The BTC Football Trading Thread
-
@matt-wood said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@martin-walker I like the idea of a stat based set and forget strategy but not sure I would trust it. I am willing to believe it is possible and could be profitable. Would be something I had in the background with smaller stakes rolling along whilst I invested head space into more intensive strats.
Be great if you got one working long term
Best set and forget strategy over 2.5 goals , but y need to have a good game selection .....
in 140 games my strikerate is 60% vs odds 2.2-3.00 depends on the game and when i enter
0.62.2100-0.4*100=0.32 points a game
when y back fhg vs odds 1.6 and have strikerate 80% 0.28 POINTS a game
but 80% vs odds 1.6 fhg al most impossible -
@martin-walker said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
How do people feel about trading without inplay stats?
I look at them but it's not a deal breaker if I don't like what I see.
If the inplay stats were good on a pre-match highlighted potnetial I'd probably throw down on it providing odds matched what I want. Saying that, if the inplay stats were minimal or non existent and I knew the top players (or most/some of) were on the pitch I'd likely still trust the pre-match.
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
That home comeback filter i made has a 100% strike rate so far 8/8 out of 20 fixtures. All matches have btts beside 2 that had early red cards. Something that could be used in the future if it continues
Sounds promising, keep tracking and update us. Be really interesting to see where it goes
-
@martin-walker I like the idea of a stat based set and forget strategy but not sure I would trust it. I am willing to believe it is possible and could be profitable. Would be something I had in the background with smaller stakes rolling along whilst I invested head space into more intensive strats.
Be great if you got one working long term
-
How do people feel about trading without inplay stats?
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@cenk said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
That home comeback filter i made has a 100% strike rate so far 8/8 out of 20 fixtures. All matches have btts beside 2 that had early red cards. Something that could be used in the future if it continues
This is very interesting - how do you pick your games? Is there a certain filter/methodology you follow
8 GAMES... kidding that is nothing .... kind of strategy y have need sample sie at least 200 games to start
it is normal tohave a loosing run like 5-10 games in a rowHence why i said 'it could be used in the future'. What is wrong with you?
the strikerate really is not so much important, it is all about strikerate vs odds
i -
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Will keep things to myself in future
Nevermind the nay-sayers. It's always interesting to hear what others are finding, so please keep us informed about how it performs
-
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Todays ELO:
One is just there for completeness as no one not even me would have been up at 3am I doubt haha!!
Crazy how well this works
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Will keep things to myself in future
Don’t let the minority s**t on your parade
-
Titanic:
So if Sochi go 0-2 behind I will lay Kazan
-
No potential 2nd half goals today
-
Todays ELO:
One is just there for completeness as no one not even me would have been up at 3am I doubt haha!!
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Will keep things to myself in future
-
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@cenk said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
That home comeback filter i made has a 100% strike rate so far 8/8 out of 20 fixtures. All matches have btts beside 2 that had early red cards. Something that could be used in the future if it continues
This is very interesting - how do you pick your games? Is there a certain filter/methodology you follow
8 GAMES... kidding that is nothing .... kind of strategy y have need sample sie at least 200 games to start
it is normal tohave a loosing run like 5-10 games in a rowHence why i said 'it could be used in the future'. What is wrong with you?
-
@johannes-van-leeuwen-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@cenk said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
That home comeback filter i made has a 100% strike rate so far 8/8 out of 20 fixtures. All matches have btts beside 2 that had early red cards. Something that could be used in the future if it continues
This is very interesting - how do you pick your games? Is there a certain filter/methodology you follow
8 GAMES... kidding that is nothing .... kind of strategy y have need sample sie at least 200 games to start
it is normal tohave a loosing run like 5-10 games in a rowYou're right. It is nothing but it's a start. Got to start somewhere and I'm sure he's not putting money on at the moment.
-
@cenk said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
That home comeback filter i made has a 100% strike rate so far 8/8 out of 20 fixtures. All matches have btts beside 2 that had early red cards. Something that could be used in the future if it continues
This is very interesting - how do you pick your games? Is there a certain filter/methodology you follow
8 GAMES... kidding that is nothing .... kind of strategy y have need sample sie at least 200 games to start
it is normal tohave a loosing run like 5-10 games in a row -
@Cenk dropped you a message mate
-
@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
That home comeback filter i made has a 100% strike rate so far 8/8 out of 20 fixtures. All matches have btts beside 2 that had early red cards. Something that could be used in the future if it continues
This is very interesting - how do you pick your games? Is there a certain filter/methodology you follow
-
Quiet day today! Enjoy all!
-
18/08/20 17:00:00 Orlando Pirates Baroka Lay away if 0-1
18/08/20 18:00:00 Wydad Raja Beni Mellal Lay away if 0-1
18/08/20 18:00:00 Krasnodar Arsenal Tula Lay away if 0-1
18/08/20 18:00:00 K.Oslo Kongsvinger FHG/Over 2.5few for later on
