The BTC Football Trading Thread

Akiva Anderson

Went for a SHG in the Fortuna v Heerenveen match. 0-0 at HT

Akiva Anderson

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG in the Mainz v Dortmund match. 1-1 at HT

Another injury time winner.

If you’re not good be lucky!

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Mainz v Dortmund match. 1-1 at HT

Richard Latimer

Lay Under 1.5 Freiburg

Mark Maguire

@matthew-harrison I've not really explored xG but do use goals stats home and away to project scores and odds

Mark Maguire

@Martin Whisper it but they're doing really well. I've simply added ELO ratings to Ryans Betgreen and then do my own ELO odds forecast.

There's a randomness to the ones which don't work which is a good thing I think.

I'm greening up most of the time although measuring the let it run against greening up both have similar profitability.

I look at the matches in a bit more detail in the build up and that dictates staking .. today I will be more cautious with the GA Eagles game because I'm less confident in the form.

Martin

@mark-maguire said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Limited selection today and note of caution that sometimes where there aren't many to trade its too easy to want to over trade the few that come up.

That said:

LTD

GA Eagles vs Alkmaar
Leverkusen vs Bochum

Both will be 01.5

Leverkusen will also be FHG

Nice prices on those LTDs how have they been going for you?

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@mark-maguire

Everyday my selections are identical to you’re selections. But I don’t use any filters for my selections. I go off xG and form

Mark Maguire

@Ryan 'outed' Odds on over 2.5 are rubbish in Cricket though

Ryan

@mark-maguire Lol secret cricket trader you!

Mark Maguire

Limited selection today and note of caution that sometimes where there aren't many to trade its too easy to want to over trade the few that come up.

That said:

LTD

GA Eagles vs Alkmaar
Leverkusen vs Bochum

Both will be 01.5

Leverkusen will also be FHG

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Glenavon

Finished 1-3

Mark Maguire

@keith-anderson nice Keith..

Mark Maguire

Decent night>>

LTD

Schalke vs Leipzig
Bayern vs Koln (although odds likely to be prohibitive) Did Not Trade
Bolton vs Forest Green Greened Up after early goal
Glentoran vs Larne (again odds may prevent it)

The above will all be 01.5 (greened up on all after first goals)

02.5

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart (Out after 60 mins if no goal, split stake before then)

FHG

Bayern vs Koln.. my stats say 99% chance of FHG .. so bound to be 0-0 HT but will try it anyway

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@jon-batten said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Gone for double chance home or draw on the bayern game at 1.34

Insane goal from Kimmich!!

Akiva Anderson

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG in the Coleraine v Carrick Rangers match. 0-0 at HT

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG in the Carlisle v Harlepool match. 2-1 at HT

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG in the Hoffnheim v Stuttgart match. 1-1 at HT

Happy days! All three SHG's are in.

Layla tov!

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Also potential good value play on over 2.5 at 1.85. Stats suggest 61% chance so 1.67. Will hedge out for free bet if a goal comes soon as bayern pushing hard.

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Gone for double chance home or draw on the bayern game at 1.34

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Coleraine v Carrick Rangers match. 0-0 at HT

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Carlisle v Harlepool match. 2-1 at HT