Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

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@lee-woodman said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Are you trading these or 'set and forget'?

The Swiss Super league does have an great SR based on the 4 criteria of 65% H/A scored and conceded. Over 713 games from 2013 to 2018 there were just 31 which were under 2 goals, giving a S/R of 95.65%. If you got in on 20' then you'd have 31 losing trades and 303 winning trades

Crikey Lee! That’s some stat

Richard Latimer

@lee-woodman said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

I’ve got a database in excel with last 5 seasons covering most leagues. I’ve not filtered beyond the 4 criteria, SR% could actually go down if filtered further, such is the nature of having so few negative results

Most interesting. With that you could add the individual numbers together to get a total ie 67%, 81%, 90% and 80% would be 318. This is another one of my filters 305+). Essentially other than the combined over 1.5 results being over 80% s/r then this could potentially offer me some of the much needed back testing i've been after for a while.

Would you be able to send me a copy of this database please?

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I’ve got a database in excel with last 5 seasons covering most leagues. I’ve not filtered beyond the 4 criteria, SR% could actually go down if filtered further, such is the nature of having so few negative results

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@lee-woodman said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Are you trading these or 'set and forget'?

The Swiss Super league does have an great SR based on the 4 criteria of 65% H/A scored and conceded. Over 713 games from 2013 to 2018 there were just 31 which were under 2 goals, giving a S/R of 95.65%. If you got in on 20' then you'd have 31 losing trades and 303 winning trades

Pretty incredible then that from 21 selections over odds of 1.2 in the last year I've managed to hit not only 5 losers but 4 on the bounce at one point haha!! Does seem to suggest a blip from which full recovery is not only possible but entirely probable though in that case.

These are set and forget. Try and get best price pre match kick-off providing 1.2 or above and let it play out. If it trades @ 1.2 pre-match I'll leave to go inplay otherwise I won't.

Where are you getting all the stats on this from by the way? Most interesting.

Richard Latimer

@lee-woodman said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Are you trading these or 'set and forget'?

The Swiss Super league does have an great SR based on the 4 criteria of 65% H/A scored and conceded. Over 713 games from 2013 to 2018 there were just 31 which were under 2 goals, giving a S/R of 95.65%. If you got in on 20' then you'd have 31 losing trades and 303 winning trades

Pretty incredible then that from 21 selections over odds of 1.2 in the last year I've managed to hit not only 5 losers but 4 on the bounce at one point haha!! Does seem to suggest a blip from which full recovery is not only possible but entirely probable though in that case.

These are set and forget. Try and get best price pre match kick-off providing 1.2 or above and let it play out. If it trades @ 1.2 pre-match I'll leave to go inplay otherwise I won't.

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Are you trading these or 'set and forget'?

The Swiss Super league does have an great SR based on the 4 criteria of 65% H/A scored and conceded. Over 713 games from 2013 to 2018 there were just 31 which were under 2 goals, giving a S/R of 95.65%. If you got in on 20' then you'd have 31 losing trades and 303 winning trades

Richard Latimer

Same again tomorrow. Nothing filtered.

Richard Latimer

Nothing filtered today but after languishing in the do not bet pile for months and months Swiss Super is now once again a viable league moving forward. At least for the time being. Over 85% s/r and over 5% yield.

For the remainder of Feb it will just be a league to watch but come March if everything still ok I'll stick it back in the filtered table.

Richard Latimer

Nothing filtered Tuesday

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Another one today in Netherlands

FH Winner as AZ go in @ HT 2-0

Richard Latimer

Another one today in Netherlands

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

In fairness Croatia are on the filtered page and have provided enough profit from the 10 selections. I'm just more and more wary of going in on a league without decent hisory and stats the longer this goes.

And I guess that's why I'm being picky

Richard Latimer

In fairness Croatia are on the filtered page and have provided enough profit from the 10 selections. I'm just more and more wary of going in on a league without decent hisory and stats the longer this goes.

Richard Latimer

@bence-korbuly said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

I'm only tracking Croatia until it goes above 80% s/r. If you choose to back it good luck.

Thank you! How Am I know which is filtered today?

Look on first tab LTO Rules. Will tell you which leagues currently excluded. If not one there, double check tab for country stats. If highlighted green it's a go. If highlighted amber it's an almost/not quite either because limited number of games, under 5% ROI or under 81% s/r

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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

I'm only tracking Croatia until it goes above 80% s/r. If you choose to back it good luck.

Thank you! How Am I know which is filtered today?

Richard Latimer

I'm only tracking Croatia until it goes above 80% s/r. If you choose to back it good luck.

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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Only 1 full filtered selection today but it's an easy winner. Since Feb started there have been 10 selections and only 1 loser.

2 matches today? Zwolle and split?

Richard Latimer

Only 1 full filtered selection today but it's an easy winner. Since Feb started there have been 10 selections and only 1 loser.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Didn't have to chance to fully update yesterday as retired tobed early feeling sick. Will do later. Not much filtered todat but Excelsior starts it all off.

Odds crazy low on that game. Leaving well alone.

Richard Latimer

Didn't have to chance to fully update yesterday as retired tobed early feeling sick. Will do later. Not much filtered todat but Excelsior starts it all off.