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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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4.8k Posts 103 Posters 67.5k Views
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #4321

    What's people's thoughts on the Championship outright market?

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/football/market/1.215233425

    Hard to see past the three coming down? Don't like to say it but maybe Ipswich as a dark horse outside bet.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4322

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Lay Over 1.5 Union La Calera

    So close yet so far!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Stephen Hancox on last edited by
    #4323

    @Stephen-Hancox always wonder how many will actually make it through to the senior squad, it's funny how few do when you would think it was a natural progression

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen Hancox
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #4324

    @Martin The senior side has been very close so maybe over time with these U21's coming through the mix of experience and youth may do it.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #4325

    So do we think the Euro U21 success will lead to a trophy for the senior side?

    Stephen HancoxS 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4326

    Lay Over 1.5 Union La Calera

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4327

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Lay Under 1.5 for blue and Lay Over 1.5 for purple:

    702e6540-a688-43d8-ae52-1bc7874442f0-image.png

    San Felipe another where there is no market

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Alex Rule on last edited by
    #4328

    What a keeper this Trafford is!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    replied to Martin on last edited by Alex Rule
    #4329

    @Martin Yes - I am looking at Away teams with odds of 5.0 or less and from preliminary testing I think I will have a strike rate of between 70-80% which would work with the lower liability limits I have set. Most of the odds I am finding are closer to 4.0 or less so this really helps the profit margin on each trade.

    More work to be done in the testing phase but if I go live I shall let people know. Seems like a decent system to try and exploit!

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Alex Rule on last edited by
    #4330

    @Alex-Rule I'm thinking 3-5 ticks shorter rule of thumb

    Alex RuleA 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #4331

    SHG in the FC Haka v FC Inter match. 2-2 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #4332

    Anyone think the over 1.5 goals odds are decent at 1.44 for the England v Spain match?

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4333

    @Craig-vaulks 1-1 in varn v djurg game now greened up.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #4334

    @Martin Spot on - thanks for letting me know! I'll report back on my findings as well.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #4335

    The Over 1.5 market is often a good indicator of how the Second Half Goal odds will be at half-time. Anyone have any thoughts about whether it tends to be slightly above those odds or a bit shorter? I think shorter but just checking what others think as I want to record second half goal odds roughly on a filter I've just created. Cheers

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #4336

    Went for a SHG in thr AIK v Hacken match. 1-0 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Alex Rule on last edited by
    #4337

    @Alex-Rule 75.18% currently after 1092 selections

    Alex RuleA 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #4338

    keeping an eye on Varnamo 1-0 Djurgardens for away comeback. Potential lay on Var.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4339

    Lay Under 1.5 for blue and Lay Over 1.5 for purple:

    702e6540-a688-43d8-ae52-1bc7874442f0-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #4340

    @Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Disaster in Asia this morning!

    Share that feeling mate , my late goal filter last 10mins goals 4 out of 4 losses , Martins lay over 3.5 goals again 1 loss ( Malaysia this time) Martins back over 1.5 goals ( Estonia loss).

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    1 Reply Last reply
    1

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