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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.5k Posts 81 Posters 436.7k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2621

    Laying under 1.5 New England

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2622

    I'm going to try and calculate manually as only a few games.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2623

    Looks like the stats are down tonight. May have to start downloading them 2 nights in advance to combat this happening in the future. Always happens at night as well when there's no one around to see it bar me haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2624

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Thought that was going to be it for the day but Berliner just qualified with a late FHG.

    Lay under 1.5 Berliner @ 6.8
    Currently 0-1
    Stake £1.25

    That's 0-2.

    3/3 today

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2625

    Thought that was going to be it for the day but Berliner just qualified with a late FHG.

    Lay under 1.5 Berliner @ 6.8
    Currently 0-1
    Stake £1.25

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2626

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lay under 2.5 Asane @ 6.4
    Currently 1-1
    Stake £1.25

    That's 3-1 in the 78th

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2627

    Lay under 2.5 Asane @ 6.4
    Currently 1-1
    Stake £1.25

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2628

    That's 5-1 in the 57th minute so a win.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2629

    Right, as Fabrizio would say. Here we go.

    Lay under 2.5 Halden @ 8.0
    Confident about this one and confident this is the beginning of the next great run haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2630

    0_1629242278702_cd7435d0-6471-4a06-8020-2bea2fbb5246-image.png

    Plenty of potential to get on that run tomorrow!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #2631

    The Mexico game has gone 2-2 @ HT. Just had a quick look how many HT 2-2 scorelines I have in my 1655 strong database. A whole 16 matches haha!!

    Tis a very rare occurence. You could argue that as 14/16 had a SHG there's a good chance but on it's own the scoreline needs way more data and grouped with other rare scorelines it doesn't fit my range as ave goals 3 and the range is 3.05-4.15.

    Will post up some overnighters in a minute.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2632

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    In an effort to catch the outliers beforee they happen (similar to what I was doing on the other) I have gone through all the ranges within selections and recorded these. Outside of these ranges I will watch to see what happens before pulling the trigger.

    The idea, as before, is that data becomes more and more reliable and optimises for every single match I collect.

    Different from the other however, there won't be quite so many areas which are forever changing and stability should be achieved much quicker.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2633

    In an effort to catch the outliers beforee they happen (similar to what I was doing on the other) I have gone through all the ranges within selections and recorded these. Outside of these ranges I will watch to see what happens before pulling the trigger.

    The idea, as before, is that data becomes more and more reliable and optimises for every single match I collect.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2634

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Laid the 0-0 @ 7.0
    Stake £1.25

    That's 1-0 already so pulls a bit back from the FHG. One more potential later. The run will have to wait until tomorrow now ffs haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2635

    Laid the 0-0 @ 7.0
    Stake £1.25

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2636

    I still won't shy away from making this a SHG play though.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2637

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Laid under 0.5 FH Zamalek @ 3.4

    Looking very much like another in the loss column. It's no secret I find that big numbers can be just as dertimental as the smaller ones and for this 1.7 ave for home hitting the back of the net FH is one of those. It's the highest within my 100+ selections for FH goal and of course it loses.

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Laid under 0.5 FH Zamalek @ 3.4

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2638

    Laid under 0.5 FH Zamalek @ 3.4

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2639

    0_1629161419524_813ba3d4-206a-49e7-8475-3bc919ececb2-image.png

    Time to get on another run tomorrow/today.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2640

    So the picture illustrates what's been going on since Fri.

    Last nights crazy game in Brazil no longer makes the cut (despite the low odds) with my tigtening of the 1-1 scoreline. It leaves the only losing game as the one in Norway today.

    I'm not amending and tightening for the sake of it. That one stays. It would be made again as things stand.

    On the left is also the matches that qualified for my other project and would have won.

    1.5 data I continue to collect and it continues to look good but a looooong way to go.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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