Attacking Betfair Trading
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@gary-finnigan-0 said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Todays
Vejle Odense
Pogon Szczecin Termalica B-B.
Yeni Malatyaspor Fenerbahce
Besiktas Konyaspor
Lazio Verona
Nantes St Etienne
Brest Bordeaux
Clermont Lyon
DC United Toronto FC
Cincinnati New England RevolutionTotal from May 2022: -0.510 Points
HI James , what trades are these - o1.5 and SHG? any minimum odds cheers
sorry gary was away just backing over 1.5 goals
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@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Todays
Vejle Odense
Pogon Szczecin Termalica B-B.
Yeni Malatyaspor Fenerbahce
Besiktas Konyaspor
Lazio Verona
Nantes St Etienne
Brest Bordeaux
Clermont Lyon
DC United Toronto FC
Cincinnati New England RevolutionTotal from May 2022: -0.510 Points
HI James , what trades are these - o1.5 and SHG? any minimum odds cheers
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Todays
Vejle Odense
Pogon Szczecin Termalica B-B.
Yeni Malatyaspor Fenerbahce
Besiktas Konyaspor
Lazio Verona
Nantes St Etienne
Brest Bordeaux
Clermont Lyon
DC United Toronto FC
Cincinnati New England RevolutionTotal from May 2022: -0.510 Points
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Today
LASK Linz v Admira +0.245
Lok. Zagreb v Sibenik - Goals came before could get matchedTotal from May 2022: -0.510 Points
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Yesterdays O1.5
No doubt as going to start posting these wil lose ha - Came true ha
Only manged to get on two games as lots of early goals in these yesterdays and just missed being matched in the grasshoppers game
Lausanne v Sion + 0.245
Servette v Basel -1.0Today
LASK Linz v Admira
Lok. Zagreb v SibenikTotal from May 2022: -0.755 Points
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Feel like my filter for O1.5 is in a good place now so going to start posting more to get me into the routine again and keep track. If odds lower then 1.25 I but my bet into the market at that and keep it in play to it get matched or if it doesnt no problem
Todays O1.5
No doubt as going to start posting these wil lose ha
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Hi
I know ive not posted in a while ive jsut being doing keiths O1.5 while working on my filter. Its been going well execpt when i lost all my data and had to re enter it all. Which is annoying as i lost the odds data as i manually added them in. Anyway wanted to post a update on how its doing and also post a copy so if i lose it again got a back up
Total data collected 200
All assumed off £1000 bank
All Odds assumed to be 1.25So i noticed with this if i do a home vs away tab basically Home Score Per Avg - Away Score Per average, If its -1/+1 i could trade over 1.5 and out of 33 would of won 31 and made +6.33 Profits
If i flip that and do Home Score Per Avg - Away Score Per average and the total is between -1 and +1 trading on over i be down -14.8 Points. Now i was thinking if i flipped it so instead of backing O1.5 I backed U1.5 that mean i would have a profit of 59.2
I am going to keep tracking as limited data but potenially this maybe a unders filter by the end and also a over but just on certain matches.
Any one got tips or any questions feel free to ask
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@andy-donnelly said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Hi James, I did that for a while, but my account was gubbed pretty quickly soon after. Will likely depend how long you been betting with 365, but eventually you’ll get the dreaded email telling you that their offers no longer apply to you.
Having said that, make hay while you can!
yeah i know i often do 2ups so hoping that will help why i am tracking still just help to build bank. The boosts are new on 365 so i hope sticks around and no gubbings
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Hi James, I did that for a while, but my account was gubbed pretty quickly soon after. Will likely depend how long you been betting with 365, but eventually you’ll get the dreaded email telling you that their offers no longer apply to you.
Having said that, make hay while you can!
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Not Posted in a while tbh ive gone back to tracking stuff atm and just doing keith stuff. The reason is not because stuff not doing fine its just ive found a way to make a bit of money using match betting so seems best to track and get bank up while doing keiths on betdaq.
So basically bet365 do a bore draw offer get stake back as refund if 0-0 (only on certain bets i.e 1st/2nd half and correct score )they now started doing bost using my smarkets can create a sceniro where always up. So for napoli game tonight got
Bet365 Napoli - Napoli 2.75 £50
Smarkets Napoli - Napoli 2.70 £51.31 (Layed)So this means profit for £0.27 and if a 0-0 get stake back and would win on exchange so be £101.31 i am debating potenially backing FHG at the following
1.5 - £2 Stake = £1
2.0 - £2 Stake = £3
2.5 - £2 Stake = £6
3.0 - £2 Stake = £10
3.5 - £2 Stake = £15Total £10 then if 0-0 lay score line so to make profit add £5.0 so lay £15.0 rouhly on odds of 6.0 meaning
total risk £75.00 to win £5 and if 0-0 would win £25.
Basically as 0-0 trying to secure a bit of profit as 0-0 are only around 8% now just need to work out if its better long term to just bet and hope hit a 0-0 or do this.
Tracking everything else atm just this means can risk free build my bank. Only doing this on exact matches or when back is higher than lay.
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Busy weekend and time at work atm so not been posting up atm so just a round up from my weekend trades using the football ratings. As said in post below doing SHG & O1.5
Still tracking my overs just paper trading them to rest of the season now. Been doing something for a while now which i am not sure if its trading or not but thought id share see what people say with people with more experiance. Basically from match betting i noticed alot of the boosted accas win alot so i tracked them and realised could of won alot of money so i started placing them. I only place them if the odds of the acca are lower than on smarkets so PP boost maybe 5.0 the acca on smarkets must be 4.9 or lower if not dont place the bet. I also do the player to have +1 shoots but base that on how i believe game goes record is below made some money i know its scaleable but just after what people think if its worth doing or stop while got my money.
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@keith-anderson said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
You never stop worrying about your kids, no matter what age they are!
i didnt see this haha in the North East our Lass means your girlfriend i have no kids hahah
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@keith-anderson said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
You never stop worrying about your kids, no matter what age they are!
This is true, between my wife and I we have 4 aged 24, 38, all of who have made p*** poor relationship choices, and who have 6 kids between them and don't like being told the truth when they say that X has gone wrong or Y has done this.
Being an Ex Copper, who studied amongst other things Body Language, its an intersting subject and sometimes you don't need to say anything, but observe and keep quiet till the noose tightens!!
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You never stop worrying about your kids, no matter what age they are!
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08/02/21
LTUD
CFR Cluj v UTA Arad
Rangers v Hibernian -
Hi All
Sorry beeen quite for last week my lass has had covid and been busy helping her. I been looking over some of the ratings data while away i think i am going to try something slightly different and use it for SHG and Overs if it hits certain criteria
So if home comeback 63, Away offence greater than 0.5 & difference between home and away elo is greater than 275. ill get involded i am still going to do LTUD but tighten up the criteria a bit to difference being 200Just to show why ive included the link to the sheet below note odds are based on averages. If anyone got any questions or advice be greatly appreicated
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@keith-anderson said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
@James-Rome Look back at your results. Your bad days coincided with the days you where with your girlfriend!!
shes Irish not getting any luck of the irish off her hahah