Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Fresh start. I've taken my bank back up to £800 with a £65.00 deposit and despite not having lost 35% I've reset stakes:
I may restart the challenge as well as it's getting a bit messy. I'd begun to give it all back anyway so it's no biggie! Lay under 1.5:
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Right, done.......this is certainly not a knee jerk reaction. Would have been earlier in the month although oddly it's one I would have benefitted from.
I'll open it out gradually should results dictate but never again with such reckless abandon!!
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I have tried to open it out to include matches under 3 goals average and last month it worked spectacularly. This month it has just been one long burn!! For a total of 26 trades I've amassed nothing from these.
I'll keep tracking them but even if they produce it's likely to be with a higher amount of variance.
Glad I've found out before the winter leagues start properly.
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If not exactly taking it back to the drawing board......as I can't do that........I'm going to have to pick and choose the best trades for a bit as some stuff is killing me right now!
Worst possible time too as I've just sold my house and need all the money I can get
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@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
@richard-latimer as long as your comfortable with the decision and process then sometimes there isn’t much more you can do
Veikkausliiga is now the first league since I scrapped Venezuela and Guatamala where it is a good few points down. Trying to preach that most leagues are ok but.......bugger!!
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@richard-latimer as long as your comfortable with the decision and process then sometimes there isn’t much more you can do
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Summer leagues haven't been good to me as it goes. HJK today........urrrggghhhhh!!!!!
Not one I'd really look to say it was a mistake!
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Latest loss in South Korea annoying but it solves a problem I was having re some of the parameters.
Home scored rises to 1.2 now as 1.1 currently on a loss and looking decidely iffy!
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@john-folan said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
@richard-latimer weirdly I like it when they come in on 93 minutes or something
Way too stressful and the more you have like that, eventually statistics say you're going to lose
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@richard-latimer weirdly I like it when they come in on 93 minutes or something
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@john-folan said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
Lay under 1.5:
This one was in after 6 minutes wasn’t it?
Something like that. Great when it happens so quickly!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
Lay under 1.5:
This one was in after 6 minutes wasn’t it?
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Busy day. Lay under 1.5:
Not doing the Brazil game at present as both teams in Serie B last season.
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Lay under 1.5:
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
Between the two that would be almost 200pts in just over 3 months (mainly summer).
There's no question this makes money but it's not quite as easy as I let myself believe this morning. Because it only hits at 35% you have to be a lot less aggressive in staking as longeest expected losing streak is 16 from 1000 games and goes up steadily.
What that means is I can't just flip the results on their head and take loss as profit because I would have to stake altogether differently.
It may still hit 20-30pts but it's a lot less than the lay under 1.5 is showing.
Still, when this is finalised I do think I may look into whether I can build a lay over 3.5 system.
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
Just got to take the choke out and it'll be purring again in no time haha!
Lay under 1.5:
2-1 Win
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Between the two that would be almost 200pts in just over 3 months (mainly summer).
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Looking at all the selections from my data that haven't made the cut and then whittling down a bit more I may have a lay over 1.5 system as well. Around 80pts from 150 selections.
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Just got to take the choke out and it'll be purring again in no time haha!
Lay under 1.5:
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Yesterday went 1/2, another loss but still showing the smallest profit for July.
Everything could still change in the next few days. Nothing today though.