Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Today is kind of in the balance but it may have been so much better. I'm looking at results where less than 10 total games had been played and it's fair to say results are a mixed bag. However, look a little closer and the away teams with higher odds are SO FAR not winning. When you look at those where the prices suggest an even contest though, results have been very poor. Small sample but the logic is there.
Good teams where odds suggest a large imbalance that have started season well and away team also playing to form - Away team mostly failing to win.
Fairly evenly matched teams according to the odds but where 3 game form for start of season suggests home superiority - Home team losing a good few of these.
I don't know, it's just an observation but one I'll be wary of from now on.
You could argue I've tried to justify so much crap in my time here though that you're best off not listening and following your own head haha!!
It's fair to say I should be way better off than I am currently and need to stop finding a way to shoot myself in the foot!
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Santa Fe really fecked things up in the last game of the night. Wasn't expecting that. Nevermind.
In the process of updating for today. 1 game from Columbia already in with the next not due to start until 11:00.
As for overs, back to just looking for now.
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Jumped too soon on the overs. Meanwhile team lays having a very solid day.
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First goal comes minutes after posting that. Price is still not far away from what I took anyway even now.
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In the process of updating fortoday but Wellington already inplay at 0-0 approaching HT as a filtered over.
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Nice way to bounce back after a turbulent couple of days. Also took a nice profit on the filtered overs which went 6/7.
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So, Peru game overnight started a hopefully much needed recovery. I'm also laying unders in my second sheet of filtered overs. Right now, they look too tempting not to. This is when the wheels come off haha!! Currently 0-0 in Adelaide.
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Meant to say the Columbia game won. I'm not just removing a loser haha!
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Decided to remove the Columbia game from overnight which. Cannot be 100% sure it went inplay and I don't touch anything that suspends at kick-off now even if I don't plan to trade out.
Makes precious little difference anyway.
On another note, I've been messing and meddling with the overs for a bit eager to see if there's potentially a working system in there somewhere and there just may be. Created a separate sheet for this heavily filtered version which I'll keep track of along with the raw data.
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Pisser of a last couple of days. First time system has registered 2 losses on the bounce and on top of that there's been nothing much going on to steady the ship. Envigado got trounced but at least the odds were low there.
On top of this I misses the 1860 Munich yesterday personally. I also missed another likely winner in Columbia overnight as I went to the pub as soon as the kids were in bed for a much needed drink....assuming it went inplay that is.
I'll record the data anyway.
Nevermind, fingers crossed for things to get back on track the rest of the week.
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Completely forgot. First lay for tomorrow is on now in Bolivia. Petrolero game.
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Looks like both losses today. Bummer!
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Sheet updated for tomorrow. 2 Lays.
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I wondered why the Greek game got postponed and then it all became clear haha!! In any case
Copenhagen managed a win even if tyhey drop a 2 goal lead in the process and last game is 2-0 up @ HT so extremely unlikely to be a loser.2nd straight day without loss.
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Sheet now completely up to date.
First lay starts at 17:30 tonight in Greek Super League. 2 Others after that. Overs continues to offer both good and bad but sure there's something workable in there when all is stripped out. For now I'll keep collecting raw data.
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Last game of the night ended 3-1 so got the unlikely sweep in the end.
3 matches today. Sheet updated.
At some stage later today I'll go through the overs now I'm properly rested.
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2-0 HT in the last game and without wanting to jinx it that must be good as done. No team yet has come from 2-0 behind to win on these.
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Oh what a difference a day makes. What a difference 45mins or even 20mins make.
Coming dangerously close to a sweep when it looked as though anything but would happen. Servette went behind and didn't get a goal back until midway through the second, Galatasaray followed suit and Levski went behind late in the 2nd but luckily that one was short lived.
Now we're coming to the end of the 13th match of the day with 2 dominant Argie teams both leading. Just one more game in Bolivia although that doesn't start until much later.
Not even checked on the overs yet.
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Also Fiorentina about to start.
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Lays started brilliantly yesterday but hit of a bit of wall late on. In addition to this the Lay under 0.5 I'd recently adopted from the overs showed I need loads more data there before putting money on.
Not exactly back to square one, just a small setback.
Kayserispor and Zaragoza currently inplay. Sheet updated with the rest.
