Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@conor-medlyn If you lay £10 pounds on the under 1.5 market at odd of 3.25 your liability if you lose is 22.50 and your profit if you win is £9.80 ie your stake less the 2% commission.I hope that helps
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Hello guys. I am looking at Tomasz's lay under 1.5 goals results sheet and really confused about it. His profits are the exact same for every win. £9.80. Is there someone who is doing this strategy who could explain this to me please. I don't understand how its possible. Thanks.
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Does anyone know how to see the BF SP for a particular market without waiting for the historical market data from BF?
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@martin-walker said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
For first half goal i have 2 filters that i started a while back. One is 84.8% after 205 games, one is 77.2% after 325 games.
My old one is 73% SR with 5.8% ROI with I think it was 311 games. I have just added another piece of criteria to it to look for the average goal time to be between 15 - 30 mins. Got 4 games for tonight. 1 has come in, 1 has lost and 2 are yet to play
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@terry-heller no this was early days in the filter creation process so no goal times or odds.
It wont make a difference really though. The strike rate will come down at ten mins and the odds will go up
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@martin-walker Do you have a record of the strike rate if you enter the market at 10 minutes?
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For first half goal i have 2 filters that i started a while back. One is 84.8% after 205 games, one is 77.2% after 325 games.
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FHG is one id like to crack. I traded it for about a year profitably but covid destroyed it and i never got back into it for some reason
Huge value to be had in that market aswell
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I've been working on a couple lately but they're just breaking even and need more tinkering with, they are possibly too simplistic. I have also been tracking the BTTS strategy as a BTTS NO since last month and early on it looks interesting.
+4.74 units in February after 48 picks
+7.11 units in March so far after 18 picksObviously far too early yet to see if there is anything in this as I know it has been profitable as a Yes strategy some months and at one point in Feb is was down 7.1 units but will keep tracking for now.
Pretty sure someone else has said they were tracking this as well, but just thought I'd mention it. -
@john-malloy said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Is or has anyone been working on their own set and forgets, that could potentially be added to the list? if they passed Martins seal of approval of course,,
I started to test a FHG filter last year and started retesting again the other day. Solar its at 72% with only 69 selections so far. not put any money on it just looking at what would win and what wouldn't. I will eventually look at dripping stakes in to get better odds value.
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yeah Dave its around 13 points up for the month so far, but the variance with it seems wild,, its not for the feint hearted lol.
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@john-malloy was wondering how dans Ltd was doing. Not gonna touch for a bit after January though
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Is or has anyone been working on their own set and forgets, that could potentially be added to the list? if they passed Martins seal of approval of course,,
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@jon-kinnear Yeah its been smashed in January, just when i started using it, only to pound stakes though , but still 40 down in no time,, just monitoring it for now...
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@gary-tunnicliffe said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@john-malloy said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
in other news Dans ltd is back with avengance. 16 straight wins by my reckoning.
been pulled off the profitable members list hasnt it ??
still in the OP ready to download to your filters
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@gary-tunnicliffe said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@john-malloy said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
in other news Dans ltd is back with avengance. 16 straight wins by my reckoning.
been pulled off the profitable members list hasnt it ??
I dont think many people will touch it after it lost 40 points in January, think the ROI dropped below 1% aswell.
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@john-malloy said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
in other news Dans ltd is back with avengance. 16 straight wins by my reckoning.
been pulled off the profitable members list hasnt it ??
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in other news Dans ltd is back with avengance. 16 straight wins by my reckoning.
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@andy-donnelly enough for me to drop it, easy to save a copy with the league in if you want to in your own filters