Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Both Kawasaki and Tokyo obliging with an equaliser so a much better morning. Now going for a H2 goal in Huachipato Chile.
Laid under 1.5 @ 3.05 & 2.56.
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Haven't posted yet but all my stuff is on sheet as normal. Don't have time to post this morning my either.
A few things in good leagues though.
Nice to see the ELO's kept performing overnight. Shame I had to go to bed haha!
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H2 goal potential:
Also one in Bahrain but I have no data there yet so will paper trade that one if it qualifies.
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Will need to get my head on straight and concentrate when football proiper start again in a few days. Until then we're still dealing with the dregs.
1 ELO lay in Qatar for tomorrow. Another in Bahrain but that's on my list of stuff to watch and do nothing presently:
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Over & Out (H2 goals):
Currently 0-0 in Columbus Crew with just over 20mins gone.
Typical. Goal way too early in Columbus but Seattle would have been a nice winner.
Missed a goal in quatar but it's more positive data. The Israeli game stayed 0-2 after HT but this isn't a score I envisage being a good earner and it was a paper trade.
The lay winning team thing similar to ELO that I am working on in the background is looking good and spotting lots of patterns for things to be tweaked. Almost 100 selections now and I'll share what I'm working on as soon as I reach that point.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Over & Out (H2 goals):
Currently 0-0 in Columbus Crew with just over 20mins gone.
Typical. Goal way too early in Columbus but Seattle would have been a nice winner.
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Over & Out (H2 goals):
Currently 0-0 in Columbus Crew with just over 20mins gone.
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Only qualifier was Ulsan in the end for Sunday but it duly delivered.
For Monday:
Currently 1-1 in Uruguay.
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Full list now:
ELO's
H2 Goals
Titanic (home come backs from 0-2 down)
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Going through Sunday and before I post there's a game on at the moment where I expect a h2 goal. Laying under 2.5 @ 3.55. As ever it's a variable stake so reduced because I'm over 3.5.
Actually scratch that, I'm getting confused haha!
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Going through Sunday and before I post there's a game on at the moment where I expect a h2 goal. Laying under 2.5 @ 3.55. As ever it's a variable stake so reduced because I'm over 3.5.
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Ratings back and I see we missed a very good ELO tonight in Paraguay. Good to note that it was in another lay strategy I'm trying to refine using stats alone.
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Very up and down start to Sept so far.
Frustration in Finland (for the time on my shitcanned list for ELO's), elation in Brazil (H2 goal at good odds), then frustration in Brazil (Gremio dominating whole game and somehow managing too go 2 down - luckily getting one back immediately after the re-lay to minimise losses), elation in China with a good comeback and then a little more frustration trying to trade without stats on what looked a good comeback opportunity.
In spite of this I'm still only around 1.5pts down and the month can now begin proper with the stats back.
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Made the right call for Ireland to be on s**t canned list for time being. Would have had a semi costly loss in Drogheda as they lost to a single goal in the 60th.
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When I'm too busy to post on specific games they win haha! Nice green in Guangzhou who pulled back from 0-1 to win 2-1.
I laid @ 2.62 but unlike most of these the price kept dropping quite quickly and not really in accordance with time decay. Always bugs me when I end up with a poor price haha!
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If home falls behind 0-2, lay away:
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Only goal game is Malaysia. No data on that league as yet so another one I'll let pass and simply track.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Fri ELO's
Oh yeah, Malaysia and Ireland data is thin so I'll be leaving these and just tracking.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
0-2. how exactly is anyone's guess but there it is. Absolutely one way traffic. Not enough shots on target but woodwork has been hit as well.
Managed to save over half the liability on the quick re-lay. Would have left it in but don't trust after that. Bummer but live to fight another day.
They are still all over them so made an effort to scratch for very little additional liability considering I already shedded over half of it.
FT 1-2. I won't say I'm happy with that but having managed to get almost half my liability back even after my late attempt to scratch it could have been a lot worse.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
0-2. how exactly is anyone's guess but there it is. Absolutely one way traffic. Not enough shots on target but woodwork has been hit as well.
Managed to save over half the liability on the quick re-lay. Would have left it in but don't trust after that. Bummer but live to fight another day.
They are still all over them so made an effort to scratch for very little additional liability considering I already shedded over half of it.