The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Martin filters out games were the league is dead etc. Its in your daily email.
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer ok thks this for the late goal strategy right?
I'm using it 64 mins on (65th minute) but not doing split stake. Also only if odds under 3.5 by 60th minute so same as Martin in that respect.
The other I posted is this:
Very early days though so don't go jumping in with two feet. I'm certainly not.
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@richard-latimer ok thks this for the late goal strategy right?
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer yes send me a screenshot thks
So same parametres as Martins but with a scope of 10 games. I've then unticked restrict to this season so for new seasons it will use data from the last season. I've excluded promoted/relegated teams so data will not be corrupted using one teams data in another league. I've also not restricted to any league preferring to remove them as they come up rather than hide them if that makes sense.
Finally:
I've used conditional formatting in my own spreadsheet to remove games that had a larger number of lower values. So both Citadella and Fulham came up today but stats were not quite as good as the others so I removed.
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@richard-latimer yes send me a screenshot thks
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimerwhere can i find that sh goals filter?????
Like I said yesterday, you can't. I can post a screenshot if you like but it's essentially very similar to Martins anyway.
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@richard-latimer where can i find this filter because i soccer stats only found this filter with another games
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@richard-latimerwhere can i find that sh goals filter?????
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If these teams go 0-2 down I'll look for a cheap lay. Benevento have nothing to play for so I guess alot here depends on the team they put out but may still be worth it depending on price:
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the over 1.5 goals games have strike rate lesser then 50%, means better open sh goals strategy like
over 1.5 sh goals back over above 2 /3/4/5 no goals lay cs odds 1.5 at least scratch or the double -
Derived from Martins late goals filter using scope of 10 rather than 20:
Have included all results so far. Early days but a confident enough start. I'm only getting involved when the score is 0-0/1-1 @ HT and if goal comes before 65 minutes I'll move on.
Another 2nd half goal filter looking at average numbe of H2 goals as well as number of late goals:
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Winning Team ELO Lays - Much the same as what Martin has posted but for a couple. Brest don't appear to be playing today and Gorica still, mathematically at least, have something to play for in the last 3 games. Although qualification for Europe would appear highly unlikely, they are 8pts off with 3 games to go. Still have to go for it toinght as far I'm concerned. The line up will be crucial here I suppose:
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@daniel-cooper yeah brother fomo will kill u rember if u dont trade u dont miss nothing and if u miss some profit on a trade there will be amillion trades latter u can do
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Haven't been able to trade too much this week, so today really is my 3rd "active" day since joining BTC, and just like my 2nd, was profitable! Again, only pennies as I'm using small stakes, but I'm being vastly more selective with my matches, listening to the in play stats and checking team line ups before games. I'm keeping FOMO at bay wherever possible!
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 Glad I did lay Verona!
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Away to bed. 3 points green. Good luck to anyone still on.
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 I did lay Verona yeah, theres tonnes of action just no comeback yet from Inter, I don't think this was on the filter for ELO comeback though was it so a little risky
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That's me done for today now. 1pt green
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@stuart-capstick me too i was over 2.5/1.5 and ltd pufffff