Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Had 3 overnighters go my way in the states and this month is in the green by 8 or 9pts if you were to look it at that way.

I should add though that after waking with fresh eyes this morning I was able to immediately look at the one thing I hadn't taken into account in Charlotte. Ave over 0.5 odds for H2 1.07. That was only the 7th qualifier at 1-0 and at 6/7 even if the average odds were only 7.0 (they wouldn't be) it's no better than break even.

For now I'll increase the minimum odds on this scoreline. The other thing to note is that from the 1.07 odds I did have all the previous winners were in leagues I would have to drop in a year or 2 anyway.

[Richard Latimer]

@chris-osborne said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer instead of upping your limit for certain leagues which doesn’t sound a good idea in terms of a staking plan, just ditch the leagues your thinking of doing this for.

Quality over quantity

Don't mean in terms of staking at all. I meant number of matches and data I have.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer instead of upping your limit for certain leagues which doesn’t sound a good idea in terms of a staking plan, just ditch the leagues your thinking of doing this for.

Quality over quantity

[Richard Latimer]

Poor day. Regionalliga Nordost on the back benches for a bit and I may need tom up my limit for getting involved in certain leagues. That said, I'll up it and just be hit by the beginning stages of a league failing rather than the end. It's frustrating but this will settle down over time. For now I have to roll with the punches and realise that while profit can and will be made......it will not be as much as hoped and will only improve over time.

The way things are I would take Charlotte again. The league is good and the match stats were good.

Overnighters:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

LCS Real Potosi 1-1

2-1

Forgot to update but that was 2/2 yesterday and +£4.36

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

LCS Real Potosi 1-1

2-1

[Richard Latimer]

[Richard Latimer]

LCS Real Potosi 1-1

[Richard Latimer]

Already given the exact p/l so this is just a record of what was and what would be going forward.

The loss in Serbia @ 1-3 Backa Topola vs Partizan was an outlier in as much as most of these don't have such heavy home odds. It's kind of not the thing. In almost 1yr of tracking there were 5 selections including Sundays that were that high and of course it's now 4/5.

At these odds small mistakes can set you back further so for now I take those high home odds out of the firing line on the BOR HT scoreline.

The 2 games in Regionalliga North are there for results purposes only as not enough data. Same with Croatia 1.

This gives actual traded games as 19/22

Without Serbia 19/21

I've just learnt tonight that Willie Saliba saved an almost certain goal from Mbappe with a last ditch challenge. Bittersweet that one haha!!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

LCS 0-1 Stuttgart II @ 4.5

1-1

[Richard Latimer]

LCS 0-1 Stuttgart II @ 4.5

[Richard Latimer]

Too busy trying to update my records so unless anything qualifies I won't be posting in advance today. This is a mammoth task every weekend at present. Be fine if I didn't have to work haha!

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing until gone 6 tomorrow so will post when home from work and dog walked haha. That bit is the most important or he'll shout at me!

[Richard Latimer]

Getting tired now so will have to continue tomorrow. Nothing qualified today so was no need to post in the end.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

These overnighters in the states:

2 qualified and won while I was in bed. Typical haha

Bit blurry eyed in the morning. It was only Miami that qualified so just the 1 missed win.

Now on to updating Sunday and it's going to take me a while as there's quite a bit of analysis to do and little tweaks I've seen coming for a bit but held off on.

The dog is walked and asleep on the sofa. The cat has been told to f**k off and stop whining for no reason. Got a caffeine boost in front of me and here we go.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

These overnighters in the states:

2 qualified and won while I was in bed. Typical haha

[Richard Latimer]

These overnighters in the states:

[Richard Latimer]

Really didn't see it happening but what do I know. A tough day ends with another last minute goal and another tiny gain.

+£1.61

Full update tomorrow but a few things to look at.

[Richard Latimer]

It's not quite over yet but been a slog today and for the most part this weekend. Not a loss but 3 steps forward, 2 steps back all the way.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Kaapo qualifies but leaving it.

Same with Chemie. Something I'm monitoring.

Kaapo decision was the right one and probably means a little tweak coming up at least until I see it's not an actual thing to be concerned about. Ave 1.5 home scored when 1-0 @ HT now a slight losing proposition.