*****New Football Thread*****
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Welcome to the new football trading main thread!
Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current ScoreMy testing sheet for 2025: Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0
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@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Got a question for the footy traders, what stat do you think is most important for football trading?
Number of games played in the season. Every other stat depends on which strategy you're deploying.
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@Shannon-Townsend I've been saying this to people for years! Its a great time to actually trade and refine your skills, the less games actually makes it easier to research your trades and get your systems and mind right for the winter.
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Still mostly Paper Trading but so far now that my O1.5 is now a Lay U1.5 after advice on forum it looks like it has some potential. FHG, I confess I am not in love with but still gathering data to make an edit at some point then decide if to ditch it or not, maybe give it 6 months. LTD I am really liking, the stats look good so far. Also gathering data for an under 3.5 which is now ready for tweaking.
Enjoying it so far
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@Shannon-Townsend sounds positive overall then! I always find the end of season stuff tricky but luckily the summer leagues are about to kick in, my favourite leagues to trade!
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@Alastair-Todd Yeh those days are brutal, especially when they come in a batch, its not fun his trading thing at times, but I always try to think about the times where I have been on a long run, I use these times when I have lost to keep me grounded and remind me its variance and thats a bitch.
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@Alastair-Todd Tough one to take, especially if you've invested a lot of time as well on the day. I always look at how Strats perform over a 100 trades at a time. Then I look at 3% profit minimum ideally. All of my Strats have many bad losing days. Took me a few years to get used to that.
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Sometimes this trading business winds me up - 15 winning trades today and then the last three trades of the day lost, which ended up wiping out all profit for the day. In fact a couple of quid down - what an absolute waste of time
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@Andy-Donnelly good shout that!
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Man Utd at 1.72 tonight. Got to be brave to be backing them at that price. Feels like decent lay value there
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@Tony-Hastie it clearly knows it's stuff
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@Martin You're chat gpt famous