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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.5k Posts 81 Posters 436.7k Views
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  • John FolanJ Online
    John FolanJ Online
    John Folan
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1101

    @richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

    Lay under 1.5:

    0_1659033248214_76891d24-9eb8-4d5d-87ce-7ef4d70cadfa-image.png

    This one was in after 6 minutes wasn’t it? 🤣

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1102

    Busy day. Lay under 1.5:

    0_1659168539380_2ce20a1a-2dfc-43b9-bcec-963acbc1b8b6-image.png

    Not doing the Brazil game at present as both teams in Serie B last season.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1103

    Lay under 1.5:

    0_1659033248214_76891d24-9eb8-4d5d-87ce-7ef4d70cadfa-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #1104

    @richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

    Between the two that would be almost 200pts in just over 3 months (mainly summer).

    There's no question this makes money but it's not quite as easy as I let myself believe this morning. Because it only hits at 35% you have to be a lot less aggressive in staking as longeest expected losing streak is 16 from 1000 games and goes up steadily.

    What that means is I can't just flip the results on their head and take loss as profit because I would have to stake altogether differently.

    It may still hit 20-30pts but it's a lot less than the lay under 1.5 is showing.

    Still, when this is finalised I do think I may look into whether I can build a lay over 3.5 system.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1105

    @richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

    Just got to take the choke out and it'll be purring again in no time haha!

    Lay under 1.5:

    0_1658875554405_4e87529b-8435-407c-a148-aff588b6423c-image.png

    2-1 Win

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1106

    Between the two that would be almost 200pts in just over 3 months (mainly summer).

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1107

    Looking at all the selections from my data that haven't made the cut and then whittling down a bit more I may have a lay over 1.5 system as well. Around 80pts from 150 selections.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1108

    Just got to take the choke out and it'll be purring again in no time haha!

    Lay under 1.5:

    0_1658875554405_4e87529b-8435-407c-a148-aff588b6423c-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1109

    Yesterday went 1/2, another loss but still showing the smallest profit for July.

    Everything could still change in the next few days. Nothing today though.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1110

    My Austin Allegro is sputtering back to life.....or at least trying🤣

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1111

    @richard-latimer Welcome to my world without the runaway train

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1112

    July started off like a runaway train. All of a sudden it's become a conked out Austin Alegro☹ :man_facepalming_light_skin_tone:

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #1113

    Yesterday was a meh.....day which really compounded the misery of the last couple of weeks. Still just under 7% up for July. A week to go.

    Once more......all the data for H2H etc double checked. All within at least a small cushion of positive results either side. Lay under 1.5:

    0_1658758788015_ced9f145-48fd-4593-9e98-3dc59cba1961-image.png

    Oh yeah, yesterday was 6/8 for a loss of just over 2pts

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1114

    Stupido. 1/2 on the last 2 so a poor day.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1115

    Wow.....did not expect that from the Icelandic game!

    So........from being 10% up to pushing to get that closer to 20%-25% again.....if both the last 2 lose I'm at 0%!!!

    If they both win......I have a small green for the day. What a rollercoaster!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1116

    Gone over and over them. I would advise anyone else to do the same. Can't depict just how many mistakes I've made and how much money could have been saved in the past. They all appear to be 100% qualifiers based on current data and decisions. Not only that, I've checked each of the lowest parameters and there are enough selections below it for these to be considered within the sweet spot.

    Lay under 1.5:

    0_1658586641742_705d729b-7525-4080-9c89-78e6416018ef-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1117

    After having nothing for a few days tomorrow looks busy. Just want to run the rule over them all for a 2nd time before I post.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1118

    @chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

    @richard-latimer Calm before the storm with alot of leagues now starting?

    Yeah I saw. Need to wait until 4 fixtures have been played so hopefully more from summer leagues over the next week or so.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1119

    @richard-latimer Calm before the storm with alot of leagues now starting?

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1120

    @richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

    Nothing for tomorrow and I don't think there's anything for Sat either.

    Definitely nothing for Saturday either. Bit of a lull in my selections last few days!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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