The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@eamonn-hogan what makes you say that?
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
bit off topic but does anyone else think Arsenals odds of 9.8 to back are incredibly high. What is the reason for this? the way some of these fresh games have started, it could be worth a cheeky look. If they get to half time with some solid stats they will be cut to probably 6/7 maybe less.
City will be 4 up at half time
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@john-hurst it's probably gone off previous data. I think se teams who were worse form before lockdown and have players back from injury might be a good look in at value. I only see that shortening if they get a goal otherwise I think they see man city or a draw being the more viable option for that game
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bit off topic but does anyone else think Arsenals odds of 9.8 to back are incredibly high. What is the reason for this? the way some of these fresh games have started, it could be worth a cheeky look. If they get to half time with some solid stats they will be cut to probably 6/7 maybe less.
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Guys I did a fair bit of number crunching at the weekend and post COVID stats has led me to focus on SH goals rather than my much loved FHG
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Not looking at SH goal right now in Pohang... Only 3 SOT with 1 goal already scored might look for a late lay but probably move onto my 4G Dutch in Norway
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Did a Lay 0.5 on 60 and left the O1.5 to run as the lay removed red from the O1.5, that coming thru has given me just under a points green to start the day despite the FHG loss.
Actually my maths is terrible it’s 2 points green thanks to the O1.5 according to my account balance. -
at least ltd covers fhg loss
lucky escape -
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
In-play stats look decent in Gangwon if still 0-0 on 60mins will either LTD or Lay u0.5 goals
0-1 (excluding VAR lol) -
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Going to LTD in Ulsan Hyundai if no goals on 75 minutes.
Just too soon
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Going to LTD in Ulsan Hyundai if no goals on 75 minutes.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Something to look at on the filter software to help with your research. I do like to look at this when selecting trades and its a bit extra information to consider.
Go to the match you want to look at on the filter.
click on the section that says scored/conceded
click on percentages
click on home/away
so all these 3 sections are highlighted in bluethis will give you some decent data to go alongside your original information provided by your filter.
Information provided on this includes:
home scored and conceded ft
away scored and conceded ft
first half scored and conceded home and away
second half scored and conceded home and away
scored/conceded in both halfs
scored/conceded 1 goal
scored and conceded 2 goals -
In-play stats look decent in Gangwon if still 0-0 on 60mins will either LTD or Lay u0.5 goals
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keep paper trading them for now guys. You don't need to risk money on them.
I am spending a lot of time paper trading some of my filters and the mmebrs ones as well and recording P/L from these.It is time consuming but hopefully in the long run i will have a filter(hopefully with some slight adjustments) i can have confidence in long term.
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Can see Goals in the 2nd half have entered a split on O1.5 now and will enter again on 57 minutes. Trying to be a good house husband for the day so I can justify some time this afternoon and tonight with out feeling guilty.
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@james-woodroffe I'm thinking to LTD if the first 15 mins of SH look good, there is a goal in this game, just gutted it didnt come fh!
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe it was bad cause it lost lol as did the last few i have done which i thoroughly researched. Best for me to just leave them
Fair enough mate.
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@james-woodroffe it was bad cause it lost lol as did the last few i have done which i thoroughly researched. Best for me to just leave them
