Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

LTD (JO.F.F.S.):

None qualified past 70 today other than an Ecuadorian loser. Hope for better today.

Longterm it may be best to enter after 59mins (s/r extremely high removing a couple of poor leagues and some crazy odds) but for now I'm being cautious so will stay on point for 69mins (70th minute) Odds are manageable and my strike rate is still incredibly good thus far.

Only one qualifier beyond 70 today and just the one more beyond 60. Both winners. I really want to find a way to use more of these than the few that slip into the 2nd half drawing.

[Richard Latimer]

LTD (JO.F.F.S.):

None qualified past 70 today other than an Ecuadorian loser. Hope for better today.

Longterm it may be best to enter after 59mins (s/r extremely high removing a couple of poor leagues and some crazy odds) but for now I'm being cautious so will stay on point for 69mins (70th minute) Odds are manageable and my strike rate is still incredibly good thus far.

[Richard Latimer]

New day tomorrow (or today even):

Putting away the over 2.5 SHG for now (still tracking). Initial s/r has gone down a little (as is to be expected at those odds) and it's not what I need in terms of bank building right now. I believe the 2 entry points being over 3.5 pre-game and over 1.5 SHG should be a more stable journey with less bumps on the road. Some good games for tomorrow so we will see.

Important to note that while initial results have settled down from the crazy high I saw immediately they are still decent and more than good enough to make a healthy profit should that be where things end up longterm.

61% on over 3.5 @ ave odds 2.00 (that's bookie price - betfair will be higher in most cases) plus knowing 1-0 or 0-1 is an easy exit route for only minimal red as opposed to the high likelihood that entry losing.

71% on over 1.5 SHG (ave bookie odds 1.6 and in most cases betfair will be higher) should provide a good 10-15% yield over time if it continues in that manner).

[Richard Latimer]

Who'd have thought, Ajax would spoil the day at 3-0 in the first half!? At least they somehow managed a fourth so it wasn't a full loss. Disappointing day.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Hearts winning 2-0 @ HT so on course there. Unfortunately liquidity is dreadful for the over/under 3.5 market!

Very annoying 3-0 within a minute of HT and liquidity nowhere to be seen. Think that spells the end of using 3pm championship games as what's the point. Hope to at least get the win for initial trade.

Hearts a winner if only for 1pt.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Hearts winning 2-0 @ HT so on course there. Unfortunately liquidity is dreadful for the over/under 3.5 market!

Very annoying 3-0 within a minute of HT and liquidity nowhere to be seen. Think that spells the end of using 3pm championship games as what's the point. Hope to at least get the win for initial trade.

[Richard Latimer]

Hearts winning 2-0 @ HT so on course there. Unfortunately liquidity is dreadful for the over/under 3.5 market!

[Richard Latimer]

The Dortmund win is in.

[Richard Latimer]

Silkeborg a loser but saved some cash by reddiing out of over 3.5 trade @ HT.

[Richard Latimer]

2x 0-0 in the ltd. One for yesterday and one to start today. Overall s/r still over 80%.

Been trying to look at the impact of leagues but nowhere near enough data as yet to make any decisions.

[Richard Latimer]

JO.F.F.S.:

[Richard Latimer]

Saturday BOGOF's:

No Data for Denmark 1st Division or Scots Championship as yet. Enter at your own risk.

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing qualified in the end. Maybe Wilstermann will but that's the last throw of the dice until tomorrow.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Lodz back on the menu for a BOGOF:

Only Polish selection thus far was a winner with 7 goals although typically enough went in at HT 0-1 and was the only game so far to see another 3 goals from that HT scoreline.

Nope. Spoke too soon. Another match cancelled to Covid.

[Richard Latimer]

All potential LTD from 69 mins as long as a max of 1 goal scored no later than 55 mins and ave bookie price for a H2 goal is 1.12+ (oddsportal.com).

[Richard Latimer]

Lodz back on the menu for a BOGOF:

Only Polish selection thus far was a winner with 7 goals although typically enough went in at HT 0-1 and was the only game so far to see another 3 goals from that HT scoreline.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Both Norway Obos-ligaen games are in my potential ltd today.

One abandoned and the other which lost didn't qualify based on price.

[Richard Latimer]

Both Norway Obos-ligaen games are in my potential ltd today.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Got a BOGOF selection tomorrow as Adana Demirspor play @ 13:00

Going to take heed of the analysis I've done recently. If 1-0 or 0-1 @ HT I will red on the under 3.5 lay and still place the under 2.5 (1.5 SHG) lay.

It was all looking good at HT. Unfortunately no more goals so 2pts lost.

3 selections in Turkey 1 Liga now and only 1 which was a winner. That's 2 full losses and 1 full win. That said, the odds today were pretty low to lay.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@konstantinos-koulamas said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer did it but still unable to get the turkish match...

Actually I think that game is 0.6 for H2 goals. I've not got any with that number yet so caution advised.

The inplay stats looked excellent so I placed the trade. Goal seconds later. Doesn't quite make up for the earlier game but a nice but of green all the same.

By the way @Konstantinos-Koulamas I have Goztepe down as 2.3 ave home and 1.4 ave home in H2 so no idea why it didn't hit your filter.