Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

Couldn't resist!

Essentially it's what I've been doing over on the facebook page so if you've been following you'll know the deal by now.

There's official and monitored and the whole damn thing is fluid right now although I'm getting closer to what I feel will be the final product.

In any case it's all detailed on the attached sheet:

https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dropbox.com%2Fs%2Fge2te81stl610l2%2FTrading%2520Summary.xlsx%3Fdl%3D0&h=ATN7gmT85qmurybRUfsB_1nSrWqVMfFz16Ifb4rNddw1LGTJ54NZbKkCfZEVdG-LBtmzDTlKHY7kQePkM9plHMcifE8d5yugz6iEFA9Hi9qcdxg1BL-arZsj067zS5veEHxgj_8vOaqhc6Cb30V2ouCiBqa2a4R7kCJRAU9dZP_3piZmMifymV2k99-ZLA4WFj85yA9X_mO_5Cv1AfQVndPe1PP2WGR7b_fAQkw7nbp1eJK1vj3Aft9hOvBAiUJESaaIFgSo1_i_xjyfvMNIkQ

Will update for tomorrow asap

Darran Padley

@Richard-Latimer when do you get involved with lay? Drip stake?

Alessandro Imbrescia

@Richard-Latimer
I’m actually using the same base rule: both teams’ “failed to score” % must be less than or equal to 20%.
I believe that’s the filter you’re referring to when you say they must have scored in at least 80% of their games.

However, those matches still come through in my selection.

On top of that, I’ve also added:
• both teams’ clean sheet % under 60%, and
• overall H2H FT Over 1.5 ≥ 60%,
• overall H2H FT 0–0 ≤ 10%.

That’s why I’m confused: with all these filters in place, I still get those fixtures, while they don’t appear in your raw data.

Thanks

Richard Latimer

@Alessandro-Imbrescia none of them appeared on my raw data either. If I had to guess I'd say that both teams hadn't scored in at least 80% of their games?

That's the basis of my overs. Everything works down from that.

Alessandro Imbrescia

@Richard-Latimer
Hi Richard,
if I may, I’d like to ask for your help.
I’m testing my system and today it selected the following four matches:
Qatar – QSL – 21/11/2025 17:30: Al-Gharafa vs Al Wakra
Netherlands – Eerste Divisie – 21/11/2025 20:00: Cambuur vs Den Haag
Netherlands – Eerste Divisie – 21/11/2025 20:00: Maastricht vs Jong AZ
Spain – LaLiga – 21/11/2025 21:00: Valencia vs Levante
The results were 2 losses and 2 wins — and the win in Cambuur vs Den Haag was basically pure luck.
Overall, a disaster.
Looking at your selection, I noticed that your algorithm picked only Maastricht vs Jong AZ, which was the only match that turned out to be an easy win.
I’d like to understand what made your algorithm exclude the other three problematic matches. Based on my stats, all four looked very similar and, in theory, all worth playing.
If you can help me understand, I’d really appreciate it.

Richard Latimer

Lay Away:

Richard Latimer

Lay Under 1.5:

Richard Latimer

Lay Away:

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Away:

1-2

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Away:

3.6-4.9

No trade

Richard Latimer

Lay Away:

Richard Latimer

Lay Away:

3.6-4.9

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Under 1.5:

1/1

Richard Latimer

Lay Under 1.5:

Richard Latimer

Bit of a loss on the away lays but then that is still very much in development. Those losses are still to be expected.

Richard Latimer

Very up and down weekend on the overs but managed to come out with £80 profit and a little more info (tiny little tweak)

Richard Latimer

@Alessandro-Imbrescia What I would say is be wary when the numbers are too high sometimes, not just too low. What goes up must come down and sometimes I find the really high numbers in certain criteria to be very hit and miss. I track between 10 and 14 different criteria in each system.

You don't really know what makes the small margins until you look at everything.

Richard Latimer

Lay Away:

Alessandro Imbrescia

@Richard-Latimer

Thanks again for your previous reply

I’m currently building (and still need to test) a LTU 1,5 strategy
My basic filters are:

70% or higher Over 1.5

Home team scored in at least 60% of matches

Away team scored in at least 60% of matches

Home team conceded in at least 60% of matches

Away team conceded in at least 60% of matches

I’m planning to enter pre-match and probably exit with a small loss if it’s still 0-0 by the 70th minute,
or close the trade around the 80th minute if it’s 1-0 or 0-1.

I’m also considering adding some first-half conditions or goal-time constraints (for goals before 70’),
but I’m not sure if that would make the strategy too restrictive.

Could I ask your opinion or any suggestions on this approach?

Thanks a lot in advance,
Alessandro

Richard Latimer

@Alessandro-Imbrescia I haven't made nearly enough money so my advice would seem a little hollow.

That said, for me I believe it is simply a time thing. Hopefully I have enough time.

Track as many criteria as you think could be relevant but don't exclude anything. Just do 0 or more so you get them all.

Find one or 2 sets of criteria that you believe are the most important. Set these high but not too high.

Pay particular attention to the odds in each league. I tried to ignore these and it backfired. I really do believe it is one of the biggest difference makers.

You need to do a heck of alot of analysis. It won't be quick but it's the only way I know.