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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
important
4.8k Posts 104 Posters 68.3k Views
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  • B Offline
    B Offline
    Ben Dobie
    replied to Ricky Simpson on last edited by
    #1441

    @Ricky-Simpson good for you mate 👍🏻 My filters are still not spitting many summer league fixtures out 😕

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Ricky  SimpsonR Offline
    Ricky  SimpsonR Offline
    Ricky Simpson
    replied to Martin on last edited by Ricky Simpson
    #1442

    Love the summer leagues 😎 all trading wrapped up before midday, no need to go looking for anymore, just enjoy the day 🍻

    B MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
    3
  • B Offline
    B Offline
    Ben Dobie
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1443

    @Martin makes sense …remember during lockdown that league was the only one that carried on

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • AdamA Offline
    AdamA Offline
    Adam btc team
    wrote on last edited by Adam
    #1444

    I might set up a thread for this actually - one where people can request leagues that are on Betfair but not in the software, or report leagues that are in the software but have no markets on Betfair, so we can remove them.

    BTC's Website and Software Man

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Ben Dobie on last edited by
    #1445

    @Ben-Dobie we don't include leagues not on Betfair and I assume it's not on there because of their involvement in the Ukraine war.

    B 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • B Offline
    B Offline
    Ben Dobie
    wrote on last edited by Ben Dobie
    #1446

    Belarus league not included on the stats ? Is that right ? Can see tonight’s game isn’t on Betfair either

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    wrote on last edited by Alex Rule
    #1447

    Bit of value for SHG 🔫

    CA Sarmiento (Res) v Tigre (Res) - HT
    0.5 goals - 1.41 currently 😎

    1f4e0cdf-9eb7-4a22-9c36-7f5ae80455ce-image.png

    cf69d17f-0593-4f4d-8516-4d7614434346-image.png

    BOOOOOM!

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Simon Bates on last edited by
    #1448

    @Simon-Bates

    It's looking at the 2 teams' last 10 matches (home for home away and saying that only 6% of those matches combined had a goal in the first 10 mins.
    It's this figure in the software:

    adam.png

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon Bates
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1449

    @Martin, re: the daily football stats email, this is what it said on one game today.....

    "Only 6% of their match history had a goal in the first 10 mins"

    Does this mean head to head between the 2 teams or 6% for each team individually in their history.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • S Online
    S Online
    Shannon Townsend
    replied to murdo martin on last edited by
    #1450

    @murdo-martin i actually think its easier as you have no opinion on the teams and can look purely at stats and odds...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    murdo martin
    replied to murdo martin on last edited by
    #1451

    @murdo-martin that went well

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #1452

    It's amazing how little you have to trade when you have a successful strategy or strategies.

    Some people ask me "Do you need a large starting bank to trade"? It is a difficult question to answer. A large starting bank is helpful if you've the experience, but the person asking the question normally doesn't have that experience.

    Those who remember the '3% Club' (trying to make an average of 3% of your daily starting bank everyday) I used to do; they were actually stressful times. The sheer volume of football matches usually get you through it.

    Nowadays, I try and make at least 10% of my weekly starting bankroll. Way less trading equals way less stress. It means I don't trade everyday and I still like to trade the matches I watch.

    So a starting bankroll of £100 could be turned into over £10,000 by the end of week 52.

    I find trading today a lot more easier than I ever did.

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    6
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    murdo martin
    wrote on last edited by
    #1453

    thinking i might lay the away team now,

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Arran Shackell
    replied to murdo martin on last edited by Arran Shackell
    #1454

    @murdo-martin

    There does seem to be a high elo difference but at the end of the day it’s entirely your call. Personally it’s too short for me from the off but each to their own and horses for courses and all that!

    Providing there’s no early goal I imagine it wouldn’t take too long for over 2.5 to reach 1.8 or so.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    murdo martin
    replied to Arran Shackell on last edited by
    #1455

    @Arran-Shackell according to the email molde should win this easy

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Arran Shackell
    replied to murdo martin on last edited by
    #1456

    @murdo-martin

    I’d wait for better odds in play providing there’s no early goal.

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    murdo martin
    replied to murdo martin on last edited by murdo martin
    #1457

    @murdo-martin footy stats have over 2.5 goals at 78%
    i will wait and see if i get 1.25

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    murdo martin
    replied to Alex Rule on last edited by
    #1458

    @Alex-Rule thanks

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    replied to murdo martin on last edited by Alex Rule
    #1459

    @murdo-martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    1.14

    Seems like a very short price there. You would need the probability of the outcome to be over 87.72% for it to be value.

    This is a handy website to check either the odds or probability so you can compare and get an idea of whether there is any value in a bet/trade. - https://strikeratecalculator.com/

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon Bates
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1460

    Morning all, it's probably a simple thing and I know I'll feel stupid once i find out 😂 but I've seen members on here share their Google spreadsheets, can someone tell me how to do this, I'd like to do what others have done showing their strategies and findings in the accountability section.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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