Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

You'd probably be better off following a bunch of asylum seekers on to plane heading for Rawanda at the moment but here they are anyway!

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Absolute pig of a weekend so far both personally and in trading but I do see a very clear way forward after today.....in the trading at least.....personally it's all gone to s**t again!!

2/4 on Saturday

[Richard Latimer]

Another 80%er in the bag. In fact just looking at the raw data with no tweaking of parameters at all shows a vast difference in s/r between 78-83% H2H over 1.5 (85% s/r) and 86-89% H2H over 1.5 (75% s/r).

It's night and day!!!

[Richard Latimer]

There it is......the profit for these matches with a very high H2H% is down to around 3pts from 26 trades! The average odds are also around 1pt higher! It's now a no brainer to remove from the main selections and track.

Conversely, looking at games and paramaters I'd made higher......these can potentially be lowered again a little meaning that the paltry 3pts Iose out on are gained back with less swings.

[Richard Latimer]

I already removed the 90%+ as they began to look substandard. For between 78-83% I have almost 100 trades and only 5 losers!

[Richard Latimer]

Looks as though Okayama is going to be a bust too! Going through all my data so far for this.......in terms of the H2H results it's almost the exact same profit for 78-83% as it is 78%-89%

Once more the overall picture shows that bigger numbers are not necessarily better!

The next 2 today are 80%

If those 2 win and Okayama loses as looks to be the case I would be a fool to continue with the big numbers as the vast majority of trades ar 80% H2H anyway.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):

1/2 again. Process of elimination is hard. Sensible thing to do.would be to leave certain things until sure.

There are still areas of my game I need to work on.

Most Summer LEagues back this weekend other than Sweden which should hopefully make things easier

[Richard Latimer]

1/2 again. Process of elimination is hard. Sensible thing to do.would be to leave certain things until sure.

There are still areas of my game I need to work on.

[Richard Latimer]

Not enjoying June. Bringing up too many things I should leave until I have more data haha!

[Richard Latimer]

Saturday. Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

June is at break even again after last night. Time to right the ship with just under 2 weeks to go!

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Expensive mistake 1/2

I will track these without Trading them for now -teams from the same but still a different league I mean. I guess some teams adapt quicker to a new league than others.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):

@robert-h said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):

@richard-latimer Are you able to share the Filter settings txt file for your Lay under 1.5 strategy?

It's not finished at the moment. Work in progress.

Like Fylkir for example. Both teams in a different league last year and now 0-0 @ ht. Need goals!!

[Richard Latimer]

@robert-h said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):

@richard-latimer Are you able to share the Filter settings txt file for your Lay under 1.5 strategy?

It's not finished at the moment. Work in progress.

[Robert H]

@richard-latimer Are you able to share the Filter settings txt file for your Lay under 1.5 strategy?

[Richard Latimer]

@frode-lia said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):

@richard-latimer What does the red mean?

I've marked that out as both teams were relegated last year so stats are from a higher league.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer What does the red mean?

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

No good today!

[Richard Latimer]

@martin said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):

@richard-latimer what's the bank reduction bit?

The point at which I would reset the stakes. Up until that point it's on a ratchet and doesn't go down with a loss.