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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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4.8k Posts 104 Posters 67.7k Views
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  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    replied to Alex Rule on last edited by
    #2401

    @Alex-Rule said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    SHG SNIPER

    Schalke 04 0-0 Braunschweig currently HT
    Over 0.5 - 1.24
    Over 1.5 - 2.05

    920a9be9-475f-4607-b4ed-ff53b567ea3a-image.png

    Flown in! Backed over 1.5 goals at 2.1 - cashed out after he first goal. Healthy profit!

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Ben Dobie on last edited by
    #2402

    @Ben-Dobie if it's that bad reverse it, make profit!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • B Offline
    B Offline
    Ben Dobie
    wrote on last edited by
    #2403

    Genuinely considering a 0-0 at half time strategy because my ability to unwittingly pick them is becoming scary 🙄

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    😂
    1
  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    wrote on last edited by
    #2404

    SHG SNIPER

    Schalke 04 0-0 Braunschweig currently HT
    Over 0.5 - 1.24
    Over 1.5 - 2.05

    920a9be9-475f-4607-b4ed-ff53b567ea3a-image.png

    Alex RuleA 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2405

    Lay Under 1.5 Newport County

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Chris King on last edited by
    #2406

    @Chris-King said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Greg-Mitchell Ah great, thanks. How’s it performed in your opinion? I’m interested to compare the stats to some of my own on SHG.

    Managed to dig out before I go for pre-match drinks..

    BTC SHG.xlsx

    Chris KingC 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Chris KingC Offline
    Chris KingC Offline
    Chris King
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #2407

    @Greg-Mitchell Ah great, thanks. How’s it performed in your opinion? I’m interested to compare the stats to some of my own on SHG.

    Greg MitchellG 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Chris King on last edited by
    #2408

    @Chris-King said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Has anyone got past stats for the BTC SHG Members Filter, todays selections;

    IMG_0947.jpeg

    I will have them back to July (I think) can dig em out for you tomorrow.

    Chris KingC 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Chris KingC Offline
    Chris KingC Offline
    Chris King
    wrote on last edited by
    #2409

    Has anyone got past stats for the BTC SHG Members Filter, todays selections;

    IMG_0947.jpeg

    Greg MitchellG 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #2410

    @Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Greg-Mitchell women's football will be fascinating, want to test it a while to see how it holds up but it's a great addition

    Yes, I'm trusting my calculations that I use for the rest of football and no testing, but so far so good, have 100% strike rate so far in the few women's games I've done.

    Thats put the mockers on it..

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #2411

    @Greg-Mitchell women's football will be fascinating, want to test it a while to see how it holds up but it's a great addition

    Greg MitchellG 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    wrote on last edited by
    #2412

    First loser of the week last night, updated table with todays picks, no doubt the Saturday hoodoo will strike:

    86c66710-5061-4f45-823e-a3121748c1e6-image.png

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #2413

    @Martin All of my picks are based on Stats, I only use the odds to restrict my Liability, so will have a maximum odds for lay bets and a minimum odds for back bets based on the Strike Rate.

    So, this automatically picks up the value as in your example.

    A couple of recent ones from yesterday/this morning for example:

    Samsunspor v Galatasaray - Over 3.5 Stats % was 9%, odds were 2.92

    Western United (W) v Central Coast Mariners W - Over 3.5 Stats was 9%, odds were 2.7

    Admittedly both would have given you a bit of stress, as Galatasaray were 2 up after 11 minutes and the other was 2-1 after 28 mins (1-1 after 6). But both came in at Under 3.5 at Full Time.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2414

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Forgot to post that I'd laid under 1.5 in Breda.

    Not looking great at present.

    0-0 and not the start I wanted for Feb. Onwards...

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2415

    Forgot to post that I'd laid under 1.5 in Breda.

    Not looking great at present.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #2416

    Interested does anyone trade based on stats that stick out compared to odds? Just looking at the games manually.

    For example stats were saying around 80% chance of first half goal in Lecce v Fiorentina but odds were 1.54 for a first half goal.

    Greg MitchellG R 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    andrew page
    replied to Chris King on last edited by
    #2417

    @Chris-King said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @andrew-page interesting, not quite an unders though? So basically getting matched with as little liability as possible and allowing the match to play out to hopefully take a profit when there are goals? Could also work on lower goals markets. Thanks.

    lay low for big reward yep

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Chris KingC Offline
    Chris KingC Offline
    Chris King
    replied to andrew page on last edited by
    #2418

    @andrew-page interesting, not quite an unders though? So basically getting matched with as little liability as possible and allowing the match to play out to hopefully take a profit when there are goals? Could also work on lower goals markets. Thanks.

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    andrew page
    replied to Chris King on last edited by
    #2419

    @Chris-King said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Out of interest, which market would people recommend for an unders strategy?

    Trading from KO to 10 mins exit for a profit if no goal (if there’s a goal exiting trade when market settles).

    lay u6.5 @1.01 not many matched not many hit when match but get odd pearler and some decent trade out options

    Chris KingC 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #2420

    I'm a bigger fan of Emma Paton though.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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