Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@greg-mitchell key is that the strategies are good ones, if you put three bad over 2.5 goals ones together then they are unlikely to be good for over 2.5 goals for example. I do have a combined strategy for goals, it’s great for late goals especially but not many picks at the moment.
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@greg-mitchell I personally don’t but I do like the thinking. There’s a perverse danger that the selections you end up with are so strong that the outcome is almost expected and the odds reflected accordingly
The good thing is you can test which is the most profitable way. If you compare the results of the refined list compared to the complete list over say 300 games then you will see whether it’s better or not. Also, if you can find a way to do this test but with flexibility in how you’ve refined it then that may help. You may say ‘well the refined list was better than the standard list however the could’ve refined it better by using x criteria instead of y’
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Just wondering, does anybody else use multiple filter combinations to generate selections? I have 22 different filters set up, which includes most of the presets plus a number of my own. I have set up a spreadsheet into which I export all of my filter selections every day.
I have then allocated each of the filters according to one of 3 main strategies (Back Over 1.5, Lay Over 3.5 and Lay The Draw), so for example of the above BTC Strategies, Martins Over 1.5, Tomasz Under 1.5, The BTTS one and the Over 2.5 Goals one are all allocated to the Back Over 1.5 Strategy.
I then have formulas to give each filter a score based on its success rate, so above 90% gets 3 points, 85% to 90% gets 2 points, anything else gets 1 point.
The selections I eventually do, need to match a minimum number of filters and/or a minimum number of points, currently it is 3 filters and/or 5 points.
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@martin-walker said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
Nice to see all these doing well over the year.
Ive taken a quick look at the over 1.5 and noticed 16 losers in lower league english games
I'll do a league update in mid feb when I have a year of data on that strategy
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Nice to see all these doing well over the year.
Ive taken a quick look at the over 1.5 and noticed 16 losers in lower league english games
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@dave-tancock 1.65+ strategy not been great though so monitoring it for now
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With the BTTS set and forget, I’m not seeing anything about the odds parameters. Can I ask what they are. Sorry if I’ve missed something obvious.
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Hi all. Are the African leagues ok to use for the Tomasz over 1.5 goals. Thanks
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@martin Do we only get selections via email or are they on the software?
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@nick-allan I c thanks
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@andrew-shipley said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
Hi, on the tomaz lay under 1.5 do you need the correct odds pre kick off or can you wait after kick off to get the correct odds?
if its say 3.7 i would trade it with a 3.5 odds offer and select keep on BF as its close to the max, but anything north of that i leave it. You would be amazing how fast odds come down after kickoff, its literally take 2 mins to match
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@andrew-shipley said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
Hi, on the tomaz lay under 1.5 do you need the correct odds pre kick off or can you wait after kick off to get the correct odds?
pre for me but do whatever works for you
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Hi, on the tomaz lay under 1.5 do you need the correct odds pre kick off or can you wait after kick off to get the correct odds?
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@terence said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
Hi what does the ELO stand for in ELO Away Team - Lays?
I replied to this 4 days ago!
here you go again: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rating_system
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@peter-goodall said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
i copied and pasted all the text files to "My Saved Filters" and when i do an export all i get a different (more selections) than those included in the email sent today. Below is a screenshot of the export. Whats sent in the email is a subset of this. Any ideas why ?
This will help you: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/new-martins-revised-7-key-rules-trading-football
