Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Nothing yet because I'd rather my criteria was airtight and slowly let things in rather than be too loose and slowly have to let too much drip away.
Both Fener and Alanyaspor were right on the edge of being FHG selections.
Similarly Fener right on the edge of being a qualifier for a late goal. Close but no cigar.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Nothing yet because I'd rather my criteria was airtight and slowly let things in rather than be too loose and slowly have to let too much drip away.
Both Fener and Alanyaspor were right on the edge of being FHG selections.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@martin-futter thanks Martin
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@richard-latimer good stuff so far!
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Not much again tomorrow but a few potentials if all goes the way I hope. Also marked out Alanyaspor as being potential for FHG as well as late lay 0-0. Napoli potential for late lay 0-0
As always, before getting involved in any scenario please read the criteria below and ask if you have any questions:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@daniel-cooper said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@daniel-cooper in my personal life or trading haha??
In general! So both I guess! Hope everything is ok
Well on the up personally but you maybe didn't read my post a few weeks back before I disappeared for a bit haha! In trading, I feel pretty pumped. Just got to turn the theoretical £'s into proper ones.
Glad to hear it! I did read it yeah, glad to hear you’re on the up! And yes haha, same here!!! Starting to pull some bits and bobs together
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Just the Ecuadorian game qualified today so +.98pt (
£1.57). Can't look at price as Betfair down.The lay was 2.64. Time to start thinking about tomorrow.
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@daniel-cooper said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@daniel-cooper in my personal life or trading haha??
In general! So both I guess! Hope everything is ok
Well on the up personally but you maybe didn't read my post a few weeks back before I disappeared for a bit haha! In trading, I feel pretty pumped. Just got to turn the theoretical £'s into proper ones.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@daniel-cooper in my personal life or trading haha??
In general! So both I guess! Hope everything is ok
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@daniel-cooper in my personal life or trading haha??
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Just the Ecuadorian game qualified today so +.98pt (
£1.57). Can't look at price as Betfair down.Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Hows everything going Richard?
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Well I'm still up drinking a beer so may as well update again. 0-2. One more potential for Monday in Russia with Spartak Moscow. Good start to the week anyway.
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Providing no further goals Aucas is a 70th minute under 1.5 lay.
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I've already updated sheet but Aucas is a potential. Starting in just over 10 mins.
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Ok so full update. Pretty much another scratch day.
Riterai (Lithuania). Laid under 3.5 70th minute @ 2.16. No further goals and a quick check of my sheet shows 3 matches with this criteria and a 1-2 score line. All have remained 1-2. It was avoidable and annoying. -1.16pts (-£1.86)
RB Salzburg. Missed FHG......GRRRRRR
Lausanne (Swiss). Laid under 2.5 FH goals 25th minute @ 2.18. No further FH goals. -1.18pts (-£1.89). This result prompted me to look for a correlation between where the first 2 goals had gone in the other qualifiers and almost all had either gone 1-1 or 2-0 before seeing a 3rd. Only 4 as of today have gone 0-2 in the FH and from those it was a 50/50 split as of now.
An outlier and also also a 50/50 proposition so far. Easy to avoid in future. From the other it's something like 7 wins and 1 loss on the 1-1's and 10 wins, 1 loss on the 2-0's so it makes sense to follow the data unless it leads me back here.
Frankfurt. Laid under 1.5 70th min @ 2.76. Ends 1-1. +.98pt (£1.57)
Lausanne (again). Laid under 3.5 70th min @ 2.88. Ends 2-2. +.98pt (£1.57)
Roma. Laid under 0.5 FH goal 20th min @ 2.78. 0-0 @ HT. -1.78pts (-£2.85) GRRRR!!!!!
Roma. Laid under 1.5 70th min @ 3.35. Ends 5-0 and goal came 72nd. +.98pt (£1.57)
Nacional Potosi (Bolivia). Laid under 1.5 70th min @ 2.22. Ends 2-1. +.98pt (£1.57)minus a few pence today.
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There it is. Full update coming.
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Just entered the Bolivian for a late one. Would be nice to end on a good note. Problem isn't missing a couple as I've had 3 wins already today, problem is the ones I shouldn't have had. Roma was avoidable and the other 2 have just come to light for avoidance in the future.
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Still got a Bolivian game on the potentials which could qualify for a SHG at some stage but all in all it's been a bit pish today.
Already mentioned how it started. Didn't get much better or thankfully worse so it's pretty mcuh as you were heading in to another week but with some good lessons and a few ideas moving forward.
I mentioned about not missing FHG, well equally it's no good accidentally getting into them when criteria isn't 100% there and it's much the same thing as missing one this morning. Noticed 20 mins in Roma could well have been a FHG play and checked everything but the ave book price against my criteria. Noticed too late it wasn't quite there and tried to get out. When that failed, the price went down meaning bigger red and Roma were piling on the pressure so were sure to score. They didn't and it's a balls up on the FHG's today.
From tomorrow I'm going to mark out the likely games where FHG could come into play to highlight these. When it's a 2nd FHG or a 3rd then I'm already alert having been notified of the first goal. It's just when you get a quiet notification to let you know a match has started it's easy to miss until too late.
So anyway.
Lausanne qualified for a 3rd FHG going 0-2 down but a little later I noticed most of the green trades were coming from 1-1's and 2-0's, not 0-2's. 0-2's are now a outlying 50% split probability I will ignore unless the data tells me not to. No good for today but this wasn't really an issue.
Late goal Frankfurt came in.
Late goal Lausanne came in.
Late goal Roma came in.Will update properly after the last game finishes but just wanted to make a start.
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Not been providing updates throughout the day really since I started but going to write a couple of things now. First trade today a bust but looking back I'm not sure why it was even a trade at all. Odds low enough so again not the end of the world but not helping when I need to kick on.
For the 3 quick goals angle which is doing very well and has an entry of 75th minute the only 1-2 scores entered were losses. Surprise surprise today made 3 losses. Easily rectified and I retain full confidence on this.
Missed FHG trade. Of recent there's a couple of not exactly mistakes creeping in but lack of awareness in when games are starting. Today RB Salzburg scored exactly in exactly 20th minute. It qualified and I missed it.
So instead of being a point up today I'm down just a point. A little more concentration and it's a different story. No harm, no foul, put it right for the future.
