Daves FHG Set & Forget
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26/2/22
Today's Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
25/2/22
Today's Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
No selections yesterday
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
24/2/22
Today's Selections:
No selections today
Yesterdays Results:
No selections yesterday
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
@david-pickett quality not quantity
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@martin It's sitting at a steady 80% win rate. The only issue is the lowish number of qualifying bets.
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@david-pickett lovely!
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23/2/22
Today's Selections:
No selections today.
Yesterdays Results:
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
@david-pickett yeah and the 3/4 goals SH
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22/2/22
Note: I'm on the verge of deleting the Swiss leagues as they seem to produce a lot of 0-0 HT draws.Today's Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these -
21/2/22
This was a really poor weekend for this system. Lots of odds outside the range, some early goals and more than expected 0-0 draws at HT, meant that I only managed seven bets of which three lost. This resulted in a loss for the weekend (on a £10 stake) of £16
Today's Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections. -
20/2/22
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.Today's Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
Really poor results across the board today FHG & O2.5 with early goals and iffy odds, not a single EP... and I'm a City supporter. A day best forgotten
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19/2/22
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.Today's Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
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18/2/22
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.Today's Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
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17/2/22
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.Todays Selections:
Yesterdays Results:
No Bets
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@david-pickett said in Daves FHG Set & Forget:
This is my Set & Forget FHG strategy. I will try to post the long list every day and the results the day after.
It is a bit of faffing about because I take the results from the filter and run them through a probability spreadsheet to find matches with over 90% probability of a First Half Goal. (The software may be able to do this, but I couldn't figure it out).
I then check the odds at the kick-off for games that are between 1.3 and 1.45, I don't back games outside this price range.
I place an order in the market @1.5 on those games. The longest I have had to wait for an order to match is 11 minutes, but mostly it is under 7 minutes.
Because the odds are quite low, I set the winning bets as doubles. (So the profit on one game gets added to the stake of the next).
I have not yet filtered out any leagues and will start to do this when I have around a thousand results, but I have noticed that evening kick offs in Serie A have let me down fairly regularly, so I avoid those games.
Here are today's games. (The first game has already kicked off, but the starting price was 1.54, too high for me to back.)Nice little strategy, I like this one and you have answered a question I was asking myself about starting odds
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16/2/22
At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
Place an order to back over 0.5 first half goals at 1.5
This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.Todays Selections.
No selections today.
Yesterdays Results:
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@david-pickett thanks how is the probability worked out?
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Hi Martin,
The filter is imaginatively called 'First Half Goal - Dave'
The filter setting are:
Filter:
Home matches played >=3
Away matches played >=3
Home scored in H1 % >=0
Away scored in H1 % >=0
Ov. 0-0 HT
League restriction: All
Date restriction: Tomorrow or earlier
Match at least X criteria: All
Scope: Last 20 matches
Restrict to current season: Yes
Exclude play-offs: YesI will send you a copy of the spreadsheet for working out the probability, it's a simple sheet, so I'm guessing that the software can probably do it.
Cheers
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@david-pickett thanks for this, interesting price range one I may take a look at on some of my FHG tests later down the line!
what criteria do you use on the probability sheet? I'll see if we can figure out how to take that part out for you if possible.
What's the filter name? Do you want me to export it to your post?
