The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@martin-walker odds i do not know y need to look to the odds ht but let say 1.7 ht
0.8*0.7-0.22=0.4 points average i guess
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Laid jeonbuk at 2
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@daniel-cooper so 50 wins and 9 losses at odds of 2?
1 point stake returns 41 points over 59 games? Am i working this out correct -
Odds in Japan usually good but leaving Sendai even though looks good for a goal.
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer I laid U3.5 at 2.1 and i think it matched just after 50'
Are you keeping track of all the odds along with results for when you publish? I keep meaning to track these and keep forgetting.
I wont have record of the odds for them. I record the odds i take in the trades i make as part of my figures but the data for the filter doesnt include odds
Trouble is without odds it's compromised isn't it. Ried for example is almost pointless recording as those odds were stupid and no one in their right mind would bother surely. I'm not picking, just trying to see if I can help you optimise by the way.
Not really, I’m trying to get a filter to produce a shortlist but not every game is going to be good price/scoreline/motivation so that’s where the ‘personal’ touch comes into effect in play
Yeah I get that. It's just that some people looking on here might just see 3 wins from 3 yesterday and think they could trade them all in when in fact Stromen was the only one with decent odds that I could see. I was trying to keep an eye on them yesterday in the absence of much else.
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@daniel-cooper it is simple 0-0 ht back under 1.5 and let it run with odds arround 2
in the excel file from martin ltd sh , we had 59 games 0-0 ht and 9 goes over 1.5 shEV= (0.78*1 1 POINT)-(0.221 POINT)= 0.56 POINTS AVERAGE
To clarify, you’re saying that it would be profitable to back under 1.5 in all games that reach 0-0 HT?
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer I laid U3.5 at 2.1 and i think it matched just after 50'
Are you keeping track of all the odds along with results for when you publish? I keep meaning to track these and keep forgetting.
I wont have record of the odds for them. I record the odds i take in the trades i make as part of my figures but the data for the filter doesnt include odds
Trouble is without odds it's compromised isn't it. Ried for example is almost pointless recording as those odds were stupid and no one in their right mind would bother surely. I'm not picking, just trying to see if I can help you optimise by the way.
Not really, I’m trying to get a filter to produce a shortlist but not every game is going to be good price/scoreline/motivation so that’s where the ‘personal’ touch comes into effect in play
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@daniel-cooper it is simple 0-0 ht back under 1.5 and let it run with odds arround 2
in the excel file from martin ltd sh , we had 59 games 0-0 ht and 9 goes over 1.5 shEV= (0.78*1 1 POINT)-(0.221 POINT)= 0.56 POINTS AVERAGE
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@daniel-cooper sadly Ive not many paper trades results as I lost some of my spreadsheet. It's something. I'm going to start this week again. I know I can get this strat to work, I'm defo missing something that.
These are all the filters I have used
It's my exits strat that lets me down big time. Keeping in too long or just letting it run when I shouldn't because liability is too high and hope I can bring it back.
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@daniel-cooper that means no filter all games ht 0-0
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Will look to back pohang to win the first half should they start brightly.
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@simji said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@daniel-cooper I have dabbled in this for a couple of months and have had some horrendous results. Some has come down to my ill discipline. I'll go and see what filters I have and post a couple of screenshots when I'm at my laptop.
I thought you might be the man to ask! Thanks! I’ll probably paper trade it for a bit!
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My filter is 55% over 1.5 in second half which is almost 20% higher than your every game stat
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 i dont trade every game ever though
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 do paper trade in all 0-0 games ht back the draw ht and lay it back odds 1.4
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@martin-walker yes all 0-0 games it is more profitable to back under 1.5 sh in 0-0 ht games or back the draw ht odds above 2 and let it go
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@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 is this all games? If it is then it shows our filters improve on these figures
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer I laid U3.5 at 2.1 and i think it matched just after 50'
Are you keeping track of all the odds along with results for when you publish? I keep meaning to track these and keep forgetting.
I wont have record of the odds for them. I record the odds i take in the trades i make as part of my figures but the data for the filter doesnt include odds
Trouble is without odds it's compromised isn't it. Ried for example is almost pointless recording as those odds were stupid and no one in their right mind would bother surely. I'm not picking, just trying to see if I can help you optimise by the way.
