The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@daniel-heim-råum I follow the rule that I cash out after a goal if the favourite scores or wait if the underdog score until it comes back to profit .. I cash our around 75 minutes regardless
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@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@andrew-shipley value comes from the fact it’s been profitable for a long time, is that guaranteed to continue? Of course not. Also bare in mind we are coming out of a mid season World Cup, this is bound to effect things, we have never had this before in the history of the game.
Definitely it feels like the world cup has had an impact. My SHG filter accuracy has dropped from 84% to about 79% when measured over the course of the last few weeks. My late goal one is down from 75% to about 70%. I don't see it as that big a deal overall yet- it just means I am focusing more on finding in play confirmation and making sure I am taking the right odds.
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the Lay The Draw at Kick-Off startegy does it mean i cashout after a goal or lat it run to 70 no matter what? think i miss understood. have just lat it run to 70 the last days?
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Todays LTD
Lazio vs Empoli
Dundee Utd vs Rangers
Nijmegen vs AjaxWill all be 01.5 trades
FHG Boavista vs Gil Vicente
Waregem vs Mechelen -
Ouch yesterday was one of those to forget on my recommends here and managed to find 3 nil nil draw - unheard of but days which provide reminders that you're not there yet are always a leveller ..
LTD (wait for odds to be right)
PSV vs Sparta
0-0 draw
Club America vs Queretaro another nil nil
Monza vs Inter
Cashed out with Inter aheadPSV
and Club America will be FHG as well as Oostende vs SeraingWill trade O1.5 on the PSV and Club America as wel
Happily trades elsewhere made it better than break even for the day but apologies to anyone who followed my nil nil fest
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@stephen-brooks-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@jon-batten Thanks for the advice Jon. To be honest my bank is a decent size and I am risking 1% of my bank so well within my limits. I think it's just the mindset of risking more to win less and getting used to this.
The only thing I would add is that if you're relying on others and are new to the game Trading with a decent size bank is a bad idea with a capital B!!
Have to learn to trade with a smaller bank before you can feel comfortable doing it with a bigger one. It's why growing organically is so much easier on the nerves!
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@jon-batten said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@stephen-brooks-0 if you have a smaller bank and you want to use less then £1 stakes while you are starting out you could use the double chance market and select home/away. Odds are basically the same but I've found this can massively reduce your liability with a smaller bank roll.
I've learnt the hard way that if im worrying about selections profit and loss daily then im probably staking too much.
Another suggestion would be Lay to Liability instead of laying to stake - you don't win as ruch but more importantly limit your losses
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@jon-batten Thanks for the advice Jon. To be honest my bank is a decent size and I am risking 1% of my bank so well within my limits. I think it's just the mindset of risking more to win less and getting used to this.
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@stephen-brooks-0 if you have a smaller bank and you want to use less then £1 stakes while you are starting out you could use the double chance market and select home/away. Odds are basically the same but I've found this can massively reduce your liability with a smaller bank roll.
I've learnt the hard way that if im worrying about selections profit and loss daily then im probably staking too much.
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@Martin I'm investing money in it because you have shown that long term these set and forget strategies are successful and I want to be a successful trader. I don't have any proven strategies myself hence why I am trying to surround myself with good traders/strategies. I will have more faith over more time hopefully when I start to see some profit as I am so new. Please don't remove the LTD from the daily email because of what's been said. I am going to stick with these as they do show long term profit.
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@chris-osborne As you say it is showing great profit so I just need to stick with it and judge it after many trades.
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@martin Ok then, but there seems to be no new late goal today like there was yesterday?
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@andrew-shipley value comes from the fact it’s been profitable for a long time, is that guaranteed to continue? Of course not. Also bare in mind we are coming out of a mid season World Cup, this is bound to effect things, we have never had this before in the history of the game.
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@stephen-brooks-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I think this dans LTD filter is going to end up being selections for back the draw...
Stop trading it please, you clearly don’t have any faith in it so why invest money in it? Remember I tell members to research selections themselves to see if they agree, don’t blindly follow a strategy, especially one you do not believe in!
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@steven-fletcher Long terms results are good on the Dans LTD, but im a big believer in expected value, so im wondering where does the value come from?
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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@stephen-brooks-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I think this dans LTD filter is going to end up being selections for back the draw...
Its hit a bad run this week mainly due to last minute equalisers in Serie A - Atalanta and Inter but with these results since July thats unlikely
You've been trsding it 5 minutes wait until you have a minimum of 100 results ideally alot more before making that assessment
Its showing more profits than any of the set and forget strategies.
If your not happy with it either dont do it or trade it like Ryan's betgreen strategy and cash out after a goal
There was a last minute winner in the Fiorentina game too so it goes for and against......another option would be consider not trading a few leagues which have only just started back after the world cup as we are in uncharted territory with a mid season tournament
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@stephen-brooks-0 said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I think this dans LTD filter is going to end up being selections for back the draw...
Its hit a bad run this week mainly due to last minute equalisers in Serie A - Atalanta and Inter but with these results since July thats unlikely
You've been trsding it 5 minutes wait until you have a minimum of 100 results ideally alot more before making that assessment
Its showing more profits than any of the set and forget strategies.
If your not happy with it either dont do it or trade it like Ryan's betgreen strategy and cash out after a goal
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I think this dans LTD filter is going to end up being selections for back the draw...
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@nick-allan The email comes out everyday mate with the selections and the rules. I wasn't getting them so if your not check your junk or add btc to your contact emails.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Only 2 more I'll be getting involved in today. Lay Under 1.5:
More like it. 2/3 for a medium loss on the day.
