Alex's - one year to being a pro
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@alex-rule said in Alex's - one year to being a pro:
@martin yes it seems to be doing alright at the moment. What's the best way to to get you the info you might want?
Not sure what you mean mate?
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@alex-rule I've got a home win at HT filter as well, that I am testing happy to compare notes if you need or want to matey.
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Month 4 of trading.
March was very up and down for my with large swings in variance killing off a fair bit of profit. Overall the month was down -£16.34 (using purely set and forget strategies)
Highlights
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Under 1.5 goals back is doing very well at 14.82% ROI. Slightly down to Feb but I guess that's variance for you.
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Tomaz Lay under 1.5 started after watching @Martin 's 12 month review. Results so far the this weekend have been very promising
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My under 3.5 goals longer odds is performing well at 6.78%
Lowlights
- My Home win at half time filter has taken a pounding and reduced my winning hugely. I'm hoping this is just a variance swing so next month will be very telling.
For April I am going to have my first go at trading Inplay strategies that I have been testing in the back ground for a few of months. I have a FHG strategy and a late goal 70mins strategy that I will start trading with small stakes.
Martins podcast on investment alternatives really help keep my motivation up during the down swing of my Home Win at Half Time and has kept my eyes on the longer term goal of sustained profit for the foreseeable.
Really looking forward to trading in play to see if the variance is reduced and profit is increased as I believe it should be. Here is to April!!! Bring it on.
£7 stakes for Set and Forget staying this month and £5 for inplay to get started!
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14sQHc1a_-Q92Y0nIh0JIPTU3-hese2svcynRGef9aog/edit#gid=0
Cheers,
Al -
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@martin thanks a lot. I have struggled with the patience side of things but your pods and videos have helped for sure. My question to you would be be do you think the community would be interested in any of my profitable selections? And if the answer is yes, what's the best way to go about sending them out? (Nervous newbie syndrome in case they falter!)
Cheers,
Alex -
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Month 3 of trading.
February was a much kinder month to me! It seems the World Cup hangover has passed and with better discipline I have managed to be back in profit. All strategies are still 'Set and Forget' but I am also collecting data on a few inplay strategies.
Overall I am up £54.86 - using £7 stakes which is great for me.
Highlights
- Under 1.5 market currently trading at 24.33% ROI which is consistent.
- Home win at half time at 12.12% ROI
Lowlights
- My back the draw filter is underperformed and now I do not trade it until I get more data.
- A few of my other filters really struggled and wiped their faces.
For this month of March I want to tweak a couple of my strategies that are nearly showing profit and see if I can squeeze more value out of them. I am also going to trade less and just focus on what is working.
This month I will keep my £7 stakes and see how the bank looks for next month and maybe look to increase. Slow and steady wins the race!!!!
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14sQHc1a_-Q92Y0nIh0JIPTU3-hese2svcynRGef9aog/edit#gid=0Let's see how we go!
Cheers
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@ryan sorry for the slow reply - just saw this. I have had another good month trading this strategy this month and currently it's been trading at 29.28% ROI. I use quite heavy league exclusion in order to get the higher strike rate. Let me know if you want the selections sent over and you can see for yourself if it's something this might be good for your portfolio? Cheers
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Month 2 of trading
Jan was a really brutal month for me and steep learning curve. I take some slight comfort from Martins video about Jan results and how if you joined BTC and started trading in Dec and Jan - which I have the results have been quite tough going.
Overall I was -£44.66 on my set and forget strategies using £5 stakes. A lot of my strategies seem to dive in Jan.
Highlights
- New back the draw strategy has shown a 23.64% ROI.
- Under 1.5 goals - 29.28% ROI
- Home Win at Half Time - 11.59% ROI
Lowlights
- My away win filter bombed (this needs more work and testing I think)
- Most of my other filters are showing negative results.
Plan going forward - I think I need to slow down a bit and track my strategies for Feb and see if Jan was a blip that will right itself and averages return to a 'normal level'
Keep testing my 70 min inplay goal strategy - current strike rate 62% strike rate 58 selections
Testing my FHG strategy - 65% strike rate with 52 selectionsI need to decide whether to up my £5 stakes to £7 on my winning strategies while I track the others and look for a return to normal level.
I'm enjoying it despite the Jan down turn and I hope that spring and summer football produce more predictable results on my strategies.
If anyone has any advice, tips or feedback then I am always ready to hear it. Roll on Feb and let's see if things pick up! Cheers, Al
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@alex-rule It's eye opening isn't it when it clicks that as traders we can go against where the market thinks it is and its usually the path to the promised land
Your long odds under 1.5 is cracking!! SR 50%+ and average odds over 3.0 keep that up!!
How are you picking these selections?
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@martin Thanks Martin, could not have done it without and you and Ryan's help. The mentality has been the hardest thing but I can hand on heart say that I did not trade a single bet that wasn't a selection on a strategy in Dec.
I also have to say that your idea of going against the market is where I am seeing the best results.
Under 1.5 Goals - 51%ROI
Away Win - 44% ROILower strike rates but bigger rewards! More data to add this month and hopefully a similar return!
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@keith-anderson Cheers, Keith. Will be interesting to see if I can match or increase it on these strategies for the next few months. Hope your trading is going well?
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Mazel tov, Alex!!
Wishing you many blessings!
