*****New Football Thread*****

Richard Latimer

Awful weekend so far. All good work from November undone already.

Early goals but no 2nd half bite. Oh well.

I wonder if the extreme cold in Scotland was a factor. It's cold enough in my living room!

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Rushing....

Lay over 1.5 Hradec Kralov
Lay under 1.5 Ceske Budejovice
Czech Liga

Poor start

Richard Latimer

Lay under 1.5 East Fife

Richard Latimer

Lay under 1.5 Augsburg

Richard Latimer

Rushing....

Lay over 1.5 Hradec Kralov
Lay under 1.5 Ceske Budejovice
Czech Liga

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Looks like a busy Friday:

Blue are lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 and lay under 2.5 if price between 7.0-9.6
Purple are lay over 1.5
Remainder is lay under 1.5 only up to price of 6.2

Crap night. All the goals came in Belgium.

£50 loss

3/5 under 1.5 lays
0/2 over 1.5 lays

Akiva Anderson

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

SHG in no the Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix. 1-1 at HT

Bad start to Friday!

Akiva Anderson

SHG in no the Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix. 1-1 at HT

Richard Latimer

Looks like a busy Friday:

Blue are lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 and lay under 2.5 if price between 7.0-9.6
Purple are lay over 1.5
Remainder is lay under 1.5 only up to price of 6.2

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Overnighter Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8. Lay under 2.5 if between 7.0-9.6:

Ended 3-0

Mark Maguire

@Nick-Allan tried posting this a moment a go but pressed send to quickly so deleted and here's second attempt ..

I record odds for 01.5 and FHG on my own model (as well as o2.5) for all my 02.5 trades.. these are calculated and give me odds and probabilities - I've copied and pasted a section here - often there is a similarity but as you can see there are games where thats not the case and that can depend on the league/country.. there are countries where it starts slower..

Its a reasonable guide and if FHG stats aren't available I will refer to my 01.5 odds as a reference if that makes sense.. anyway hope this helps Left column is %FHG and Odds .. right column 01.5 % and odds

100% 1.08 99% 1.09
97% 1.11 87% 1.24
89% 1.21 78% 1.38
93% 1.15 84% 1.27
97% 1.11 91% 1.14
89% 1.21 70% 1.54
92% 1.17 77% 1.39
91% 1.18 80% 1.34
99% 1.09 98% 1.1
89% 1.20 74% 1.45
93% 1.16 82% 1.31
91% 1.18 87% 1.23
97% 1.10 88% 1.22
87% 1.23 80% 1.34
95% 1.13 87% 1.23
84% 1.28 75% 1.44
88% 1.23 75% 1.43
91% 1.18 84% 1.28
87% 1.23 80% 1.34
87% 1.23 80% 1.35
86% 1.25 76% 1.41
95% 1.13 94% 1.15
87% 1.23 77% 1.4
96% 1.12 90% 1.2
87% 1.24 75% 1.43
79% 1.36 83% 1.29
94% 1.14 80% 1.35
88% 1.22 72% 1.49
92% 1.17 78% 1.39
91% 1.19 77% 1.4
89% 1.21 80% 1.35
99% 1.08 99% 1.09
94% 1.14 90% 1.19
95% 1.13 87% 1.24
94% 1.14 83% 1.31
90% 1.19 83% 1.29
93% 1.16 93% 1.16

Nick Allan

@alexander-hughes no its not available when you look at betfair odds in the stats filter and thats what im looking for

Richard Latimer

Overnighter Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8. Lay under 2.5 if between 7.0-9.6:

alexander hughes

@Nick-Allan

Doesn't that work ? (H1 o0.5)

Mark Maguire

02.5 split stake Colchester vs Swindon

LTD in Magallanes vs Colo Colo

Akiva Anderson

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

SHG in the Porto v Antwerp match. 1-0 at HT

Love an injury time winner

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Porto v Antwerp match. 1-0 at HT

Nick Allan

Quick question for pros/everyone/anyone – are the FHG 0.5G and O1.5G odds similar at kick off? I know we don’t have a FHG filter on the software but there’s a O1.5G I wondered if I could use that as a similar barometer ?

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Just the one for tonight. Lay over 1.5:

Anti climax tonight

2-1 already

Mark Maguire

@Trevor-H ok so my rules are that first drip at start, second after fifteen mins, third at 35 if 3 shots on target, fourth at 45 if more shots on target..out after 60 mins if no goal.

If there is a goal in the first fifteen mins I will take enough green to leave a free bet or limit exposure and depending on above criteria post goal will drip at 35 if no further goal and shots on target indicators achieved but then stick to exit at 60