Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

FHG in Wilstermann. All the planets are aligned with this one.
Laying under 0.5 FH @ 3.95
Stake £1.25

[Richard Latimer]

That's it for Thursday. Time to start another run and not ruin it with dodgy leagues!

[Richard Latimer]

This is something that could be interesting. I've gone through converting all ave overs odds for the losers into lay prices and then calculated likely level stakes profit from that:

Also of course, add Jordan to the damned red list haha!

[Richard Latimer]

This is the best list I can come up with right now. Most leagues are doing well and some exceptionally well. A few are teetering on the edge but they bring more to the overall picture than the ones in the list. Also, they are bigger leagues and I'm loathe to get rid of any big leeagues without a massive sample size.

France Ligue 1 for example is probably the worst league with 4 losses coming out of just 13 selections. BUT in terms of outliers and leagues which will add nothing to the bigger picture these are it right now!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

If this fails to come in I'm going to have to start taking more of a point on what leagues are working and the (very few it has to be said) ones that aren't.

Clearly the odds suggested the market doesn't expect goals but Faisaly almost always score away and have scored 3 in each of their last 3 away matches.

Really not what I wanted to do but I think I've done well getting this far without cutting a single league.

There are a few leagues in the mix that don't play to the stats thus far. Only one result in Jordan but it's enough to put it on a red list so far I think when most wouldn't touch this league with a proverbial bargepole!

Ukraine is another that doesn't look great.

Uruguay and 2nd tier Mexico minimal results but what there is is poor.

And there it is, the most glaringly obvious 2nd half result ever.......but not to me haha!!

Time to go through the leagues and see what I find

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

If this fails to come in I'm going to have to start taking more of a point on what leagues are working and the (very few it has to be said) ones that aren't.

Clearly the odds suggested the market doesn't expect goals but Faisaly almost always score away and have scored 3 in each of their last 3 away matches.

Really not what I wanted to do but I think I've done well getting this far without cutting a single league.

There are a few leagues in the mix that don't play to the stats thus far. Only one result in Jordan but it's enough to put it on a red list so far I think when most wouldn't touch this league with a proverbial bargepole!

Ukraine is another that doesn't look great.

Uruguay and 2nd tier Mexico minimal results but what there is is poor.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Meantime....

Lay under 1.5 Grindavik @ 8.8
Currently 0-1
Stake 0.93p

1-1

[Richard Latimer]

Meantime....

Lay under 1.5 Grindavik @ 8.8
Currently 0-1
Stake 0.93p

[Richard Latimer]

If this fails to come in I'm going to have to start taking more of a point on what leagues are working and the (very few it has to be said) ones that aren't.

Clearly the odds suggested the market doesn't expect goals but Faisaly almost always score away and have scored 3 in each of their last 3 away matches.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 2.5 Al Wehdat @ 3.45
Currently 2-0 @ HT.
Stake £2.08

[Richard Latimer]

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

I'll post anything from 15:00 onwards later. For now, the stats data concurs with my finding on Balestier Khalsa which will almost certainly be a trade @ 0-0, 0-1, 1-1 or anything else other than 1-0, 2-0, 0-2, 2-1 or 1-2

Super high price but I left unmatched @ 11.0 which is my limit. Dog smashed them 5-2 in the end from 2-2 @ HT.

Alot of my preconceptions about various scorelines have been smashed by this filter. I used to hate 2-2 but so far so good.

Anyway that's 7/7 since the last loss and 3/3 today so far.

[Richard Latimer]

I'll post anything from 15:00 onwards later. For now, the stats data concurs with my finding on Balestier Khalsa which will almost certainly be a trade @ 0-0, 0-1, 1-1 or anything else other than 1-0, 2-0, 0-2, 2-1 or 1-2

[Martin]

@richard-latimer they are back now mate

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Wouldn't fancy doing that on a regualr basis. I'll hope the stats are back for anything tomorrow afternoon.

Should be a play on Kansas and then bed

Yep. Lay under 1.5 @ 7.4
New England was 6.4 by the way.

[Richard Latimer]

Wouldn't fancy doing that on a regualr basis. I'll hope the stats are back for anything tomorrow afternoon.

Should be a play on Kansas and then bed

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Laying under 1.5 New England

1-1

[Richard Latimer]

Laying under 1.5 New England

[Richard Latimer]

I'm going to try and calculate manually as only a few games.

[Richard Latimer]

Looks like the stats are down tonight. May have to start downloading them 2 nights in advance to combat this happening in the future. Always happens at night as well when there's no one around to see it bar me haha!