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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #9101

    0_1643933214653_3956b840-9d11-4a42-bf62-4980c1bd4df1-image.png

    All potentials for a SHG

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #9102

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Not sure I should post this here, but anyway...

    • Interest Rate in the UK has increased
    • Energy prices are also soaring (again), they will probably rise again in October

    Life is going to be a little harder for some people in the UK. If you can afford to help others, please do so. Some of those people who may need help could be family members that are too embarrassed to ask for support.

    Trading can provide you with a little extra income. It is important to get it right. Now is the time to do that.

    The 2nd month of the 3% Club will start on Sunday. Hopefully it'll provide some green

    Meanwhile, the 1st month has 3 days remaining. No trades today, but it is at around 93%. Even if we had a catastrophic final two days (it's possible), a 33% increase on starting bankroll is still good. I am hopeful it won't come to that!

    Get ready!

    I heard it's going to double again in April. Seriously need to turn the heating off! Anyone else get stressed about the amount of time their kids put in on the PlayStation haha???

    No this is the April rise. Next one is October.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #9103

    3% Club - Friday, 04th February 2022 - (Day 29)

    Just the one so far. Will be Laying Under 1.5 Goals then I evaluate at HT whether to go for a SHG

    https://www.evernote.com/shard/s300/sh/63ab905f-d47e-4e8c-bc8b-fa86d445d852/aef860fe2028917542142634829e1eeb

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    ? Akiva AndersonA 3 Replies Last reply
    2
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #9104

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    League of Ireland starts in two weeks followed by the start of the MLS at the end of the month. Great stuff

    Love the League of Ireland: great for SHG.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #9105

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Not sure I should post this here, but anyway...

    • Interest Rate in the UK has increased
    • Energy prices are also soaring (again), they will probably rise again in October

    Life is going to be a little harder for some people in the UK. If you can afford to help others, please do so. Some of those people who may need help could be family members that are too embarrassed to ask for support.

    Trading can provide you with a little extra income. It is important to get it right. Now is the time to do that.

    The 2nd month of the 3% Club will start on Sunday. Hopefully it'll provide some green

    Meanwhile, the 1st month has 3 days remaining. No trades today, but it is at around 93%. Even if we had a catastrophic final two days (it's possible), a 33% increase on starting bankroll is still good. I am hopeful it won't come to that!

    Get ready!

    I heard it's going to double again in April. Seriously need to turn the heating off! Anyone else get stressed about the amount of time their kids put in on the PlayStation haha???

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #9106

    @keith-anderson Maybe we rename this the inflation killer

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #9107

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Saturday looks good for football. I'll be watching...

    08:45 - Melbourne Victory v Western United
    13:00 - Elche v Alves
    17:00 - Inter Milan v AC Milan
    17:30 - Bayern v Leipzig
    18:00 - Burnley v Watford
    19:45 - Fiorentina v Lazio
    20:00 - Osasuna v Sevilla
    20:00 - Monaco v Lyon

    I shall be slotting in the World Cup Final Cricket U19's England v India. at 13.00, good thing i have multiple screens !

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Simji
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #9108

    Mls I used mainly for my under 2.5. as it's at a good time for me to actually trade. Discipline is key there for unders as they can be numerous of goals

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #9109

    Not sure I should post this here, but anyway...

    • Interest Rate in the UK has increased
    • Energy prices are also soaring (again), they will probably rise again in October

    Life is going to be a little harder for some people in the UK. If you can afford to help others, please do so. Some of those people who may need help could be family members that are too embarrassed to ask for support.

    Trading can provide you with a little extra income. It is important to get it right. Now is the time to do that.

    The 2nd month of the 3% Club will start on Sunday. Hopefully it'll provide some green

    Meanwhile, the 1st month has 3 days remaining. No trades today, but it is at around 93%. Even if we had a catastrophic final two days (it's possible), a 33% increase on starting bankroll is still good. I am hopeful it won't come to that!

    Get ready!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    RyanR Richard LatimerR 2 Replies Last reply
    7
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #9110

    @thomas-larsen Depends stakes and trade out or is it to set and forget?

    I have Betdaq and Smarkets. I like Smarkets interface a lot

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #9111

    @keith-anderson Yep! I think the Championship is dropping off anyways, it used to be bloody great but now its not that decent for me!

    League one is a lot of fun.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #9112

    @keith-anderson thanks👍🏼 Yes set and forget. Betdaq it is then

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #9113

    @thomas-larsen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    I need a back up Exchange. Smarkets, betdaq or matchbok?

    Depends what for. If it is 'Set n Forget' strategy then it shouldn't matter. I use Betdaq and Betfair

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #9114

    I need a back up Exchange. Smarkets, betdaq or matchbok?

    Akiva AndersonA RyanR 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to DJ Reid on last edited by
    #9115

    @dj-reid said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Saturday looks good for football. I'll be watching...

    08:45 - Melbourne Victory v Western United
    13:00 - Elche v Alves
    17:00 - Inter Milan v AC Milan
    17:30 - Bayern v Leipzig
    18:00 - Burnley v Watford
    19:45 - Fiorentina v Lazio
    20:00 - Osasuna v Sevilla
    20:00 - Monaco v Lyon

    Damn, got excited thinking this was your official over 1.5 list! 😂

    Not yet! Though I'd be shocked if a few of these didn't make the list!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    DJ Reid
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #9116

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Saturday looks good for football. I'll be watching...

    08:45 - Melbourne Victory v Western United
    13:00 - Elche v Alves
    17:00 - Inter Milan v AC Milan
    17:30 - Bayern v Leipzig
    18:00 - Burnley v Watford
    19:45 - Fiorentina v Lazio
    20:00 - Osasuna v Sevilla
    20:00 - Monaco v Lyon

    Damn, got excited thinking this was your official over 1.5 list! 😂

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #9117

    Hey Guys after a bit of help with something may have found something been looking at the football ratingsfor my LTUD so i back tracked and got data from the start of the season setting home comeback at 63

    ive populated some results from August to Decemeber so far thats about 560 results did some filtering and based on getting matched at say 1.25 and backing 1 point just getting on SHG would be roughly up 10.44 Points from 555 results meaning about 1.88% ROI

    I started filtering if i take the difference bewteen Home ELO and Away and if its 300 or greater and filter away offence to 0.5 or greater gives 5.88 Points from 37/40 games giving 14.7% ROI

    For O1.5 If i filter the same i get 36/40 ROI 11.6% 4.64 Points

    i was woundering if that would be enough sample size to maybe start trading a SHG and O1.5 Plan or any thoughts on it. For SHG /O1.5 based on backing at 1.25 with point so if it loses its minus -1.Maybe the odds mistake but was woundering if people with bit more knowleadge know if i am on to something or not. Cheers for any help

    0_1643889246545_LTUD.xlsx

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by Akiva Anderson
    #9118

    Saturday looks good for football. I'll be watching...

    08:45 - Melbourne Victory v Western United
    13:00 - Elche v Alves
    17:00 - Inter Milan v AC Milan
    17:30 - Bayern v Leipzig
    18:00 - Burnley v Watford
    19:45 - Fiorentina v Lazio
    20:00 - Osasuna v Sevilla
    20:00 - Monaco v Lyon

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    D Stuart WallaceS 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #9119

    @keith-anderson i also paused it last season

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #9120

    @alan-steward both used to be cracking leagues

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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