Journey to semi pro
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Ive decided to restart this thread after taking a break from the forum.
Im going to document my SHG trading. My potentials come from several filters (some of my own and some from on here) All fully tested. I also have several more currently being tested.
All this will lead to a list to simply back another goal at HT
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29/01/2023 12:30:00 Arminia Bielefeld Sandhausen
29/01/2023 14:00:00 Strasbourg Toulouse
29/01/2023 17:30:00 Waregem Club Brugge KV
29/01/2023 11:30:00 AC Milan Sassuolo
29/01/2023 12:30:00 Hamburger SV Braunschweig
29/01/2023 13:15:00 Young Boys Winterthur
29/01/2023 14:00:00 Legia Korona Kielce
29/01/2023 14:00:00 Juventus Monza
29/01/2023 15:15:00 Levante Burgos CF
29/01/2023 16:00:00 Fenerbahce Kasimpasa
29/01/2023 17:30:00 Albacete Lugo
29/01/2023 19:45:00 Paris SG Reims
29/01/2023 19:45:00 Napoli AS Roma
29/01/2023 20:00:00 Genk Seraing Utd
29/01/2023 11:15:00 Twente Feyenoord
29/01/2023 10:30:00 Istanbulspor AS Kayserispor
29/01/2023 16:00:00 Dundee Utd Celtic
29/01/2023 14:30:00 Schalke FC Koln -
28/01/2023 06:00:00 Macarthur FC Western United W
28/01/2023 13:00:00 Hatayspor Trabzonspor
28/01/2023 15:00:00 Rangers St Johnstone
28/01/2023 15:15:00 Girona Barcelona
28/01/2023 17:00:00 Aarau Thun
28/01/2023 19:45:00 Charleroi St. Gilloise
28/01/2023 20:00:00 AZ Alkmaar Utrecht
28/01/2023 20:00:00 Marseille Monaco
28/01/2023 12:00:00 Darmstadt Regensburg
28/01/2023 14:30:00 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bochum
28/01/2023 14:30:00 SC Freiburg FC Augsburg
28/01/2023 15:00:00 Partick Hamilton
28/01/2023 15:00:00 Coventry Huddersfield
28/01/2023 15:15:00 Genoa Pisa
28/01/2023 15:30:00 PSV G.A. Eagles
28/01/2023 17:30:00 Bayern Munich Eintracht Frankfurt
28/01/2023 18:00:00 Caen Laval
28/01/2023 19:45:00 Atalanta Sampdoria
28/01/2023 20:00:00 Las Palmas Huesca
28/01/2023 15:00:00 Raith Inverness
28/01/2023 17:00:00 Cremonese Inter
28/01/2023 17:45:00 Waalwijk FC Emmen
28/01/2023 15:00:00 Hibernian Aberdeen
28/01/2023 15:00:00 Burton Oxford Utd
28/01/2023 15:00:00 Shrewsbury Forest Green11/13
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27/01/2023 19:00:00 Eindhoven FC Heracles L
27/01/2023 19:00:00 Den Bosch Maastricht X
27/01/2023 17:00:00 Besiktas Alanyaspor X
27/01/2023 17:30:00 Dusseldorf Magdeburg X
27/01/2023 19:00:00 Roda Dordrecht W
27/01/2023 19:00:00 Zwolle Oss X
27/01/2023 19:30:00 RB Leipzig VfB Stuttgart X
27/01/2023 19:45:00 St. Liege Eupen W
27/01/2023 19:00:00 Helmond Jong Ajax W
27/01/2023 19:45:00 Cove Rangers Ayr W
27/01/2023 20:00:00 Lorient Rennes WLeft a few but they went 10/11
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@martin-walker It came up for me also had the same thought
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Netherlands Eredivisie 26/01/2023 20:00:00 Ajax Volendam
Unlikely ill trade due to odds and form but will see at HT
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24/01/2023 19:45:00 Crusaders Linfield W
24/01/2023 19:45:00 Glenavon Cliftonville W
24/01/2023 19:30:00 Bayern Munich FC Koln x
24/01/2023 19:45:00 Larne Portadown x
24/01/2023 19:45:00 Bolton Forest Green x
24/01/2023 19:45:00 Ipswich Morecambe x
24/01/2023 19:45:00 Coleraine C. Rangers W
24/01/2023 19:45:00 Ballymena Newry City L
24/01/2023 19:45:00 Glentoran Dungannon x
24/01/2023 17:30:00 Schalke RB Leipzig W -
@martin-walker been a while!
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23/01/2023 17:30:00 Bologna Cremonese W
23/01/2023 19:00:00 Jong Ajax Roda L
23/01/2023 20:00:00 Fulham Tottenham L
23/01/2023 19:45:00 Inter Empoli x -
Australia A-league 23/03/2022 08:35:00 Brisbane Roar Melbourne City
+0.34pts
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Im going to be looking to start this back up for shg trading as it gave me my best performing months yet during the middle of last year. The problem i had was using one filter so now i will be using several filters to provide one list for the day.
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@martin-walker Well done on your results
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Valencia trade winning plus a second half goal at 0-0 gives 0.7 points for the day.
This leaves the month on a high and overall
1.5 12.36 points
Shg 8.12 points -
@martin-walker I can relate to the strategy part. I've just put my data on Spread sheets, which shows me a stack of Info and made me realise that I know more than I thought. LTD works really well for me.
You mention stakes, my Spread Sheets show me I varied in my stakes, from doing £2, going up to £10 then coming in here and learning how to trade a different way. I am now doing 2% of Bank, which I shall stick too for the timne being.
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Last trade of the year is valencia over 1.5 at odds of 1.35
End of year review.
Ticked along nicely for a few months then had a real wobble around the euros and lost money, decided i needed way more discipline so started to trade one filter only. This led to some huge gains for a large portion of the year, regularly 30-40% increases in bank per month then the filter showed signs of slowing down until it produced 2 and nearly 3 months around break even. I was so disciplined in this that i just carried on trading it until earlier this month. Now i actually think i should of acted sooner.
New plan going forward is to be more fluid and act if needed.
I will be trading the over 1.5 strat and tracking the shg along with it as a back up for now.
Despite the poor recent months my bank is now at a point where 10% each month next year gets me to my semi pro goal and potentially even reaches the full time goal although i dont actually plan on quitting my job when i reach that level.
Ive dropped from 5% stakes to 2.5% stakes and i feel 10% per month is very doable, i wont be actively chasing 10% i will just let my trading fall where ever it does. -
@martin-walker good work, keep keeping us updated sounds interesting
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Blackburn and chelsea last night take this to 11.15 points for the month.
There is also a shg option with this with 0-0 1-0 0-1 the only worth doing, this is at 7.5 points for the month.
Im still unsure wether to play this or not with it.
Theres also the option of only playing 0-0 to potentially pick up any slack in bad months for the over 1.5.
This currently sits at just under 4 points for the month with zero 0-0s in the 67 games since retracking. -
With my old strategy on pause for a while im moving over to backing over 1.5 pre match.
The basic idea is looking for games i expect to have over 1.5 goals then checking for value.
For example chelsea tonight are a big home favourite and are fully expected to get a few goals against brighton in my opinion, they are also conceding a lot at the moment. Ive checked the recent results and chelsea havnt had a home game less than 1.5 in quite a while although im only concerned with recent form (last 5 or so).
I believe the odds should be around 1.2 but ive managed to get 1.31
Doing this has returned 10.5 points this month with an 11% margin.This whole idea is born by taking bits i like from quite a few people on here plus bits ive learnt tracking thousands of games this year, but ive got it all condensed into a very simple approach. I feel im now disciplined enough and have learnt enough to move to things like this now when i feel the need to instead of persisting with things that are underperforming.
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@richard-latimer its something i worked on a while ago and have come back to it. The recent tracking is at 57 games.
