LTD before kick off help please
-
Hi all. I am a newbie getting to grips with trading. Have just signed up this month and very much learning the ropes. Have been through a lot of the YouTube videos and podcast and all really great content. I have picked one strategy and pulling apart to get an understanding and have a few questions. The strategy is the Lay the Draw before kick off
The questions I have are
- Why do you look for 20 goals scored for both teams in the last 20 games (why that number?)
- Why looking for under 20% for half time 0-0 (why that number?)
- Why looking for home team to score first?
Generally are you looking for the home team to score first? I was watching the 2 Championship play off 1st leg matches last night and the odds to back the draw once Bournemouth scored were a lot higher than when Swansea scored. Is this because Bournemouth were the home team?
Apologies if these are really dumb questions but I'm just learning. Thanks for your time
-
Gotcha,
Wasn't 100% sure on it but now I know.
So the reason I was looking at those stats was this filter was pretty much my first way of trading football and I built upon it over the years and these were the additions I added in.
It's a longer term play as it has ups and downs over a season but its profitable longer term.
-
@barrie-smith it will be down to their prematch odds and the time of the game the goal is scored. So if a favourite scores the draw odds will go out a fair bit, if the underdog scores the draw odds might not move much unless late in the game.
-
@chris-osborne thanks Chris, will take a look
-
First of all welcome to BTC
Not seen that video but if you want a LTD at KO strategy, have a look at Stuart's thread as linked below: -
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2401/ltd-set-and-forget-if-you-wish/1178
