*****New Football Thread*****
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Welcome to the new football trading main thread!
Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current ScoreMy testing sheet for 2025: Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0
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Dandenong thunder v dandenong city Shg looks great. 18 minutes left and stats back another goal should come.
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@Craig-Greenway different stats sites. Like looking at streaks.
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@Craig-Greenway how do you find youth games? must admit I avoid them and women's football for the most part!
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Like the look of Coventry u21 v Swansea u21 for a fhg. Home side with fhg in last 24 games and odds approaching evens.
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@Richard-Latimer I’ve layed man utd in both their league games so far. Tempted to do the same against Burnley but do expect they will win that one.
Still really surprised that the so called pundits and the markets were being seduced into thinking Utd had drastically changed from last season. It’s the same manager after all. They may yet turn it around but was never enough evidence for them to be touted as the 5th/6th best team in the league
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Can anyone even trust they'll be able to beat Burnley at home right now?!
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@Ryan said in *****New Football Thread*****:
WOW Man united
yeah, my FPL team is heavily weighted on Man U for some reason with Cunha, Mbeumo and Sesko. Now wondering who, if any, to remove and who to replace with. It's a draft but only 4 teams so still a few decent players around!
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@Craig-Greenway well done!
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Doubt Riga v Sparta Prague finishes 0-0. Over 1 goal line is just under 1.5 which looks good price to me.
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Evening guys. Trading a couple of games tonight. Currently on Emden v shonningen fhg. Small stake on now then will reback if reaches minimum 1.5.
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1st game I'm on today is Spennymoor v Macclesfield to have a fhg. Odds just under 1.4 at moment. Will jump on if this reaches 1.5. Decent stats to this.
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@Craig-Greenway said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Good start to the day with some of my trades.
Started researching more a day ensuring I'm only backing trades that have good stats behind them. Osasuna v Valencia just kicked off. Good stats for fhg and started at 1.52 odds. Great value.This is the key isn't it, once your shortlist is populated dig deep to see if there are any red flags
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@Andy-Donnelly said in *****New Football Thread*****:
2.16 for a Utd win today is far too short in my opinion. Markets overreacting to one match last week and still glaring issues in this Utd team.
Of course could still win but value lay for me
great shout as ever!
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Great odds and decent stats for a goal in the Cagliari v Fioretina game. Odds at around 1.8 with an hour gone.
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Good start to the day with some of my trades.
Started researching more a day ensuring I'm only backing trades that have good stats behind them. Osasuna v Valencia just kicked off. Good stats for fhg and started at 1.52 odds. Great value. -
2.16 for a Utd win today is far too short in my opinion. Markets overreacting to one match last week and still glaring issues in this Utd team.
Of course could still win but value lay for me
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@Alastair-Todd great question, I'm off on a day trip to Norwich today (about 10 hours driving) so can't answer this too deeply right now but the first thing would be liquidity for me, are there markets you will struggle to get in and out of?