2022 Tennis Trading Thread

Martin · wrote on 22 May 2019, 08:57

Tennis - Ryan's Lay the Favourite at 3-3 or 4-4: Rules lay the favourite when the score gets to 3-3 or 4-4 in the first set (green up or take loss if at end of set or before).

Wta - Singles Nurnberg 22/05/2019 09:30:00 Minella M. Siniakova K.
Wta - Singles Nurnberg 22/05/2019 09:30:00 Kuznetsova S. Larsson J.
Wta - Singles French Open 22/05/2019 10:30:00 Gorgodze E. Lu J.
Wta - Singles French Open 22/05/2019 10:30:00 Perrin C.
Rodionova Ar.
Wta - Singles Nurnberg 22/05/2019 11:00:00 Stojanovic N.
Sorribes Tormo S.
Atp - Singles Lyon 22/05/2019 11:30:00 Moutet C.
Bautista-Agut R.
Atp - Singles Geneva 22/05/2019 17:00:00 Dzumhur D. Wawrinka S.

? Offline · 22 May 2019, 08:52

@ryan-carruthers yeah i'm not having a great month tbh. Luckily my racing bots are keeping me afloat at the moment!
I do have 2 i like the look of today though. I like the price on Londero Vs Albot. I think you have to watch out for motivation a week before a slam like this, but I think Londero should be well motivated as he's only really burst onto the ATP tour this year so will be looking to make an impact where he can. I'd have him as favourite vs Albot, so will back him at 1-1 if both hold.
I will also look to back Cuevas if a break down before 4-4 or a set down.

Ryan · 22 May 2019, 08:52

I'm looking through the tennis now for today, it's bit tougher out there at the moment on the trading isn't it bud @Simon

? Offline · 21 May 2019, 18:28

@simon said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

Trading watchlist for the day

Back if a break down before 4-4

Millman

WTA low PJH

Paar
Doi
Flipkens

I also like the odds on Mayer vs Sousa. I’d have Mayer more around the 1.6 mark. I’ll let both serve and then back Mayer if both players hold and be out by the end of S1.

Millman - no trade
Paar - loss
Doi - no trade
Flipkens - rain delay
Mayer - loss but backed again in set 2 which he won so reduced my losses there.

Ryan · replied to A Former User on 21 May 2019, 08:04

@simon liking the Mayer trade matey, pretty much carbon copy of what I was thinking and will do Nice work!

? Offline · 21 May 2019, 08:04

Trading watchlist for the day

Back if a break down before 4-4

Millman

WTA low PJH

Paar
Doi
Flipkens

I also like the odds on Mayer vs Sousa. I’d have Mayer more around the 1.6 mark. I’ll let both serve and then back Mayer if both players hold and be out by the end of S1.

Martin · wrote on 20 May 2019, 11:12

Tennis - Ryan's Lay the Favourite at 3-3 or 4-4: Rules lay the favourite when the score gets to 3-3 or 4-4 in the first set (green up or take loss if at end of set or before).

Wta - Singles Nurnberg 20/05/2019 11:30:00 Zidansek T. Doi M.
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 20/05/2019 12:00:00 Han X.Y.
Schmiedlova A. K.
Atp - Singles Geneva 20/05/2019 12:30:00 Ebden M. Jarry N.
Wta - Singles Nurnberg 20/05/2019 13:00:00 Pliskova Kr. Niemeier J.
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 20/05/2019 13:30:00 Hesse A. Wang Y.
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 20/05/2019 13:30:00 Benoit M. Kostyuk M.
Wta - Singles Nurnberg 20/05/2019 14:00:00 Kuznetsova S. Larsson J.
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 20/05/2019 16:30:00 Garcia C. Rogers S.
Wta - Singles Nurnberg 20/05/2019 16:30:00 Lisicki S.
Tomljanovic A.
Atp - Singles Lyon 20/05/2019 16:45:00 Gasquet R. Janvier M.

Ryan · wrote on 19 May 2019, 07:49

Won't be trading it but looking forward the Rome final at 3pm today, Novak v Rafa!

Martin · wrote on 19 May 2019, 06:54

Ryan's Lay Favourite at 3-3 4-4 in first set strategy - Today's Picks
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 19/05/2019 09:00:00 Parry D. Zarazua R.
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 19/05/2019 10:30:00 Kostyuk M. Cristian J. A.
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 19/05/2019 12:00:00 Ferro F. Kumkhum L.
Wta - Singles Nurnberg 19/05/2019 13:00:00 Rodina E. Brengle M.
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 19/05/2019 13:30:00 Tan H. Zheng S.
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 19/05/2019 13:30:00 Zhu L. Sabalenka A.
Atp - Singles Geneva 19/05/2019 14:30:00 Zverev M. Londero J. I.
Wta - Singles Nurnberg 19/05/2019 14:30:00 Putintseva Y. Jakupovic D.
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 19/05/2019 15:00:00 Hesse A. Wang Y.

Ryan · wrote on 18 May 2019, 21:32

@dave-jessop that’s been a f**k up for pretty much everything today! You seen Betfair tweet about if you place one bet and then another to reduce your liability it’s basically your own fault lol

Ryan · wrote on 18 May 2019, 20:48

@dave-jessop hows it doing?

Ryan · wrote on 18 May 2019, 08:26

keeping my eye on the 11am Bertens v Konta game, I think Konta will push Bertens initially....

Then look to back Bertens 1.80+ unless Konta is totally dominating the first set then I will lay Konta if she wins the first set.

? Offline · replied to A Former User on 18 May 2019, 05:36

@simon said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

Plan for today is to lay whoever goes a break up in the Nishikori vs Schwartzman match, then green up when broken back. I may repeat this several times depending on how the game is going. Both these players are great returners and weak servers, so on paper there should be breaks a plenty!

Small loss on this trade. Just traded in set 1. Layed Schwartzman when he went a break up, then took a red when he went 2 breaks up. Went in again though and recovered most the deficit when Nishikori broke back. Not great but not terrible.

Martin · wrote on 18 May 2019, 05:35

Tennis - Ryan's Lay the Favourite at 3-3 or 4-4: Rules lay the favourite when the score gets to 3-3 or 4-4 in the first set (green up or take loss if at end of set or before).

Wta - Singles Strasbourg 18/05/2019 10:30:00 Piter K. Zarazua R.
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 18/05/2019 10:30:00 Karatantcheva S. Parry D.
Wta - Singles Rome 18/05/2019 11:00:00 Bertens K. Konta J.
Wta - Singles Strasbourg 18/05/2019 12:00:00 Siegemund L. Gamiz A.
Atp - Singles Rome 18/05/2019 13:30:00 Tsitsipas S. Nadal R.
Atp - Singles Rome 18/05/2019 19:00:00 Djokovic N. Schwartzman D.

Ryan · 17 May 2019, 11:47

Yep, didn't even attempt it did she. Shame as that would of been a cracker!

? Offline · wrote on 17 May 2019, 09:26

Walkover for Bertens. Osaka obviously knew there was no point

? Offline · replied to Ryan on 17 May 2019, 09:10

@ryan-carruthers yeah Bertens hold + break is 119% on clay in the past year and Osaka in only 107%. So that on top of the other stats make it look heavily in her favour.
I’ll do the same, and if it goes against me in Set 1 I’d be confident of going in again and laying Osaka at the end of the set.

Ryan · 17 May 2019, 09:10

@simon I am in agreement with you matey, the stats have Bertens as the stronger player in my eyes - looking in the BTC stats as well PJH, BPS, BPC Bertens is out on top.

This is one I will be getting involved with - I will be waiting for them both to serve if they hold their own then I will look to back Bertens is a good player on clay as well. How you thinking of playing it?

? Offline · 17 May 2019, 08:54

Any thoughts on the WTA today @Ryan-Carruthers
Seeing potential value in Bertens price. I don’t think Osaka should be fav on a slow clay, but concerned about Bertens being burnt out after winning Madrid and playing twice yesterday.

Ryan · wrote on 17 May 2019, 08:51

3pm Rome

If Fed wins the first set today I am laying him, he has a 50% won set one loses next game % and the player he is playing against is as we have spoken about is brilliant and very much up and coming.