU v Tecnico Universitario 4-1 under is 4.10 overs 2.96...1 fhg for scratch-15.10 points with just the LDU game left, this one took a beating today, had good stats and decent odds.
just 1 win and 5 losses in a row, takes the new total to -4.06 points -
Parnu and Juventus (w) Both had 2 fhg's and the 3 german games all had 1 fhg for scratch, which gives 5.20 pts profit for today.
- 11.04 points total
8 wins
3 loses
8 scratch
1 postponedClean sailing so far, but will definatley be plenty of ups and downs with this strategy.
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TSG Balingen v TSV Lehnerz 9-3 under 3.90 over 2.54
Velbert v FC Wegberg-Beeck 12-2 under 4.00 over 2.48
Juventus FC (W) v Inter Milan (W) 11-3 under 4.50 over 2.28 -
todays picks from the shortlist.
Parnu JK Vaprus v Nomme Utd 4-1 under 0.5 fhg 3.30 overs 3.10
FC Memmingen v Greuther Furth II 12-3 under 4.00 overs 2.54
TSG Balingen v TSV Lehnerz 9-3 not enough liquid yet, but looks like it will be decent odds
Velbert v FC Wegberg-Beeck 12-2 same as Balingen
Juventus FC (W) v Inter Milan (W) 11-3 again no liquid yetwill update later
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PSG women 4.10 lay uder 0.5 fhg 2.48 back over 1.5 fhg stats 14-1 in favour of over 1.5 fhg
0-1 HT for scratch
Back for more on friday.
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2 games stand out today...
PSG women 4.10 lay uder 0.5 fhg 2.48 back over 1.5 fhg stats 14-1 in favour of over 1.5 fhg
Ajax odds on over 1.5 fhg below evens which rules it out for me, would have been 5.50 and 1.97 for the overs stats 10-1 in favour so its still has some value, i just dont like anything under 2.20 for these bets, there will be better games to trade in the coming days.
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@Jon-Kinnear said in Jon's FHG Strategy/Testing/Data collection:
National 12 over 1.5 fhg and just 1 under 0.5 fhg odds 3.60 under 2.80 for over
AC milan 8 over 1.5 fhg and just 1 under 0.5 fhg odds 3.40 for under 2.94 for over
Barnechea 3 over 1.5 fhg with 0 under 0.5 fhg odds 3.55 for under 2.84 for over
Universidad same as Barnechea 3-0 odds 3.45 for under 2.96 for overNational had 2 fhg, and the other 3 games all had 1 goal for scratch + 2.74 for yesterday
+5.84 points overall
6 wins
3 loses
4 scratch
1 postponednothing today
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Small shortlist today, these are the best value
National 12 over 1.5 fhg and just 1 under 0.5 fhg odds 3.60 under 2.80 for over
AC milan 8 over 1.5 fhg and just 1 under 0.5 fhg odds 3.40 for under 2.94 for over
Barnechea 3 over 1.5 fhg with 0 under 0.5 fhg odds 3.55 for under 2.84 for over
Universidad same as Barnechea 3-0 odds 3.45 for under 2.96 for over -
@Jon-Kinnear said in Jon's FHG Strategy/Testing/Data collection:
@Jon-Kinnear said in Jon's FHG Strategy/Testing/Data collection:
Kansas 3.70-2.74 win
Chiba 2.72-3.80 lose
Hannover 3.45-2.90 win
Karlsruher 4.5-2.30 win
National 3.40-2.84 monday, my bad
AC Milan is also on mondayRoughly 5.10 points profit today
+3.10 overallsolid stuff!
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@Jon-Kinnear said in Jon's FHG Strategy/Testing/Data collection:
Kansas 3.70-2.74 win
Chiba 2.72-3.80 lose
Hannover 3.45-2.90 win
Karlsruher 4.5-2.30 win
National 3.40-2.84 monday, my bad
AC Milan is also on mondayRoughly 5.10 points profit today
+3.10 overall -
@Jon-Kinnear said in Jon's FHG Strategy/Testing/Data collection:
@Jon-Kinnear said in Jon's FHG Strategy/Testing/Data collection:
Portsmouth have 11 over 1.5 FHG and just 1 0-0HT
Lay under 0.5 FHG 3.50 Back over 1.5 FHG 2.82 1 goal scratchWuppertaler Have 11 over 1.5 FHG and just 1 0-0HT
Lay under 0.5 FHG 4.30 Back over 1.5 FHG 2.38 postponedJablonec Have 12 Overs and 3 0-0 HT
Lay under 0.5 FHG 3.30 Back over 1.5 FHG3.05 lost game ended 0-0Doncaster Have 9 Overs and 2 0-0 HT
Lay under 0.5 FHG3.35 Back over 1.5 FHG2.98 0-2 winWeymouth Have 9 Overs and 2 0-0HT
Lay under 0.5 FHG3.70 Back over 1.5 FHG2.70 1-1 winDusseldorf Have 8 Over 1.5 FHG And just 1 0-0 HT lost
Lay under 0.5 FHG4.10 Back over 1.5 FHG 2.44Around 2 pts down for the day, might not be the best time for testing as winter leagues coming to an end.
A great example of this is Portsmouth just won the league suddenly lose at home to Wigan.
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Tomorrows games
U0.5-O1.5FHG
Kansas 3.70-2.74
Chiba 2.72-3.80
Hannover 3.45-2.90
Karlsruher 4.5-2.30
National 3.40-no liquid yet
AC Milan no liquid yet -
@Jon-Kinnear said in Jon's FHG Strategy/Testing/Data collection:
Portsmouth have 11 over 1.5 FHG and just 1 0-0HT
Lay under 0.5 FHG 3.50 Back over 1.5 FHG 2.82 1 goal scratchWuppertaler Have 11 over 1.5 FHG and just 1 0-0HT
Lay under 0.5 FHG 4.30 Back over 1.5 FHG 2.38 postponedJablonec Have 12 Overs and 3 0-0 HT
Lay under 0.5 FHG 3.30 Back over 1.5 FHG3.05 lost game ended 0-0Doncaster Have 9 Overs and 2 0-0 HT
Lay under 0.5 FHG3.35 Back over 1.5 FHG2.98 0-2 winWeymouth Have 9 Overs and 2 0-0HT
Lay under 0.5 FHG3.70 Back over 1.5 FHG2.70 1-1 winDusseldorf Have 8 Over 1.5 FHG And just 1 0-0 HT lost
Lay under 0.5 FHG4.10 Back over 1.5 FHG 2.44Around 2 pts down for the day, might not be the best time for testing as winter leagues coming to an end.
