Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

The trial:

I'm not keen on the Real Madrid or Kanazawa games so just tracking those. Also caution on Zalaegers......Hungary and indeed the one I'm in now Houston v Kansas.

[Daniel Cooper]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Crazy number of potentials on the ELO again. Not been through them to remove any dodgy leagues or very early season games yet although these should be getting less.

WOAH

[Richard Latimer]

Crazy number of potentials on the ELO again. Not been through them to remove any dodgy leagues or very early season games yet although these should be getting less.

[Richard Latimer]

A couple of overnight winners missed. Great for the data. Hope the day continues as well. In to he ELO Club Leon pulled it back from 1 down to win and in my trial Jeonnam pulled it back from 1-0 to draw.

[Richard Latimer]

Alot to look at on the trial. Only one I am going to leave and track is Leiknir. Everything else fair game if they fall behind:

[Richard Latimer]

ELO list in full. It's a big one!

[Richard Latimer]

Flagging big time here but before I forget if Cerro Porteno go behind lay Sportivo.

[Richard Latimer]

And here is my trial:

Rapid Buchareast is a duplicate of the ELO which I already laid and cashed out on @ 1-1.

[Richard Latimer]

Fri ELO's:

Turkey, Austria and Netherlands all back in tomorrow after playing enough games for me.

[Richard Latimer]

An overnighter I couldn't get to in the States but double bubble there.

Also some justification in advising to stay away from Rio Grande.

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing on the ELO tomorrow other than a game in Kazak which I will be tracking but doing no more.

[Richard Latimer]

After a successful trade on Oulu (it was an ELO but not been convinced by Finland and the fact I traded it was more to do with the trial than the ELO) tomorrow sees a little more qualify as potentials. Would have been a few more but for some games not being listed (Israel) and others being too early in the season (LaLiga):

I will be in bed when Colorado Springs & Rio Grande kick of but wouldn't be doing those anyway at the moment. Colorado have been behind 7 times in 10 games and although they've pulled it back 6 times I'm not convinced by a team that has been behind as many times as they have. Sooner or later something has to give. Worth tracking these anyway. Rio Grande have pulled away 75% of the time when they do go ahead which is another number I'm not sure of when looking at laying home teams.

[Richard Latimer]

An abysmal month comes to a close on a good note with over 1pt profit on the day.

Sept makes for miserable reading overall though with a 12pt loss. Need to start strong in Oct.

[Richard Latimer]

And the ELO's:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Come on for god's sake. One of you go behind haha!

Not single qualifier again. Checked the Bahrain game and they did go behind but it was for less than a minute so pointless recording that haha!

Think tomorrow is going to be another disapointing one for the trial with only 2 potentials:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Come on for god's sake. One of you go behind haha!

Not single qualifier again. Checked the Bahrain game and they did go behind but it was for less than a minute so pointless recording that haha!

[Richard Latimer]

Come on for god's sake. One of you go behind haha!

[Richard Latimer]

Todays ELO:

Todays Live Testing for New Filter - Quick On The Draw

Left the Bahrain game in but I'm just tracking this one. Away team have never been ahead in the last 10 games according to stats so who knows how they'll react if they do finally take the lead.

[Richard Latimer]

@martin-futter said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@martin-futter said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer that's good news! what's the strike rate and average lay odds?

I'm only about 50 selections in and not quite settled yet but between 65-70% if it continues. Not calculated average odds yet because I've only just started live testing but had plenty under evens. Iwata just before HT. I didn't get on but you could lay them for 1.35. I laid Necaxa the other night for 1.29 in the fh and ended 1-1. Penafiel yesterday @ 1.69 I think it was. Oh yeah and Botafogo in serie C were about 1.17, got carded and you could lay for 1.07. Ended 1-1.

so usually short odds on? won 65-70 is huge then!

Hopefully I'll have more to back this up soon enough but in general matches seem to have a much more even outlook on starting odds. There is some duplication to the ELO but not as much as I thought there would be.

[Martin]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@martin-futter said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer that's good news! what's the strike rate and average lay odds?

I'm only about 50 selections in and not quite settled yet but between 65-70% if it continues. Not calculated average odds yet because I've only just started live testing but had plenty under evens. Iwata just before HT. I didn't get on but you could lay them for 1.35. I laid Necaxa the other night for 1.29 in the fh and ended 1-1. Penafiel yesterday @ 1.69 I think it was. Oh yeah and Botafogo in serie C were about 1.17, got carded and you could lay for 1.07. Ended 1-1.

so usually short odds on? won 65-70 is huge then!