The BTC Football Trading Thread
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I’ve easily got over 20 games for each of the leagues in question but my concern is 20 feels too low. The uncertainty I’ve got is whether the data for the league is running below average now or whether it was above average before, so whether it’s going to go back up or whether this is the normal level!
I guess I need to do more delving to see if there’s another reason. I wouldn’t stop collecting the data, just stop trading those particular games, but like Stuart said I could be throwing the baby out with the bath water and it may be another reason those games performed badly
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@lee-woodman
As others have said its a tough choice. I would say the same as Chris, at least 20 for me.I have set my SHG spreadsheet in such a way that I can easily switch a league from 'A' status to 'B' status. I very rarely trade my Bs but keep them there in case the leagues improve and might switch them to A.
Personally I am loathe to exclude things as I like as complete a set of data as possible. Means more work I guess but I still fairly new so I might see a better way in the future.
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@lee-woodman I've done it on a couple I'm testing, ideally as many as possible but probably at least 20 or so
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@lee-woodman
Really hard to say. I want to say a season, but I guess that would annoy you (it would and does annoy me as well). I find "bad" results come in clusters.
My FHG filter has thrown up 5 games with no FHG out of 9 since Thursday. It's never done that before, but looking back, there are clusters of no FHG with series of FHGs.
The danger is throwing out the baby with the bath water.
I suppose you could look at thestatsdontlie and see what the means are for late goals in the leagues in question, compare it to your results and see if recently there has been a "correction". With any luck, those same leagues will revert back to the mean, giving you a nice run of late goals in the leagues in question.
That said, and I'm sure you mentioned this, getting rid of the second tier of most countries is invaluable. -
What’s peoples opinions on cutting out certain leagues if they don’t perform well for a certain filter? I’ve got a couple which have gone really poor for late goals on one particular filter. How many games from that league do you consider enough data to remove it altogether?
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LTD / LCS in the Newcastle v Everton match. Curently 0-0 at HT. Not a great game if truth be told, but I'm still expecting a goal
Goal! 1-0
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Laid Mjondalen who are 1-0 up over Molde
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@gordon-mitchell yes unfortunately
same here. -
LTD / LCS in the Newcastle v Everton match. Curently 0-0 at HT. Not a great game if truth be told, but I'm still expecting a goal
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@john-hurst Was that the elfsborg game. I missed it by about 3 secs
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nothing worse than being one tick away from being matched and then you see the suspended........brutal
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If anyone has PSV on a Trading Plan later, they have had 9 players who are Covid positive including Cody Gakpo and are down to the bare minimum of players
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Will be ltd/lcs in elfs vs norrkoping currently 1-1 at HT.
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Lcs anderlecht vs antwerp 73 mins, same as a few i see
GOAL! 1-0 76 mins, good start to nov! The way the game was going, pre match stats and price is a traders dream game
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Goal anderlecht.....a goal was coming, could have gone either way
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Lcs anderlecht vs antwerp 73 mins, same as a few i see
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Am LTD in anderlecht vs antwerp currently 0-0 60 mins
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
James Warde Prowse has to be the best direct fk taker in the premier league. He is awesome
This is no good for my fantasy team at all!
