HI EVERYONE I AM NEW TO THE FOOTBALL FORUM
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@Ryan I thought that after testing for a while and getting used to the software and filters. I just thought there is a community out there that maybe I can help and that people could help me. It’s been great already. After my first post I have had a lot of response and help with my strategies. Thank you.
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@Vince-Kavanagh No this is cool, I just always want people to use the forum so was trying to get to the moment you knew or the moment you thought 'yeh, it's time I use the forum!' then I can try and get people using it more!
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@Vince-Kavanagh said in HI EVERYONE I AM NEW TO THE FOOTBALL FORUM:
@Terry-Heller just seen this thank you.
The thanks really are due to you for compiling the results so consistently over the 6 months
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@Vince-Kavanagh I only used the data from your spreadsheet so the only tweaks were backing the unders (or you could lay the overs for pretty much the same results if you layed to £1 liability) and then excluded the matches where the S/R was 80% and above.
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@Terry-Heller just seen this thank you.
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@Terry-Heller on your second sheet Terry, did you teak the leagues to get a better ROI? Looks a lot better than my original strategy. If things are not working just do the opposite.
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@Vince-Kavanagh There is more that I have extracted from the spreadsheet as well.
Filtering the selections to those below 80% S/R (your column G) and I am assuming that you are getting this % from the stats software btw.
I have added another sheet now with those if you want to look
But basically they havent had a losing month so far
The S/R is better which improves the ROI
You still get a decent amount of selections each month(262 so far over the 6 months)When you click on the odds you should be able to see the formula I used. The P/L column has 2% commission deducted
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@Terry-Heller that is great work Terry. Thanks for what you did there. How did you work out the formula to get the unders odds? Might look at the opposite on some other strategies that are not working that well. Brilliant
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@Vince-Kavanagh
Thanks for sharing Vince.
I made a copy of your Over 1.5 Set and forget and added a couple of columns to give the results with backing the unders instead. I used a formula to get the prices and they should have been achievable.
It does show a healthy profit especially as the number of selections is quite high now and a few results either way will not change the percentages hugely.https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1swklOi-7hMn29RmjfMFZLP4o2MZ02BdiNLXu-CzNk8w/edit?usp=sharing
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@Vince-Kavanagh amazing thanks for sharing
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@Martin Thanks mate I have done it, hope it has worked. I have shared 6 filters, hope they can help.
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Back Over 1.5 Goals (Looking at backing under after testing, should be more profitable)
filter-settings (3).txtBack Over 2.5 Goals League Tweak (original filter just take restriction out)
filter-settings (4).txtBack Over 3.5 Goals.
filter-settings (5).txtBack Under 1.5 First Half Goals League Tweak (original filter just take restriction out)
filter-settings (6).txtHope that I have done this right and you can get my filters.
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Good morning everyone, below are my filters that I am currently testing. Results can be found on my spreadsheet.
Hope they can helpful to people, or maybe if you see anything that I should be doing feedback would be great. Thank you.Dutch 1-0, 0-1, 1-1 correct score
filter-settings.txtBTTS League Tweak (Original filter just keep all leagues in)
filter-settings (1).txtELO Back Away team League Tweak (Original filter just keep all leagues in)filter-settings (2).txt
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@Vince-Kavanagh here is how to share strategies (once you have the file just click upload file on your post on here)
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@Vince-Kavanagh If you need any help sharing, just ask in the software support thread and someone will sort you out. There's a video on it somewhere.
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@Trevor-H Hi Trevor, I forgot to say that in all my filters I put over 10 games played, but don’t put it on my spreadsheet, I think I should do, the more data the better.
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@Trevor-H I waited for about 250 results or so before I league tweaked some of the strategies, forgot to keep the original filter to run alongside the tweak ie V2. But I started up again after a 2 week break. Always best to keep the original filter to have as a back up to see if trends change. I will share my filters for my strategies tomorrow, just need to work out how to do it.
the Dutching one I’m very interested in, only a few results but a great ROI at the moment anyway -
@Vince-Kavanagh Hi Vince. I've been a member less time than you have, but I'm finding the forum really useful and I'm sure you will too. Your strategy looks promising. So your filter comprises just the two stats, amirite? Nice and simple. When in the series did you tweak the leagues? I ask because I've found that tweaking to give good backtesting results isn't always quite so successful in forward testing (I think the term is 'curve fitting'), so it pays to keep the stakes small, as you have been doing so far, just in case.
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@Vince-Kavanagh love this following with interest!
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@Ryan I thought the best way to start would be on the football trading thread, would I have been better going on a different topic? I have used the private coaching, started that when I first joined to get some advice and help. Thought that I would get some good data before I got stuck in.
Thanks for responding.
