*****New Football Thread*****
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Just looking at the outright odds on the conference league. Sounds silly as it’s so short but even at 2.7 to 3.0, Chelsea still look like value. Those odds roughly indicate a 35% percent chance. I know it’s a tournament with a load of teams that hasn’t started yet but surely Chelsea win this at least 50% of the time. Only genuine threats are Betis and Fiorentina and over two legs you’d still expect them to be dealt with so it’s only the final against one of them that there may be some jeopardy in my opinion.
May be worth a crack. On the negative side I suppose problem is likelihood of having your liability stuck in Betfair for a fair few months as probably price won’t shorten substantially for a while.
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@Greg-Mitchell defo didn't lay yes?
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Oops Betfair...
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@Simon-Bates mental!
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Check this game, goals 42, 45, 47, 50, 53
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@Akiva-Anderson we should get some good match ups each round though, seems at least one per gameday will be a big match worth watching for the neutral.
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@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson what odds were Dortmund? Lots of big wins yesterday!
I said before the competition started that we'll see big scores. Some of these teams are nowhere near good enough to compete.
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@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson what odds were Dortmund? Lots of big wins yesterday!
I got 1.58
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@Akiva-Anderson what odds were Dortmund? Lots of big wins yesterday!
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Went for a SHG in the PSV v Sporting match
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Dortmund v Celtic.
Fancy Dortmund to win, but I'm laying the Under 1.5 Goals at 7.0 for the safer option.
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Dortmund v Celtic.
Fancy Dortmund to win, but I'm laying the Under 1.5 Goals at 7.0 for the safer option.
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@Stephen-Hancox great to hear, was thinking I might do the podcast with Ryan could be better to bounce reactions off each other
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@Martin I'm loving the overreactions podcasts as well. Something a bit different but topical. Plenty of trading angle ideas.
I've noticed on the football stats that English Champ, League 1 and league 2 had XG stats last season but don't this season. Is this something that has been binned? Or could be added back on?
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@Arran-Shackell didn't get a great response as a video but seems to work well as a podcast glad you are enjoying it!
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Overreactions is a good podcast to listen too @Martin
Especially for someone like myself who never had football as their ‘first’ sport.
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@Akiva-Anderson good info. I am terrible at keeping spreadsheets up to date so wrote some code to parse a days results from sofascore. And store that in a database. Going to write some more code so I can click on a match and record a bet...
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A few stats from the Premier League matches so far:
General Stats:
Games Played: 59
Home Wins: 20 (34%)
Draws: 18 (31%)
Away Wins: 21 (36%)
Total Goals: 166 (2.81)Over / Under:
Over 0.5 Goals: 57 (97%)
Over 1.5 Goals: 50 (85%)
Over 2.5 Goals: 32 (54%)Goals by Half:
Over 0.5 1H Goals: 47 (80%)
Over 1.5 1H Goals: 21 (36%)Over 0.5 2H Goals: 51 (86%)
Over 1.5 2H Goals: 21 (36%) -
@Arran-Shackell probably more due to Spurs Jekyll and Hyde nature!