*****New Football Thread*****
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@Martin I have found on a one of my set and forgets tests (FHG) that i just wait for odds 2.0 or i don’t trade it even though the stats had shown it was profitable entering from KO. SR is about 62-64% and staying in profit.
So it’s now turned in to a strategy i trade you could say. Just not many selections so may need to look at de-restricting the filter as it were to try to get more and see how it goes.
I have also thought of a lay over 4.5 goals strategy for matches with early goals on matches with short priced goals since tracking the BTC SHG filter which could be very good.
You had a recent pod about value and the timing of that with my current trading situation seems to have hit home. Although i always knew value was imperative i’m focusing far more on it than before.
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Does anyone try to get better odds on their strategies in play? Had a couple today where home teams I would have layed went 1-0 up and got quickly pegged back, both times I could have layed at odds on (Dnipro game went from 6.6-1.96 after an early goal!).
Think this could be a good strategy for those that set up alerts and have time to place trades in play.
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Just never panned out this weekend
Dropped 7 points -
@Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Richard-Latimer Think there goalkeeper and star striker can only play until halftime, then they have a plumbing job to do..
haha love this!
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@Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Richard-Latimer Think there goalkeeper and star striker can only play until halftime, then they have a plumbing job to do..
It's annoying because I wanted to lay them. Then the price shot up so I waited....but it just kept going up until they fell behind.
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@Richard-Latimer Think there goalkeeper and star striker can only play until halftime, then they have a plumbing job to do..
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Anyone trade non league? See the odds on Chippenham flew up just before kick off and they're only going higher despite Chippenham being on the attack.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@andrew-page my O1.5 nearly mirrors yours, yesterday was a good day for me, I was trading my selections from after filtering out the worst performing leagues for my strategy, hoping today follows suit, I'm on 6 out of 6 this morning.
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@Alex-Rule back testing... droooool please... Soon...
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@andrew-page now that's a list and half!!
Are those your final bets or your starting point? -
Lets see if come out today unscathed
Cruch end of a the winter leagues
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@Martin Thanks, but when I click the link I get the not found message and not the json data. Does it work if you click it?
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@mick-mcmahon said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Martin Getting a not found when clicking on that link
How to Download & Upload a Strategy:
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@Martin Getting a not found when clicking on that link
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@mick-mcmahon Tomaz Lay 1.5 strat has been doing well in the long term. Over a years worth of data now as well.
Hang on in there - once the footy update happens it's going to be like opening Pandora's box. The world will never be the same again. You'll be able to back test and then forward test just leaving the strats live in the software (as I understand it). Meaning you can run several strats and collect data at once and not touch them.
Then you will be able to link those to BFBM and and in just a few clicks in the morning your set and forget as well as inplay strats will do done for you!!!!
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@mick-mcmahon 3.0 is here: 1712600619872-filter-settings-3.txt
