*****New Football Thread*****

Richard Latimer

Lay Over 1.5 Union La Calera

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Lay Under 1.5 for blue and Lay Over 1.5 for purple:

San Felipe another where there is no market

Martin

What a keeper this Trafford is!

Alex Rule

@Martin Yes - I am looking at Away teams with odds of 5.0 or less and from preliminary testing I think I will have a strike rate of between 70-80% which would work with the lower liability limits I have set. Most of the odds I am finding are closer to 4.0 or less so this really helps the profit margin on each trade.

More work to be done in the testing phase but if I go live I shall let people know. Seems like a decent system to try and exploit!

Martin

@Alex-Rule I'm thinking 3-5 ticks shorter rule of thumb

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the FC Haka v FC Inter match. 2-2 at HT

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Anyone think the over 1.5 goals odds are decent at 1.44 for the England v Spain match?

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@Craig-vaulks 1-1 in varn v djurg game now greened up.

Alex Rule

@Martin Spot on - thanks for letting me know! I'll report back on my findings as well.

Martin

The Over 1.5 market is often a good indicator of how the Second Half Goal odds will be at half-time. Anyone have any thoughts about whether it tends to be slightly above those odds or a bit shorter? I think shorter but just checking what others think as I want to record second half goal odds roughly on a filter I've just created. Cheers

Akiva Anderson

Went for a SHG in thr AIK v Hacken match. 1-0 at HT

Martin

@Alex-Rule 75.18% currently after 1092 selections

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keeping an eye on Varnamo 1-0 Djurgardens for away comeback. Potential lay on Var.

Richard Latimer

Lay Under 1.5 for blue and Lay Over 1.5 for purple:

james everard

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Disaster in Asia this morning!

Share that feeling mate , my late goal filter last 10mins goals 4 out of 4 losses , Martins lay over 3.5 goals again 1 loss ( Malaysia this time) Martins back over 1.5 goals ( Estonia loss).

Akiva Anderson

Disaster in Asia this morning!

Alex Rule

@Martin what's the strike rate on your LAY AWAY set and forget strategy? Having a go at creating something myself and just want to get a feel for what to be looking for. Cheers!

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Urawa Reds vs Tokyo match. 0-0 at HT. Not a great game, probably why the odds are 1.33

Akiva Anderson

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Gone for Over 1.5 Goals in the Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan match. 0-0 after 4 minutes

Too many missed chances from Pohang.

Akiva Anderson

Gone for Over 1.5 Goals in the Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan match. 0-0 after 4 minutes