*****New Football Thread*****
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Welcome to the new football trading main thread!
Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current Score -
@Tony-Hastie haha i have been allowed another £10 on, being very generous (makes you wonder wahat they know about Haaland)...
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I win
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@Simon-Bates I usually am as well but looks like I am also allowed a tenner on so I'll take that...
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@Shannon-Townsend doing this was what got me stake restricted
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@Alex-Rule they let me have £10 for this, I'm usually limited to £2/£4
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@Alex-Rule sometimes Betfair let you get on it today and again tomorrow so could be a very easy £20...
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SHG in the Hapoel Jerusalem v v Maccabi Haifa. 0-0 at HT
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@Alex-Rendell Yea I think the backtesting would be able to sort that.
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Morning guys. I'm trading FHG in the Western Sydney wanderers v Newcastle Jets kicking off now.
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@Alex-Rendell I'd narrowed it down to just 0-0 1-0 0-1 also, this gave me a 70% strikerate, once I start recording odds I'll be able to see if either would be profitable.
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@Simon-Bates interesting to see where this goes, but those scorelines are by far the most common, so dutching all 4 may not prove profitable at all - although you could look to narrow it down to just 2, or find a way of dutching several and trading out on a goal? Something that the back-testing software could tell you insantly, dont you think @Martin @Ryan @Adam ?!
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I have a HT 0-0 strategy, 1 of 4, that is performing so badly so I decided to go through all the results, 756 of them.
I checked the scores of them and recorded 619 winning games for dutching HT Scores 0-0 1-0 0-1 1-1
82.42 strikerateI've decided that this strategy is better for dutching them 4 ht scorelines than what it was originally set up for.
Check out my last 55 results, 47 wins 8 losses, it's been mentioned loads by the BTC team not to throw away a strategy cos it's performing crap cos it might be performing better from a different angle as I've noticed with my ht 0-0 strategy
What I'm guna do next is start to record the odds for them 4 ht scorelines and work out an average so I can see if it profitable or not.
Edit, I've just noticed entry 713, by mistake I've not added that 1-1 scoreline, so that's another win and 1 less loss.
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20:00 Larne v St Gallen (Away Win)
Odds: 1.43
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