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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #34541

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Martin filters out games were the league is dead etc. Its in your daily email.

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #34542

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer ok thks this for the late goal strategy right?

    I'm using it 64 mins on (65th minute) but not doing split stake. Also only if odds under 3.5 by 60th minute so same as Martin in that respect.

    The other I posted is this:

    0_1594375151874_fa77e616-a04b-4cad-98dc-b9f5566abedf-image.png

    Very early days though so don't go jumping in with two feet. I'm certainly not.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #34543

    Not liking that much today on the footie front other than the split stake of course.

    Was looking at the Braga game but ideally wanted to get in at HT but the SH stats are pants!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #34544

    @richard-latimer ok thks this for the late goal strategy right?

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #34545

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer yes send me a screenshot thks

    0_1594373571554_0cec0268-cfe6-494c-a402-4aea04b38132-image.png

    So same parametres as Martins but with a scope of 10 games. I've then unticked restrict to this season so for new seasons it will use data from the last season. I've excluded promoted/relegated teams so data will not be corrupted using one teams data in another league. I've also not restricted to any league preferring to remove them as they come up rather than hide them if that makes sense.

    Finally:

    I've used conditional formatting in my own spreadsheet to remove games that had a larger number of lower values. So both Citadella and Fulham came up today but stats were not quite as good as the others so I removed.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #34546

    @richard-latimer yes send me a screenshot thks

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #34547

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimerwhere can i find that sh goals filter?????

    Like I said yesterday, you can't. I can post a screenshot if you like but it's essentially very similar to Martins anyway.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #34548

    @richard-latimer where can i find this filter because i soccer stats only found this filter with another games0_1594371124835_1.JPG 0_1594371135574_2.JPG

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #34549

    @richard-latimerwhere can i find that sh goals filter?????

    Richard LatimerR ? 2 Replies Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #34550

    If these teams go 0-2 down I'll look for a cheap lay. Benevento have nothing to play for so I guess alot here depends on the team they put out but may still be worth it depending on price:

    0_1594369859747_762646c4-9a20-432d-9843-7c9e7a4db3e4-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #34551

    the over 1.5 goals games have strike rate lesser then 50%, means better open sh goals strategy like
    over 1.5 sh goals back over above 2 /3/4/5 no goals lay cs odds 1.5 at least scratch or the double

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #34552

    Derived from Martins late goals filter using scope of 10 rather than 20:

    0_1594369435778_4663f0d0-8970-4dfc-8b91-e88a5cf0bb53-image.png

    Have included all results so far. Early days but a confident enough start. I'm only getting involved when the score is 0-0/1-1 @ HT and if goal comes before 65 minutes I'll move on.

    Another 2nd half goal filter looking at average numbe of H2 goals as well as number of late goals:

    0_1594369617624_9d6e9670-2f28-452a-8f91-ecd6c11b4dc1-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #34553

    Winning Team ELO Lays - Much the same as what Martin has posted but for a couple. Brest don't appear to be playing today and Gorica still, mathematically at least, have something to play for in the last 3 games. Although qualification for Europe would appear highly unlikely, they are 8pts off with 3 games to go. Still have to go for it toinght as far I'm concerned. The line up will be crucial here I suppose:

    0_1594369314863_8636e6a9-5fb8-408d-87ac-46e74d0b817e-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Daniel Cooper on last edited by
    #34554

    @daniel-cooper yeah brother fomo will kill u rember if u dont trade u dont miss nothing and if u miss some profit on a trade there will be amillion trades latter u can do 🙂

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  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    wrote on last edited by
    #34555

    Haven't been able to trade too much this week, so today really is my 3rd "active" day since joining BTC, and just like my 2nd, was profitable! Again, only pennies as I'm using small stakes, but I'm being vastly more selective with my matches, listening to the in play stats and checking team line ups before games. I'm keeping FOMO at bay wherever possible!

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    replied to A Former User on last edited by Daniel Cooper
    #34556

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Glad I did lay Verona!

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    2
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    wrote on last edited by
    #34557

    Away to bed. 3 points green. Good luck to anyone still on.

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

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  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    replied to A Former User on last edited by Daniel Cooper
    #34558

    @johannes-van-leeuwen-0 I did lay Verona yeah, theres tonnes of action just no comeback yet from Inter, I don't think this was on the filter for ELO comeback though was it so a little risky

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    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #34559

    That's me done for today now. 1pt green

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #34560

    @stuart-capstick me too i was over 2.5/1.5 and ltd pufffff

    1 Reply Last reply
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