MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY
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Thanks for your support Matt and Stuart. I should have listened to advice ages ago and wasted lots of money and time.
Advice again for any newbies , paper trade , paper trade and paper trade until you find a system /systems that are profitable. I did this for 3-4 months then started off with a £100 bank bank in December using 1% stakes just £1 liability and built it up from there. Listen to advice from others and not just do your own thing like i was ! -
@james-everard
This is great stuff James.I remember speaking to you not long after I joined here and you seemed quite down on yourself. Just take a look at what you have achieved here, its really coming together for you now.
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That's superb!
Made up for you. You've worked so hard at this and it is coming together beautifully.
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Evening an update for June results from the 6 strategies i have been trading. Based on £9.45 stakes 1% of bank ( starting bank at beginning of June £946.69)
System 1 - Lay home at k/o odds 5.0-7.0 check h2h
Trades 6 , won 5, lost 1 , s/rate 83.33% Lost £0.98pSystem 2 - Back Draw at K/o version B - Odds 3.50+
Trades 10
won 2
lost 8
s/rate 20%
lost £38.68System 3 - Back under 1.5 goals at K/o version D ( 3.0-3.55 odds)
Trades 35
won 13
lost 22
s/rate 37.14%
Profit £39.82System 4- Back under 2.5 goals at k/o (odds 1.70-2.30) check h2h
Trades 25
won 14
lost 11
s/rate 56%
Profit £16.01System 5- Back the Draw at k/o Version Z (check elo max 100 diff, odds 3.0+)
Trades 31
won 11
lost 20
s/rate 35.48%
Profit £42.82System 6- Injury Time goal version B
Trades 17
won 4
lost 13
s/rate 23.53%
Profit £36.74Total profit overall for the month was £95.73 , new bank now hits the magic 1k mark ( £1042.42) new liability stakes will now be £10.42.
For July i am going to hold off the Back the draw at k/o version B, it has made a loss and i don't think i need to be trading two versions of backing the draw
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@james-everard real paper trading, now that is commitment!
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Update for May's Results from my 6 strategies , 4 of which was the 1st month of trading. My trading bank at the start of the month was £634.44 with 1% liability stakes of £6.34
Back under 2.5 goals ( odds 1.70-2.30) checking h2h as well
Trades 27, won 17, lost 10, s/rate 62.96% profit £35.83Lay home at kickoff( 5.0-7.0 odds ) checking h2h as well
Trades 5, won 5, lost 0 s/rate 100% profit £6.98Back under 1.5 goals ft version D( 3.0-3.55 odds)
Trades 37, won 16, Lost 21, s/rate 43.24% profit £99.59Back the draw at k/o version z( 3.0+ odds based on h2h and elo )
Trades 29,won 10, lost 19, s/rate 34.48% profit £16.12Injury Time goal version B- (Based on last 5 matches)
Trades 27, won 9, lost 18, s/rate 33.33% profit £116.84Back Draw at K/o Version B( Odds 3.50 +)
Trades 13, won 5, lost 8, s/rate 38.46% profit £36.89A very healthy profit for the month of £312.25 and now the new trading bank of £946.69, new stakes for the month based on 1% liability is £9.46
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS Hi Mate. I am not great ( actually awful ) at spreadsheets i started saving on my link but gave up months ago as it went wrong and wasn't saving any results i was inputting. Ended up doing the old fashioned way of paper trading takes ages to record it all as i have been paper trading about 15 systems.
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@james-everard hello my friend, i cant open the link
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@james-everard preach it! Seriously that advice is spot on
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@Martin said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
Afternoon update for April for the two systems i have been trading again another profitable month. Staking was £5.66 a trade , New trading bank £634
System 1 - Back the draw at K/o version B( Odds 3.50 +)
Trades 30
Won 9
Lost 21
S/Rate 30%
Profit £11.13System 2- Injury Time goal ( last 5 matches version B)
Trades 40
Won 9
Lost 31
S/rate 22.25%
Profit £56.90New trading bank for May was £634.63, with the 1% liability stakes of £6.34 stakes.
I have been paper trading lots of other systems and i am now in a position to start adding to my portfolio of stategies
Laying the home team at kick off odds 5.0-7.0 ( check h2h)
I have had 4 profitable months out of 5, this isn't a huge return but adds to the bank
results since December based on testing at £10 liability stakes
Trades 114, won 99, lost 15, s/rate 86.84% profit £59.88Back Draw at k/o version Z ( this is based on h2h results and elo max of 100 between the two sides odds 3.0+) I have been recording since January, again based on £10 stakes
Trades 249
Won 89
Lost 160
S/rate 35.74%
Profit £496.92Back u2.5 goals ft (1.70-2.30 odds + check h2h) , again paper trading this since January
Trades 171
Won 100
Lost 71
S/rate 58.48%
Profit £260.67Finally Back under 1.5 goals ft version D ( 3-0-3.55 odds), this has been tested since January
Trades 371
Won 134
lost 237
s/rate 36.12%
Profit £528.85Some excellent returns well done!
Thanks mate it's been a long hard slog of 3 years and finally seeing some results.
Best advice for newbies is don't ever put any money on straight away and paper trade a few systems for 3-4 months min and then if consistently profitable each money then start with a smallish bank £100 and use 1% labiality stakes and build from there. That's what i eventually did after 3 years of losing a lot of money Gone from a £100 starting bank in November and now upto £634 at the beginning of May so it doesn't take long once you have found a couple of systems the bank compounds. -
@james-everard said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
Afternoon update for April for the two systems i have been trading again another profitable month. Staking was £5.66 a trade
System 1 - Back the draw at K/o version B( Odds 3.50 +)
Trades 30
Won 9
Lost 21
S/Rate 30%
Profit £11.13System 2- Injury Time goal ( last 5 matches version B)
Trades 40
Won 9
Lost 31
S/rate 22.25%
Profit £56.90New trading bank for May was £634.63, with the 1% liability stakes of £6.34 stakes.
I have been paper trading lots of other systems and i am now in a position to start adding to my portfolio of stategies
Laying the home team at kick off odds 5.0-7.0 ( check h2h)
I have had 4 profitable months out of 5, this isn't a huge return but adds to the bank
results since December based on testing at £10 liability stakes
Trades 114, won 99, lost 15, s/rate 86.84% profit £59.88Back Draw at k/o version Z ( this is based on h2h results and elo max of 100 between the two sides odds 3.0+) I have been recording since January, again based on £10 stakes
Trades 249
Won 89
Lost 160
S/rate 35.74%
Profit £496.92Back u2.5 goals ft (1.70-2.30 odds + check h2h) , again paper trading this since January
Trades 171
Won 100
Lost 71
S/rate 58.48%
Profit £260.67Finally Back under 1.5 goals ft version D ( 3-0-3.55 odds), this has been tested since January
Trades 371
Won 134
lost 237
s/rate 36.12%
Profit £528.85Some excellent returns well done!
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Afternoon update for April for the two systems i have been trading again another profitable month. Staking was £5.66 a trade
System 1 - Back the draw at K/o version B( Odds 3.50 +)
Trades 30
Won 9
Lost 21
S/Rate 30%
Profit £11.13System 2- Injury Time goal ( last 5 matches version B)
Trades 40
Won 9
Lost 31
S/rate 22.25%
Profit £56.90New trading bank for May was £634.63, with the 1% liability stakes of £6.34 stakes.
I have been paper trading lots of other systems and i am now in a position to start adding to my portfolio of stategies
Laying the home team at kick off odds 5.0-7.0 ( check h2h)
I have had 4 profitable months out of 5, this isn't a huge return but adds to the bank
results since December based on testing at £10 liability stakes
Trades 114, won 99, lost 15, s/rate 86.84% profit £59.88Back Draw at k/o version Z ( this is based on h2h results and elo max of 100 between the two sides odds 3.0+) I have been recording since January, again based on £10 stakes
Trades 249
Won 89
Lost 160
S/rate 35.74%
Profit £496.92Back u2.5 goals ft (1.70-2.30 odds + check h2h) , again paper trading this since January
Trades 171
Won 100
Lost 71
S/rate 58.48%
Profit £260.67Finally Back under 1.5 goals ft version D ( 3-0-3.55 odds), this has been tested since January
Trades 371
Won 134
lost 237
s/rate 36.12%
Profit £528.85 -
@Shannon-Townsend said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard really good results... what do you look for with regards injury time goals? I have been looking at the laying low option but going in a bit scatter gun approach...
My injury goal filter is based on the last 5 games for each side and i look for odds under 1.30 on the laying under the next goals market on 90 mins mate
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Evening All , a brief update on my two strategies for March.
System 1- BACK DRAW AT KO VERSION B ( 3.50+)
TRADES 40
WON 13
LOST 27
S/RATE 32.50%
PROFIT £47.56System 2 - INJURY TIME GOAL VERSION B
TRADES 61
WON 18
LOST 43
S/RATE 29.51%
PROFIT £97.17The starting trading bank for March was £421.87 , but i carried on with the previous staking due to the time i had recorded my results in February was so late.
So my new bank for April is £566.60, and a new liability stake of £5.66 (1% of my bank)I have loads of paper trading results to analyse from March so will update in a few days time on these
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@james-everard really good results... what do you look for with regards injury time goals? I have been looking at the laying low option but going in a bit scatter gun approach...
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Evening , a rather belated update for February. Been busy with work and just got around to finally finishing off recording the data. Started with a trading bank for February at £308.81 with 1% liabilty stakes. Carried on with the two systems but been paper trading loads more hence the delay in recording all the results.
System 1 - INJURY TIME GOAL VERSION B
TRADES 68
WON 22
LOST 46
S/RATE 32.35%
PROFIT £111.53System 2 - BACK THE DRAW AT K/O VERSION B ODDS 3.50+
TRADES 38
WON 11
LOST 27
S/RATE 28.95%
PROFIT £1.53Not good on the back the draw , but still a small profit, the injury time goal system is doing really well and building my bank up nicely
The new balance is £421.87. Because of the delay in catching up with the results i have carried on using £3.08 stakes for March , which i shall carry on doing until the beginning of April. I will make sure i record the results for March before the start of April so i can using my new staking plan .Of the other strategies i have been paper trading, several are looking promising so will update more at the end of the month if any meet my criteria of 3 straight profitable months of paper trading
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Really pleased how it is going now , my mentality is good and i have managed to tripple my bank from £100 at the beginning of December to more £300 allowing me to increase my stakes. Hopefully February continues in the same vain
That's Amazing!
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Morning all rather late update for January's results. I scrapped the system of backing over 1.5 goals as looking at the return it wasn't worth continuing ( all you need is some variance and big losses can occur). So i just traded the two other systems which have proved profitable again for January. my starting bank for January was £233.01 with 1% stakes of £2.33
Strategy 1- Back the draw at kick off version B( odds 3.50 +)
Trades 23, won 7,lost 16,s/rate 30.43% Profit £9.41Strategy 2- Injury time goal version B( Lay the under goals market on 90 getting around 1.30 or below odds)
Trades 43, Won 14,lost 29, s/rate 32.56% Profit £66.39So the new trading bank for February is now £308.81, with a new stake (based on 1% of my bank is £3.08)
I have been paper trading various other systems as well , some have proving not profitable but some are looking good. With my paper trading i am looking for 3 profitable months before i start thinking about taking on any new strategies with real money, two of which have had 2 months of looking good so i will evaluate at the end of the month if they are ok to start trading in March.
Really pleased how it is going now , my mentality is good and i have managed to tripple my bank from £100 at the beginning of December to more £300 allowing me to increase my stakes. Hopefully February continues in the same vain
