*****New Football Thread*****
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Thats me for the day.. decent day:
LTD
Chesterfield vs Eastleigh
Olympiakos vs panetolikos
lask vs Wattens01.5
Wrexham vs Morecambe
Freiburg vs Darmstadt
Atletico vs Mallorca02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal
Zilina vs Kosice (will also be FHG trade)
Luzern vs Winterhur
Swindon vs Mansfield
Bastia vs AuxerreFHG
Ajax vs Vitesse
Dortmund vs Mönchengladbach -
@Mr-Emmet-Moorehouse great work thanks for sharing!
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Quite a lot to choose from today .. mine likely to include these:
LTD
Chesterfield vs Eastleigh
Olympiakos vs panetolikos
lask vs Wattens01.5
Wrexham vs Morecambe
Freiburg vs Darmstadt
Atletico vs Mallorca02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal
Zilina vs Kosice (will also be FHG trade)
Luzern vs Winterhur
Swindon vs Mansfield
Bastia vs AuxerreFHG
Ajax vs Vitesse
Dortmund vs Mönchengladbach -
Hello all,
In a post a few days ago, I wrote about a SHG filter I have been working on, and I said at the time that I would post some details.
Here is the SHG filter that I have been working on- so far we are at a strike rate of about 83% over 200+ games.
I still regard this as a work in progress but I do get the feeling that it is close to where it needs to be.
Please note that is is not a set and forget filter- the aim is to get in based on the in play stats and the odds.
It is best if I present the filters without getting into my thought process, as this will allow people to take their own view:
The above has had a strike rate of about 83% over the last 200 games.
When filtering the data, I found a way to increase the strike rate.
The updated filter is as follows:
The change in the first criteria increases the strike rate to 86%, but over a reduced sample of about 100 games.
It should be noted that during the testing period, we have had an international break, so going forward it will obviously be producing far more selections.
Coming back from the international break, this weekend's trading may be a bit tricky. But that aside, the next month or two will be important for this filter.
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@Mr-Emmet-Moorehouse said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson If you crack the FHG market, you should get a BTC knighthood.
The triple crown of BTC - S&F, SHG & FHG
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This post is deleted!
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@Akiva-Anderson If you crack the FHG market, you should get a BTC knighthood.
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Will go for a FHG in the Sydney derby here. Will also go o1.5 goals
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
19:45 - Larne v Glentoran. Larne to win at 2.15 (now around 2.02)
Both full-time teams. Larne are in great form. Glentoran, not so much. Glens have a fair amount of injuries and the supporters are unhappy with the manager and board. It's a toxic atmosphere here in East Belfast.
Larne are a great price.
2-1 Larne. Easy enough to be honest. 2.15 was too high a price for Larne.
Cracking night all round lads well done!
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
19:45 - Larne v Glentoran. Larne to win at 2.15 (now around 2.02)
Both full-time teams. Larne are in great form. Glentoran, not so much. Glens have a fair amount of injuries and the supporters are unhappy with the manager and board. It's a toxic atmosphere here in East Belfast.
Larne are a great price.
2-1 Larne. Easy enough to be honest. 2.15 was too high a price for Larne.
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Just this lay under 1.5 for me tomorrow:
Will take up to price of 7.4. If it's over that I'll more than likely lay under 2.5 (max price 3.5 - leave unmatched to go inplay if 3.5 not available).
Ends 1-2 so another win.
Only one tomorrow for me. Lay under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
LTD
Hamburg vs Braunschweig
Breda vs Den Bosch02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal
Sonderjyske vs Naestved
Breda vs Den Bosch goal came too late (luckily) loss covered by LTD trade01.5
PSG vs Monaco will watch in play stats
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A couple of interest tonight
LTD
Hamburg vs Braunschweig
Breda vs Den Bosch02.5 Split Stake out after 60 mins if no goal
Sonderjyske vs Naestved
Breda vs Den Bosch01.5
PSG vs Monaco will watch in play stats
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19:45 - Larne v Glentoran. Larne to win at 2.15 (now around 2.02)
Both full-time teams. Larne are in great form. Glentoran, not so much. Glens have a fair amount of injuries and the supporters are unhappy with the manager and board. It's a toxic atmosphere here in East Belfast.
Larne are a great price.
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
Some proper football on today...Halle-f*****g-lujah!
A good few months of proper football. Profit building hopefully. I'm off to New York in February and I need new clothes!!
I had Over 1.5 Goals in the Macarthur v Melbourne Victory this morning. A 95th minute equaliser!!
Also took at FHG at 1.31
If you placed £10 bets on the Home Win @ HT market using pre-match odds from Bet365, for all A-League matches so far, you would be in profit by £70. The strike rate is 44%. When I read that stat, I thought I could adapt it for a FHG
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Just this lay under 1.5 for me tomorrow:
Will take up to price of 7.4. If it's over that I'll more than likely lay under 2.5 (max price 3.5 - leave unmatched to go inplay if 3.5 not available).
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Nick-Allan no release date yet
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@Martin Has there been any news on the football backtesting software? any idea of a release date?
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@james-everard that's really amazing to hear!
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@Martin Exactly Martin it has taken me for years to realise that discipline is top of the list to become a successful trader. until you master this you will never be profitable. 4 months into a complete change of mindset and i feel like a completely new trader.
