Set & Forget Football Strategies
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This thread is for members of the community to work together to build some profitable set and forget football strategies.
THESES ARE NOT TIPS! This is a community project as above.
If following make sure to stick to the rules of the strategy and read this: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/new-martins-revised-7-key-rules-trading-football
How to Download & Upload a Strategy:
Results Sheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qisAtUpuQ0VqddUJ5VypUKHj4J02wHJI4ENtPR1gPNA/edit#gid=27565906
Downloads!
Feel free to test these strategies below, as above they are not tips.
Lay Away 2.0 - Lay Away 2.0.txt
Lay Away 3.0 - filter-settings (3).txt
Lay Home 2.0 - Lay Home 2.0.txt
Back Home 1.0 - Back Home 1.0.txt
Back Home 1.8-2.28 odds - filter-settings (1).txt
Over 3.5 Goals:
filter-settings.txt(Lay Away 1.0, Tomasz Lay Under 1.5 and Lay Over 3.5 Goals are already in your software presets)
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@james-everard yes winter leagues about to kick in big time!
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@Martin Typical same with my under 1.5 goal filter i started lol. Think it is because it is coming to the end of the summer leagues and not many games on my filters atm. That should hopefully change in the next fortnight with the winter leagues filters starting to kick in
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@james-everard great work though looks really solid
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@james-everard haha it's like if it's talked about it struggles that month isn't it!
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@Martin Typically every month profitable bar this month but overall seems to be good. You only need a strike rate of around 23% to break i wait for odds on laying under the next goals to hit 1.24 or below
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@Arran-Shackell Adam does the stats in the email from the football ratings, it will be home for home etc and last 10 matches I think
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@Martin what filter do you use for X % of matches played had a goal in the last 10 minutes in the stats highlight emails?
Cheers
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@james-everard wow that's great info! Will have to give that a go!
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@Martin Been trading this strategy for months and been profitable every month so far ( My go to strategy) my filter is based on the last 5 matches ( i did try 10 matches paper trading and this wasn't profitable)
Overall matches played 5+
Home goals for 91+ + away goals scored 91+ ( greater or equal to 3)
Overall goals scored 91+ ( greater or equal to 5+)
Restrict to current season
Exclude play offs -
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@Arran-Shackell I went back to 2.0 as that seemed to be best
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Was that the 3.0 version out of interest?
Was thinking about it last night and how it might have been doing.
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@Joseph-Henderson yes it can have a big difference especially if laying at high odds (like I do on horses)
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@Martin thanks. Am I right in thinking the staking plan you adopt can affect your edge? For example flat stakes versus target amount to win.
