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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.5k Posts 81 Posters 436.5k Views
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #4301

    I’ve got a database in excel with last 5 seasons covering most leagues. I’ve not filtered beyond the 4 criteria, SR% could actually go down if filtered further, such is the nature of having so few negative results

    Richard LatimerR RyanR 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4302

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    @lee-woodman said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    Are you trading these or 'set and forget'?

    The Swiss Super league does have an great SR based on the 4 criteria of 65% H/A scored and conceded. Over 713 games from 2013 to 2018 there were just 31 which were under 2 goals, giving a S/R of 95.65%. If you got in on 20' then you'd have 31 losing trades and 303 winning trades

    Pretty incredible then that from 21 selections over odds of 1.2 in the last year I've managed to hit not only 5 losers but 4 on the bounce at one point haha!! Does seem to suggest a blip from which full recovery is not only possible but entirely probable though in that case.

    These are set and forget. Try and get best price pre match kick-off providing 1.2 or above and let it play out. If it trades @ 1.2 pre-match I'll leave to go inplay otherwise I won't.

    Where are you getting all the stats on this from by the way? Most interesting.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4303

    @lee-woodman said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    Are you trading these or 'set and forget'?

    The Swiss Super league does have an great SR based on the 4 criteria of 65% H/A scored and conceded. Over 713 games from 2013 to 2018 there were just 31 which were under 2 goals, giving a S/R of 95.65%. If you got in on 20' then you'd have 31 losing trades and 303 winning trades

    Pretty incredible then that from 21 selections over odds of 1.2 in the last year I've managed to hit not only 5 losers but 4 on the bounce at one point haha!! Does seem to suggest a blip from which full recovery is not only possible but entirely probable though in that case.

    These are set and forget. Try and get best price pre match kick-off providing 1.2 or above and let it play out. If it trades @ 1.2 pre-match I'll leave to go inplay otherwise I won't.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #4304

    Are you trading these or 'set and forget'?

    The Swiss Super league does have an great SR based on the 4 criteria of 65% H/A scored and conceded. Over 713 games from 2013 to 2018 there were just 31 which were under 2 goals, giving a S/R of 95.65%. If you got in on 20' then you'd have 31 losing trades and 303 winning trades

    Richard LatimerR ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4305

    Same again tomorrow. Nothing filtered.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4306

    Nothing filtered today but after languishing in the do not bet pile for months and months Swiss Super is now once again a viable league moving forward. At least for the time being. Over 85% s/r and over 5% yield.

    For the remainder of Feb it will just be a league to watch but come March if everything still ok I'll stick it back in the filtered table.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4307

    Nothing filtered Tuesday

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4308

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    Another one today in Netherlands

    FH Winner as AZ go in @ HT 2-0

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4309

    Another one today in Netherlands

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4310

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    In fairness Croatia are on the filtered page and have provided enough profit from the 10 selections. I'm just more and more wary of going in on a league without decent hisory and stats the longer this goes.

    And I guess that's why I'm being picky

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4311

    In fairness Croatia are on the filtered page and have provided enough profit from the 10 selections. I'm just more and more wary of going in on a league without decent hisory and stats the longer this goes.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4312

    @bence-korbuly said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    I'm only tracking Croatia until it goes above 80% s/r. If you choose to back it good luck.

    Thank you! How Am I know which is filtered today?

    Look on first tab LTO Rules. Will tell you which leagues currently excluded. If not one there, double check tab for country stats. If highlighted green it's a go. If highlighted amber it's an almost/not quite either because limited number of games, under 5% ROI or under 81% s/r

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4313

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    I'm only tracking Croatia until it goes above 80% s/r. If you choose to back it good luck.

    Thank you! How Am I know which is filtered today?

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4314

    I'm only tracking Croatia until it goes above 80% s/r. If you choose to back it good luck.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4315

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    Only 1 full filtered selection today but it's an easy winner. Since Feb started there have been 10 selections and only 1 loser.

    2 matches today? Zwolle and split?

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4316

    Only 1 full filtered selection today but it's an easy winner. Since Feb started there have been 10 selections and only 1 loser.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4317

    @richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

    Didn't have to chance to fully update yesterday as retired tobed early feeling sick. Will do later. Not much filtered todat but Excelsior starts it all off.

    Odds crazy low on that game. Leaving well alone.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4318

    Didn't have to chance to fully update yesterday as retired tobed early feeling sick. Will do later. Not much filtered todat but Excelsior starts it all off.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #4319

    Break even day after the goalless draw in Levante

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4320

    @richard-latimer it will be interesting to compare it to next year see if the trend is true

    1 Reply Last reply
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