The BTC Football Trading Thread
-
@sam-maccuaig personally just going to leave it now. lost 5 out of the last 6 and they are drip staked. Feels like much more of a gamble than anything else
-
@john-hurst there was also a VAR over rule 9 shots on goal 5 on target and over 60% combined dangerous attacks. It wasn’t a bad trade it just ended 0-0.
-
@john-hurst watching the in play it definitely slowed down after about 20-25 mins, I didn't enter the second half of my stake for this reason. FHG is a weird one as the losses feel awful but can easily run up 2.5x stake in winnings if you read it right and the goal comes late
-
@gary-brown think it was from frodes, and keith had it on his list if i remember rightly . 3 home games had a fhg and 3 away games had one too. So 100% so far. Thought it was a good shout. Im just going to avoid from now on. Simply not worth it
-
@frode-lia Do you think that Molde is better than Rosenborg this year?
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
another fhg loss. dont know why i/anyone bothers with them
Hi John was this one of the South Korean games?
I tend to avoid games where the league has just got started as their is not enough evidence for the season. Its the same with the other leagues that are just starting up a new season this week. Just becareful with these.Is your FHG selections from your own filter?
-
another fhg loss. dont know why i/anyone bothers with them
-
@frode-lia This list is amazing insight Frode so thank you so much for this. I am sure all members here really appreciate this too.
I think from looking at your list i will take a look at the Bodo game tonight. I was going to give all the games a miss being its the first game of the season so thank you for this.
-
@matt-wood aye
-
Subject to in-play stats I will be looking for a SH Goal in the following matches;
11:00 Gangwon
11:30 Pohang
17:30 Hambuger
17:30 M'gladbach
18:30 VillarrealI will also be doing a 4 goal dutch in the Norway match @ Viking
Best of luck
-
@john-hurst bt365 said offside but I'm watching match veiw so didn't see the play
-
any idea why that ulsan goal was disallowed? some of these decisions leave me scratching my head
-
@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Testing out a new LTD filter, wondering if I could get some community help, I think in-play stats are crucial on these filters so what stats would you like to see as a minimum at HT to enter an LTD trade?
Hi Martin I guess it depends on the type of game selected. For example games where you have a clear favourite you would expect the stats to be one sided with them having the most of the possession, shot on and shots off target etc.
For me and I am no expert I tend to go for:
4 shots on target as a minimum
at least 4 off target as a minimumdangerous attacks over 50% this could be for one of the teams as they maybe a clear favourite
If we have a game that is selected that has a clear favourite then I would want the clear favourite to have majority of the possession as well combined with 50% dangerous attacks.
-
@martin-futter Depends how many goals are scored if 0-0 would like to see minimum 3 SOT preferably 4... Would expect to see a goal no later than 6 Sot... If 1-1 would like to see minimum 6 SOT minimum preferably 7 would expect to see a goal no later 9 SOT... Plus good equal attacking intent... And yes I fully inderstand a goal can come with 1 SOT but these are in-play stats I use as a yard stick
-
@frode-lia Nice one mate... Much appreciated... Viking game come up on my 4 goal dutch ratings, wasn't sure about trading it as it's 1st game of the season... Might give it a go now
-
Morning gents,
Monitoring the Korea match with Ulsan for possible FHG, Split or LTD will post other matches later.
Here’s to a green Tuesday.
-
Just trading FHGs today, and being selective with my entries.
Shortlist are;
Gangwon
Horsen
Wolfsburg
St Polten
VillarrealKeeping eye out for other opportunities but trying to dial it back in terms of trading volume. One good trade and I’ll be happy.
-
The Norwegian Eliteserien starts today. Here are some short notes.
Aalesund v Molde: This is a derby, so it could be a tight game. The coach Lars Bohinen fields a very defensive 3-5-2 formation (or 5-3-2) and have organized the team pretty well. They are a norwegian version of a Conte team. Molde is probably the best team in Norway. Tons of attacking power. I would be carefull with FHG in this one.
Odd v Sandefjord: Odd with a new coach this year. Jan Frode Nornes was the assistent of the former coach Dag Eilev Fagermo, and they play identical football. 4-3-3 (The Rosenborg style) and always attacking. They only use players from their own academy, so the players isnt the best. Though they do have the top scorer in the league. Sandefjord is coached by catalan Marti Cifuentes, and they play as you can imagine a team coached by a guy from Barcelona. They lack both money and quality. Will be suprised if Odd dont take all the three points.
Stabæk v Mjøndalen: This is like Crystal Palace against Burnley, if that make sence. Both teams play a thight version of 4-4-2 and looks like teams coached by Roy Hodgson. Stabæk do have some quality players from their own academy (the best academy in Norway). Stabæk also play on natural grass. That gives them a advantage against teams playing on artificial grass. I would avoid trading on this game.
Viking v Bodø/Glimt: This should be a goal fest. Both teams are attacking minded. Viking have also strengthen their attack with signing of Veton Berisha. Bodø/Glimt also play the Rosenborg style (as we call it here in Norway) with all players in attack. If I had to select one game to trade for goals this evening, this would be it.
Sarpsborg 08 v Vålerenga: Two teams with many question marks. Both teams with new coaches. Sarpsborg play now a 3-4-3 formation with high press. They have been very up and down in pre season. Dag Eilev Fagermo has taken over Vålerenga. One of the biggest clubs in Norway regarding fans but never done well on the pitch. But, Fagermo is maybe the best coach in the league right now. And he dont give a damn about pressure. He has been "harrasing" Ole Gunnar Solskjær for years. Quite funny. They look very tight in defence now, and I think they will score goals going forward. But still, many question marks here.
