Jonathan's Journey
-
Day 3
Not a great day on any results. One assumption would be the cold weather as really seemed to struggle for goals on my second half filters and the BTC.
The biggest take away for me which has got my brain going is adopting more filters setup like Tomaz over 1.5 strategy as Martin has discussed before.
My value over 1.5 filter has been rubbish for backing 2 goals but if I had flipped it I would be in a much better position. Getting most odds to back unders above 3s would have seen some good profit since I started the filter. so I've set it up in reverse with small 10p stakes today to get some testing in.
I've setup a few different filters with the same principle and will monitor them for a little while to get a feel for the odds and results.
Once you really get stuck into trading properly it does feel like a more rewarding challenge taking on the market then following the crowd. I really do love looking for new angles and sifting through data. Such a nerd lol
-
Day 2
Another mixed bag day. Feeling like I need some real organisation as I'm a bit all over the place. I need to finish setting up the bots properly so I can feed the selections in easy in the morning. That's my priority for today.
I am also going to load my own selection filters into bf bot manager as I don't seem to currently have the proper time that I thought during the day to actually place the trades so I missed a few winners yesterday and ended up backing a loss so pretty much break even yesterday which isn't the problem for me it's the feeling of stress as I'm here there and everywhere.
I need to develop a daily plan and stick to it else this will end badly. So no manual trading at all until the bots are finished.
The beauty of bf bot manager is it keeps a nice profit tally and I can review daily data on it to track everything which is perfect for backend house keeping.
Once it's all setup I can post daily screenshots of P and L and any thoughts on certain trades.
I am quickly realising that I much prefer the boring side of trading and just setting it up and forgetting about it. When I'm trading inplay you do get some great highs when it's winning and you have called it correctly but dealing with the lows and walking away from a loss is hard. But with using software that's all taken away and I can just set smaller stakes and forget about it. My idea of perfection there!!
-
Day 1
There were no members set and forgets today so I've just focused on my own filters today.
I've setup 3 currently which are:
Second half goal home and away over 80% ( I seem to have an obsession with second half goals)Full time draw less then 20% ( looking at laying the draw at half time)
Home and away over 1.5 goals 80% and odds equal to or over 1.25 ( I'm looking at possible value bets here but also putting in an inplay price of 1.5 on the exchange)
The filters chucked up 5 games, 4 for second half goals and no draw ft and 1 fir the value 1.5.
What I found interesting is the second half and no draw filter gave 3 of the same game so that was interesting
First game was 0-0 half time. Brilliant fits the bill. I went in with lay the draw at odds around 3.15.
Goal came 58 mins perfect. But not quite. It went to the underdog and I was still looking at small loss. I still had the notion that around 3s laying would get me a profit second half but not in this scenario so that's a big takeaway for me.
I could see the momentum of the game on sofa score and the underdog was still in control so I let the trade ride for another 10 mins and traded out for about 8%. The fav was pushing so right time I think. The game ended 2-1 to the fav which seems annoying in hindsight as the lay won but they didn't score a second goal till after 90 mins and who would of stayed in that late on a trade ? So all in all right decision to go in Just wrong market. Should have looked at overs.
The other 3 games had second half goals. I misssd one game which was a win so decided to go in with straight second half bet on the other 2 games.
Feels a little gung ho so need to refocus on what my plan is here. Moving forward
The over 1.5 value bet was the biggest let down. I had the alert setup on sofa score and boom goal after 10 mins. I go on to betfair and no bets??? I bloody forgot to select keep inplay. What a rookie mistake. Match ended 2-0 and would of been matched at 1.5.
A few ups and downs but plenty to learn from after 1 day lol.
Onwards and upwards
-
@Ryan is that a hint at something you've got in the pipeline lol? Would be amazing
-
@jonathan-batten This sounds like a match made in heaven that does!
Imagine if there was an BTC Automater BTC bot that did it for you!
-
Hey @Ryan . Ive had BF Bot Manager setup for about 2 months. Ive played around with a few strategies just using the built in prematch stats. Its quite limited though and thats where BTC comes into things and gives a lot more options. Plus im getting a bit fed up of testing out lots of random strategies when ive got solid one sent out to me everyday from you guys so i feel my time is better focused in other areas.
I have a second half goal strategy with 3 variations running and they are doing ok but need proper long term testing so i am going to implement the 8 Strategies in the Set and forget collaboration.
They are clearly consistent and diverse so i love that. Basically money on autopilot and wil only take 20 mins a day to import them into BF Bot Manager.
I also have a version of your lay the draw that is working ok but i can implement it to use your filter now which will make it more consistent.
